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Climate variability and predictability in the extratropics

Planned Research

Project AreaMid-latitude ocean-atmosphere interaction hotspots under the changing climate
Project/Area Number 19H05703
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research on Innovative Areas (Research in a proposed research area)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Review Section Science and Engineering
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

望月 崇  九州大学, 理学研究院, 准教授 (00450776)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 森 正人  九州大学, 応用力学研究所, 助教 (00749179)
今田 由紀子 (金丸由紀子)  東京大学, 大気海洋研究所, 准教授 (50582855)
宮川 知己  東京大学, 大気海洋研究所, 准教授 (80584979)
小坂 優  東京大学, 先端科学技術研究センター, 准教授 (90746398)
Project Period (FY) 2019-06-28 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥105,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥81,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥24,360,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥19,240,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,440,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥21,320,000 (Direct Cost: ¥16,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,920,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥20,150,000 (Direct Cost: ¥15,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,650,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥26,650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥20,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥6,150,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥18,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,200,000)
Keywords気候変動 / 極端現象 / 気候モデリング / 予測可能性 / 地球温暖化 / 中長期変調 / 極端気象現象 / 大気海洋相互作用 / データ同化
Outline of Research at the Start

日本の地球温暖化予測研究グループとの連携の下,海洋の気候学的能動性を踏まえた中長期変動物理と予測可能性の視点から,中緯度気候について包括的な理解を目指す。そのために,温暖化予測に関わる気候シミュレーションデータを横断的に精査するとともに,機動性が高いさまざまな気候シミュレーションを併用する。高解像度や観測データとの融合という特色ある気候シミュレーションデータを活用し,変わりゆく気候のなかで中緯度気候や海洋の気候学的能動性に関係する変動物理や中長期変化傾向の解明に向けて,遠隔影響の効果も含めたグローバルな視点から取り組む。

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

本研究課題では,温暖化予測研究の国際標準である大気海洋結合モデル相互比較プロジェクト(CMIP)に対応する気候シミュレーションを活用し,変わりゆく気候のなかでの中緯度気候の変動物理や極端現象の中長期的な変化変調傾向,および予測可能性について,遠隔影響も含めたグローバルな視点から解明することを目指している。そのために,温暖化予測に関わる気候シミュレーションデータを横断的に精査するとともに,HighResMIPと対応するような高解像度の大気モデル・大気海洋結合モデルシミュレーション,およびDCPPと対応するような大気海洋結合モデルのペースメーカー実験や感度実験,予測実験といった機動性が高いさまざまな気候シミュレーションを併用するという特色あるアプローチをとる。本年度も、予測可能性の議論や超高解像度数値シミュレーションの実施へ拡張もおこないながら、これまでの物理解析を継続・発展させた。特に,日本付近の極端現象(いわばweather extreme)の中長期変化変調の物理プロセスと予測可能性,及び日本付近の気候の季節進行(いわばclimate extreme)の中長期変化変調の物理プロセスと予測可能性について,大規模アンサンブルデータによる統計的・確率論的な解析ととともに,気候予測・観測・再解析データを組み合わせた予測可能性研究,各種数値シミュレーションを活用した熱帯域や極域からの遠隔影響に関する物理解析研究を実施した。また,日本付近を対象とした超高解像度大気海洋結合モデルシミュレーションについて,他の計画研究班の観測事例に対応するような具体的事例の再現計算や検証解析に発展させた。これらに関する学術的な成果は,国内外の学会・研究集会,および投稿論文にて公表した。

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

これまでの成果を踏まえ,日本や東アジア域の極端現象や季節進行における中長期変化変調,及び変化変調をあたえうる極域や熱帯域からの影響と中緯度大気海洋結合を中心に大気海洋物理プロセス解明の研究を継続・発展させた。また,潜在的な予測可能性や実際の再現・予測計算,予測可能性の探究に研究課題を拡張した。加えて,超高解像度モデリング研究を具体的な事例に対応した数値実験実施に発展させた。具体的に以下五項目がある。
・夏季の気温や降水の極端気象現象について,大規模アンサンブルデータd4PDFの解析を進め,日本に猛暑をもたらす原因となる二段重ね高気圧はラニーニャ時に出現しやすく,また日本の南に接近する台風の増加にも寄与した。特に,2022年6月下旬から7月初めの記録的な高温について,この時期として過去最大級の二段重ね高気圧が発達していたことを明らかにした。
・北半球冬季の南北テレコネクションのエネルギー論的維持メカニズムを系統的に評価して,卓越パターンの要因分析を進めて海面水温変動の役割を明らかにした。
・北半球冬季のバレンツ・カラ海における地球温暖化の進行に伴う海氷減少速度は最新の気候モデル再現・予測計算でも過小評価傾向であり、海洋観測データを融合した数値実験による要因分析から,メキシコ湾流域からバレンツ・カラ海への熱輸送増加の重要性を指摘した。
・太平洋や大西洋の海面水温観測データを用いたペースメーカー実験から,大西洋からの遠隔影響にはウォーカー循環の変化を伴うものと熱帯収束帯の変化を伴うものがあり,熱帯太平洋の数年規模変動に年代変調をもたらし、その予測可能性に影響するプロセスを明らかにした。
・全球雲解像海洋結合モデルNICOCOについて,従来よりも観測値に整合した海洋初期値を得る手法を開発して,それを適用した2023年1月JPCZ観測事例に対応する数値実験により海洋内部の構造の再現に成功した。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

これまでの成果に基づき諸課題を設定して,中長期的に変わりゆく気候のもとでの日本や東アジアの気象や気候に注目しながら,中緯度大気海洋相互作用の物理メカニズムと予測可能性について解き明かして取りまとめをおこなう。特に,これまでの研究成果を俯瞰的に扱いながら,冬季と夏季それぞれにおいて,日本や東アジアの極端気象現象について,大規模気候変動との関係性をベースに理解するとともに,気候変動と極端気象現象の潜在的予測可能性や予測性能を明らかにする。
なお,極端気象現象は特に気温や降水量に注目しながら,大規模アンサンブルデータを活用した研究を実施する。夏季の台風や梅雨前線,北太平洋高気圧,および冬季の北極海氷やアジアモンスーン,亜熱帯ジェットといった要因に特に注目する。このとき,中緯度域のみならず,極域の大気海洋相互作用や熱帯域の大気海洋相互作用および海盆間相互作用にも着目する。潜在的予測可能性については,大規模アンサンブルの活用によるシグナルノイズ比の検討による制御可能性の議論とともに,実際の気候予測データに基づいてリードタイムの概念も含めた予測可能性の議論をおこなう。
得られた成果は,国内外の学会や研究集会などで発表するとともに,投稿論文にまとめる。これらの諸研究課題のいくつかについて,若手研究員を雇用しながら研究を遂行する。中緯度大気海洋相互作用を軸にしながら,他大洋や極域,熱帯域も含めた気候変動に対する幅広い視野をもつ人材育成に努める。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (163 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (10 results) Journal Article (38 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 12 results,  Peer Reviewed: 37 results,  Open Access: 33 results) Presentation (110 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 64 results,  Invited: 30 results) Book (4 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] カリフォルニア大学/NOAA(米国)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ニューサウスウェールズ大学(オーストラリア)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 中国海洋大学(中国)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ユタ州立大学/カリフォルニア大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] カリフォルニア大学/コロラド大学/ユタ州立大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 中国海洋大学/中国科学院(中国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ベルゲン大学(ノルウェー)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] カリフォルニア大学/コロラド大学/ユタ州立大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 中国海洋大学(中国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ベルゲン大学(ノルウェー)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Decadal modulation of ENSO and IOD impacts on the Indian Ocean upwelling2023

    • Author(s)
      Zhang Xiaolin、Mochizuki Takashi
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Earth Science

      Volume: 11

    • DOI

      10.3389/feart.2023.1212421

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Interannual Variability of the Australian Summer Monsoon Sustained through Internal Processes: Wind?Evaporation Feedback, Dynamical Air?Sea Interaction, and Soil Moisture Memory2023

    • Author(s)
      Sekizawa Shion、Nakamura Hisashi、Kosaka Yu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 36 Issue: 3 Pages: 983-1000

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-22-0116.1

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Development of Synoptic-Scale Disturbances over the Tropical Western North Pacific Associated with the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation and the Interannual Pacific–Japan Pattern2023

    • Author(s)
      SEIKI Ayako、KOSAKA Yu、YOKOI Satoru
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II

      Volume: 101 Issue: 2 Pages: 103-123

    • DOI

      10.2151/jmsj.2023-006

    • ISSN
      0026-1165, 2186-9057
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Flux Adjustment on Seasonal-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Drift in NICOCO2023

    • Author(s)
      MASUNAGA Ryusuke、MIYAKAWA Tomoki、KAWASAKI Takao、YASHIRO Hisashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II

      Volume: 101 Issue: 3 Pages: 175-189

    • DOI

      10.2151/jmsj.2023-010

    • ISSN
      0026-1165, 2186-9057
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Large ensemble simulation for investigating predictability of precursor vortices of Typhoon Faxai in 2019 with a 14-km mesh global nonhydrostatic atmospheric model2023

    • Author(s)
      Y. Yamada, T. Miyakawa, M. Nakano, C. Kodama, A. Wada, T. Nasuno, Y.-W. Chen, A. Yamazaki, H. Yashiro, M. Satoh
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 50 Issue: 3 Pages: 1-9

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022gl100565

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Atlantic impacts on subdecadal warming over the tropical Pacific in the 2000s2022

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki Takashi、Watanabe Masahiro
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Climate

      Volume: 4 Pages: 1040352-1040352

    • DOI

      10.3389/fclim.2022.1040352

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Arctic Sea Ice Loss and Eurasian Cooling in Winter 2020-212022

    • Author(s)
      Nishii Kazuaki、Taguchi Bunmei、Mori Masato、Kosaka Yu、Nakamura Hisashi
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: 18 Issue: 0 Pages: 199-204

    • DOI

      10.2151/sola.2022-032

    • ISSN
      1349-6476
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Barents-Kara sea-ice decline attributed to surface warming in the Gulf Stream2022

    • Author(s)
      Yamagami Yoko、Watanabe Masahiro、Mori Masato、Ono Jun
    • Journal Title

      Nature Communications

      Volume: 13 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41467-022-31117-6

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Maintenance mechanisms of the wintertime subtropical?high over the South Indian Ocean2022

    • Author(s)
      Miyamoto Ayumu、Nakamura Hisashi、Miyasaka Takafumi、Kosaka Yu、Taguchi Bunmei、Nishii Kazuaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: - Issue: 10 Pages: 1-54

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-21-0518.1

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Atmospheric Forcing of the Pacific Meridional Mode: Tropical Pacific‐Driven Versus Internal Variability2022

    • Author(s)
      Zhang Yu、Yu Shi‐Yun、Amaya Dillon J.、Kosaka Yu、Stuecker Malte F.、Yang Jun‐Chao、Lin Xiaopei、Fan Lei
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 7

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022gl098148

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Role of ocean dynamics in equatorial Pacific decadal variability2022

    • Author(s)
      Zhang Yu、Yu Shi-Yun、Xie Shang-Ping、Amaya Dillon J.、Peng Qihua、Kosaka Yu、Lin Xiaopei、Yang Jun-Chao、Larson Sarah M.、Miller Arthur J.、Fan Lei
    • Journal Title

      Climate Dynamics

      Volume: 59 Issue: 7-8 Pages: 2517-2529

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00382-022-06312-2

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Baroclinic Blocking2022

    • Author(s)
      Martineau P.、Nakamura H.、Yamamoto A.、Kosaka Y.
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 15

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022gl097791

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of Historical Atmospheric and Oceanic Warming on Heavy Snowfall in December 2020 in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Kawase H.、Imada Y.、Watanabe S.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

      Volume: 127 Issue: 21 Pages: 1-19

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022jd036996

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Climate of High-obliquity Exoterrestrial Planets with a Three-dimensional Cloud System Resolving Climate Model2022

    • Author(s)
      Kodama Takanori、Takasuka Daisuke、Sherriff-Tadano Sam、Kuroda Takeshi、Miyakawa Tomoki、Abe-Ouchi Ayako、Satoh Masaki
    • Journal Title

      The Astrophysical Journal

      Volume: 940 Issue: 1 Pages: 87-87

    • DOI

      10.3847/1538-4357/ac98ae

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Sea surface height fluctuations relevant to Indian summer monsoon over the northwestern Indian Ocean2022

    • Author(s)
      Zhang Xiaolin、Mochizuki Takashi
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Climate

      Volume: 4 Pages: 1008776-1008776

    • DOI

      10.3389/fclim.2022.1008776

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Wintertime Weakening of Low-Cloud Impacts on the Subtropical High in the South Indian Ocean2022

    • Author(s)
      Miyamoto, A., H. Nakamura, T. Miyasaka, Y. Kosaka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 35 Issue: 1 Pages: 323-334

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-21-0178.1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Timely Event Attribution of Extreme Precipitation in Japan: An Example of Heavy Rainfall in July 20202022

    • Author(s)
      Kawase Hiroaki、Watanabe Shunichi、Hirockawa Yasutaka、Imada Yukiko
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

      Volume: 103 Issue: 3 Pages: S118-S123

    • DOI

      10.1175/bams-d-21-0192.1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] El Nino-Southern Oscillation Evolution Modulated by Atlantic Forcing2021

    • Author(s)
      Chikamoto, Y., Z. F. Johnson, S.-Y. Wang, M. J. McPhaden, T. Mochizuki
    • Journal Title

      CLIVAR Exchanges

      Volume: 80 Pages: 12-15

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Revisiting the Tropical Atlantic Influence on El Nino Southern Oscillation2021

    • Author(s)
      Ingo Richter, Hiroki Tokinaga, Yu Kosaka, Takeshi Doi, Takahito Kataoka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 34 Issue: 21 Pages: 8533-8548

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-21-0088.1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Relationship between the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation and the Pacific-Japan Pattern and Its Interannual Modulations2021

    • Author(s)
      Seiki Ayako、Kosaka Yu、Yokoi Satoru
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: 17 Issue: 0 Pages: 177-183

    • DOI

      10.2151/sola.2021-031

    • NAID

      130008103102

    • ISSN
      1349-6476
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Remote influence of the interannual variability of the Australian summer monsoon on wintertime climate in East Asia and the western North Pacific2021

    • Author(s)
      Sekizawa Shion、Nakamura Hisashi、Kosaka Yu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: - Pages: 1-54

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-21-0202.1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Potential Seasonal Predictability of the Risk of Local Rainfall Extremes Estimated Using High-Resolution Large Ensemble Simulations.2021

    • Author(s)
      Imada, Y. and H. Kawase
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 48 Issue: 24

    • DOI

      10.1029/2021gl096236

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Trends and projection of heavy snowfall in Hokkaido, Japan as an application of self-organizing map2021

    • Author(s)
      Inatsu Masaru、Kawazoe Sho、Mori Masato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

      Volume: 60 Pages: 1483-1494

    • DOI

      10.1175/jamc-d-21-0085.1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Reply to: Eurasian cooling in response to Arctic sea-ice loss is not proved by maximum covariance analysis2021

    • Author(s)
      Mori Masato、Kosaka Yu、Watanabe Masahiro、Taguchi Bunmei、Nakamura Hisashi、Kimoto Masahide
    • Journal Title

      Nature Climate Change

      Volume: 11 Issue: 2 Pages: 109-111

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41558-020-00983-7

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Synchronized tropical Pacific and extratropical variability during the past three decades2020

    • Author(s)
      Yang Jun-Chao、Lin Xiaopei、Xie Shang-Ping、Zhang Yu、Kosaka Yu、Li Ziguang
    • Journal Title

      Nature Climate Change

      Volume: 10 Issue: 5 Pages: 422-427

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41558-020-0753-9

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Physical drivers of the summer 2019 North Pacific marine heatwave2020

    • Author(s)
      Amaya Dillon J.、Miller Arthur J.、Xie Shang-Ping、Kosaka Yu
    • Journal Title

      Nature Communications

      Volume: 11 Issue: 1 Pages: 1903-1903

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41467-020-15820-w

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] ENSO-Unrelated Variability in Indo-Northwest Pacific Climate: Regional Coupled Ocean-Atmospheric Feedback2020

    • Author(s)
      Wang Chuan-Yang、Xie Shang-Ping、Kosaka Yu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 10 Pages: 4095-4108

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0426.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Multidecadal modulations of key metrics of global climate change2020

    • Author(s)
      Nathaniel C.Johnson, Dillon J.Amaya, Qinghua Ding, Yu Kosaka, Hiroki Tokinaga, Shang-Ping Xie
    • Journal Title

      Global and Planetary Change

      Volume: 188 Pages: 103149-103149

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103149

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Importance of a vertically tilting structure for energizing the North Atlantic Oscillation2020

    • Author(s)
      Martineau Patrick、Nakamura Hisashi、Kosaka Yu、Yamamoto Ayako
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 10 Issue: 1 Pages: 12671-12671

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-020-69551-5

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Modulations of North American and European Weather Variability and Extremes by Interdecadal Variability of the Atmospheric Circulation over the North Atlantic Sector2020

    • Author(s)
      Martineau Patrick、Nakamura Hisashi、Kosaka Yu、Taguchi Bunmei、Mori Masato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 18 Pages: 8125-8146

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0977.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Dynamics of Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation Response to Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing2020

    • Author(s)
      Wang Hai、Xie Shang‐Ping、Zheng Xiao‐Tong、Kosaka Yu、Xu Yangyang、Geng Yu‐Fan
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 47 Issue: 19 Pages: 1-10

    • DOI

      10.1029/2020gl089919

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Processes Shaping the Frontal-Scale Time-Mean Surface Wind Convergence Patterns around the Gulf Stream and Agulhas Return Current in Winter, Journal of Climate2020

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, R., Nakamura, H., Taguchi, B., Miyasaka, T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 21 Issue: 21 Pages: 9083-9101

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0948.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] El Nino Southern Oscillation Evolution Modulated by Atlantic Forcing2020

    • Author(s)
      Chikamoto Y.、Johnson Z. F.、Wang S.‐Y. Simon、McPhaden M. J.、Mochizuki T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

      Volume: 125 Issue: 8 Pages: 16318-16318

    • DOI

      10.1029/2020jc016318

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Pacific decadal oscillation remotely forced by the equatorial Pacific and the Atlantic Oceans2020

    • Author(s)
      Johnson Zachary F.、Chikamoto Yoshimitsu、Wang S.-Y. Simon、McPhaden Michael J.、Mochizuki Takashi
    • Journal Title

      Climate Dynamics

      Volume: 55 Issue: 3-4 Pages: 789-811

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00382-020-05295-2

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The non-hydrostatic global atmospheric model for CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations (NICAM16-S): Experimental design, model description, and sensitivity experiments.2020

    • Author(s)
      Kodama, C., Ohno, T., Seiki, T., Yashiro, H., Noda, A. T., Nakano, M., Yamada, Y., Roh, W., Satoh, M., Nitta, T., Goto, D., Miura, H., Nasuno, T., Miyakawa, T., Chen, Y.-W., and Sugi, M.
    • Journal Title

      Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss.

      Volume: - Pages: 795-820

    • DOI

      10.5194/gmd-2019-369

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Reply to: Is sea-ice-driven Eurasian cooling too weak in models?2019

    • Author(s)
      Mori Masato、Kosaka Yu、Watanabe Masahiro、Taguchi Bunmei、Nakamura Hisashi、Kimoto Masahide
    • Journal Title

      Nature Climate Change

      Volume: 9 Issue: 12 Pages: 937-939

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41558-019-0636-0

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The July 2018 High Temperature Event in Japan Could Not Have Happened without Human-Induced Global Warming2019

    • Author(s)
      Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Hiroaki Kawase, Hideo Shiogama, and Miki Arai
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: 15A Issue: 0 Pages: 8-12

    • DOI

      10.2151/sola.15A-002

    • NAID

      130007661338

    • ISSN
      1349-6476
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific2019

    • Author(s)
      Qian Y.、Murakami H.、Nakano M.、Hsu P.‐C.、Delworth T. L.、Kapnick S. B.、Ramaswamy V.、Mochizuki T.、Morioka Y.、Doi T.、Kataoka T.、Nasuno T.、Yoshida K.
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 46 Issue: 21 Pages: 12293-12302

    • DOI

      10.1029/2019gl084566

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] IPOCと梅雨期の九州の降水量との関連性2023

    • Author(s)
      井上壘輝凱, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      中緯度大気海洋相互作用hotspot2研究集会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Decadal modulation of ENSO and IOD impact on the Indian Ocean upwelling2023

    • Author(s)
      Xiaolin Zhang, Takashi Mochizuki
    • Organizer
      中緯度大気海洋相互作用hotspot2研究集会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] IPOCモードの十年規模変動とその要因分析2023

    • Author(s)
      土田耕, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      中緯度大気海洋相互作用hotspot2研究集会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 超高解像度大規模アンサンブルデータにおける九州域の熱帯低気圧降水分布の将来変化解析2023

    • Author(s)
      山口修平, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      中緯度大気海洋相互作用hotspot2研究集会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Super El Ninoが北大西洋とヨーロッパに与える影響2023

    • Author(s)
      和田野雄大, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      第44回日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高解像度の大規模アンサンブルデータセットを用いた熱帯低気圧を要因とする降水分布の将来変化の解析2023

    • Author(s)
      山口修平, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      第44回日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The post-hiatus surface global warming and the role of tropical Pacific variability2023

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Shang-Ping Xie
    • Organizer
      Yonsei Univ - Univ of Tokyo - POSTECH Joint Workshop on climate variability and changes
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Decadal prediction intercomparison plan in Japan2023

    • Author(s)
      Imada, Y., T. Kataoka, T. Iwakiri, S. Hirahara, Y. Takaya, M. Ishii, T. Doi, Y. Morioka, T. Tatebe
    • Organizer
      DCPP panel meeting
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] NICOCOを用いた高解像度大気海洋結合実験の現状2023

    • Author(s)
      韮澤雄太朗, 宮川知己, 升永竜介, 川崎高雄, 八代尚
    • Organizer
      中緯度大気海洋相互作用hotspot2研究集会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Recent subdecadal variability and predictability of the tropical Pacific climate2022

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki, T.
    • Organizer
      2nd IAMES annual conference
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 冬季日本における極端降水量ポテンシャルの複数年予測の試み2022

    • Author(s)
      望月崇, 川上真, 山口修平, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2022年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 冬季日本における極端降水量ポテンシャルの複数年予測の試み2022

    • Author(s)
      望月崇, 川上真, 山口修平, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      第4回高低気圧ワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CMIP6 piControl実験における全球平均地表面温度の変化と大気上端での放射応答のラグ関係についての要因分析2022

    • Author(s)
      土田耕, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也, 釜江陽一
    • Organizer
      異常気象研究会2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CMIP6 piControl実験における全球平均地表面温度の変化と放射応答のラグ関係についての要因分析2022

    • Author(s)
      土田耕, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也, 釜江陽一
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2022年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ランチタイムレクチャー:地球温暖化の加速と減速の要因分析2022

    • Author(s)
      小坂優
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2022年大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Weakening of the Silk Road teleconnection pattern under global warming in CMIP6 projections2022

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Yuta Uchida
    • Organizer
      CLIVAR Climate Dynamics Panel Workshop 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Weakening of the Silk Road teleconnection under global warming2022

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Yuta Uchida
    • Organizer
      International Forum for Climate and Environmental Changes and Sustainable Development
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] An energetical analysis on wintertime meridional teleconnections over the North Pacific2022

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Ryo Satoh, Syunsuke Nawa, Hisashi Nakamura, Ayumu Miyamoto and Satoru Okajima
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 日本に猛暑をもたらす“二段重ね高気圧”と台風の関係2022

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子,小坂優,川瀬宏明,渡部雅浩
    • Organizer
      気象学会2022年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Use of high-resolution large ensemble simulations for attribution and prediction of extreme events2022

    • Author(s)
      Imada, Y., scientific team of d4PDF
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global ensemble simulations with a cloud-resolving atmosphere and eddy-resolving ocean coupled model2022

    • Author(s)
      Ryusuke Masunaga, Tomoki Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Global storm and ocean-eddy resolving earth system models2022

    • Author(s)
      Daniel Klocke、Tomoki Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Global storm and ocean-eddy resolving earth system models2022

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      3rd PAN-GASS meeting understanding and moreling atmospheric processes
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Findings and insights from the DYAMOND project2022

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Miyakawa, Daniel Klocke, Florian Ziemen, Julia Duras
    • Organizer
      Modelling the Climate System at Ultra-High-Resolution workshop
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Climate of high obliquity exo-terrestrial planets with 3D cloud resolving climate model2022

    • Author(s)
      Takanori Kodama, Daisuke Takasuka, Sam Sheriff-Tadano, Takeshi Kuroda, Tomoki Miyakawa, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Masaki Satoh
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Season-scale large ensemble simulation with a high-resolution nonhydrostatic model, NICAM2022

    • Author(s)
      Yohei Yamada, Masuo Nakano, Tomoki Miyakawa, Chihiro Kodama, Akira Yamazaki, Tomoe Nasuno, Hisashi Yashiro, Masaki Satoh
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global sub-5km mesh Model Intercomparison (DYAMOND2) and Highlighted Experiments on Supercomputer Fugaku2022

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Miyakawa, Daniel Klocke, Yohei Yamada, Florian Ziemen, Tamaki Suematsu, Daisuke Takasuka, Masuo Nakano, Ryusuke Masunaga, Chihiro Kodama, Hisashi Yashiro, Takao Kawasaki, Takemasa Miyoshi, Takanori Kodama and Julia Dura
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Climate of high obliquity terrestrial planets with 3D cloud resolving model2022

    • Author(s)
      Takanori Kodama, Daisuke Takasuka, Sam Sheriff-Tadano, Takeshi Kuroda, Tomoki Miyakawa, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Masaki Satoh
    • Organizer
      Forming and Exploring Habitable Worlds Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Microphysics dependency on the reproducibility of the MJO in the NICAM DYAMOND 2 experiment2022

    • Author(s)
      Suematsu, T., C. Kodama, Y. Yamada., H. Miura, D. Takasuka, T. Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      3rd PAN-GASS meeting understanding and moreling atmospheric processes
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global coupled simulations with cloud-resolving atmosphere and eddy-resolving ocean coupled models2022

    • Author(s)
      Ryusuke Masunaga; Tomoki Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      2nd EarthCARE Modeling Workshop, Shuzenji
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global sub-5 km mesh model intercomparison (DYAMOND2)2022

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Miyakawa, Daniel Klocke, Florian Zieman, Julia Duras
    • Organizer
      2nd EarthCARE Modeling Workshop
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The fluctuation of the monsoon trough between global ensemble experiments with NICAM and NICOCO2022

    • Author(s)
      Yutaro Nirasawa, Tomoki Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      2nd EarthCARE Modeling Workshop
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] NICAM sensitivity to soil moisture in DYAMOND2 simulation2022

    • Author(s)
      Kazuki Kondo, Tomoki Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      2nd EarthCARE Modeling Workshop
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 大アンサンブル実験を用いた台風発生ポテンシャルの評価2022

    • Author(s)
      山田 洋平, 宮川 知己, 中野 満寿男, 小玉 知央, 高須賀 大輔, 山崎 哲, 八代尚, 那須野 智江, 杉 正人, 佐藤 正樹,
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2022年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 北太平洋とユーラシア付近の大気海洋の振動が日本の冬季の気温変動に与える影響2022

    • Author(s)
      川上真, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      第43回日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The rapid global surface warming since the mid-2010s and the role of tropical Pacific decadal variability2022

    • Author(s)
      Kosaka, Y., S.-P. Xie
    • Organizer
      Ocean Sciences Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Model Improvement2022

    • Author(s)
      Miyakawa, T.
    • Organizer
      WCRP workshop on Future of Climate Modelling
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Global coupled simulations with cloud-resolving atmosphere and eddyresolving ocean coupled models2022

    • Author(s)
      Ryusuke Masunaga; Tomoki miyakawa
    • Organizer
      Ocean Science Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Towards understanding climate extremes, variability and predictability under changing climate over East Asia2021

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki, T., Y. Kosaka, M. Mori, Y. Imada, T. Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Decadal modulation of the Pacific climate extremes and variability2021

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki, T.
    • Organizer
      2020 Northeast Asian Symposium
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Decadal modulation of the Pacific climate extremes and variability2021

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki, T., Y. Imada, Y. Kosaka, T. Miyakawa, M. Mori
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Interdecadal Variation of Perturbation Feedback Parameter in MIROC6 piControl Simulation2021

    • Author(s)
      Tsuchida, K., T. Mochizuki, R. Kawamura, T. Kawano
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Interdecadal Variation of Perturbational Feedback Parameter in MIROC6 piControl Simulation2021

    • Author(s)
      Tsuchida, K., T. Mochizuki, R. Kawamura, T. Kawano
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] WACEパターン形成・維持に対する大気-海氷結合の役割2021

    • Author(s)
      森正人, 小坂優, 田口文明
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CMIP6 piControl実験における摂動フィードバックパラメータ(PFP)の変動とその要因分析2021

    • Author(s)
      土田耕, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CMIP6 piControl 実験における PFP の中期変動とその要因分析2021

    • Author(s)
      土田耕, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      第7回MJO研究会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] MIROC6 piControl実験における摂動フィードバックパラメータの変動とそのメカニズム解明2021

    • Author(s)
      土田耕, 望月崇, 川村隆一, 川野哲也
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Weakening of the Silk Road teleconnection pattern under global warming in CMIP6 projections2021

    • Author(s)
      Kosaka, Y.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Two dominant teleconnection patterns over the summertime Northwestern Pacific and their interdecadal modulations2021

    • Author(s)
      Kosaka, Y., T. Machimura, H. Kubota, H. Nakamura, and S.-P. Xie
    • Organizer
      ACRE 2021 workshop
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] CMIP6 モデルにおけるシルクロードパターンの温暖化に伴う変調2021

    • Author(s)
      小坂 優
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Skillful predictions of the Asian summer monsoon one year ahead2021

    • Author(s)
      Kosaka, Y., Y. Takaya, M. Watanabe and S. Maeda
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Potential predictability of regional extreme events associated with large-scale variations in the tropical ocean2021

    • Author(s)
      Imada, Y., and H. Kawase
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 日本の地表面気温変動における中緯度大気海洋結合の役割~Event Attributionにおける大気海洋結合作用の重要性~2021

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子, 長谷川聡, 塩竃秀夫, 森正人, 建部晶洋, 渡部雅浩
    • Organizer
      2021年度日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Long-term potential predictability of regional extreme events in East Asia estimated from a high-resolution large ensemble2021

    • Author(s)
      Imada, Y., and H. Kawase
    • Organizer
      WCRP workshop on attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Long-term potential predictability of regional extreme events in East Asia estimated from a high-resolution large ensemble2021

    • Author(s)
      Imada, Y., and H. Kawase
    • Organizer
      WCRP Workshop on Extremes in Climate Prediction Ensembles(ExCPEns)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Attributing extreme weather events over East Asia: Heavy rain2021

    • Author(s)
      Imada, Y., H. Kawase, and M. Watanabe
    • Organizer
      2020 NORTHEAST ASIAN SYMPOSIUM
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 高解像度のラージアンサンブルシミュレーションによって見積もられる豪雨の発生頻度の季節予測可能性2021

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子, 川瀬宏明
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高解像度のラージアンサンブルシミュレーションによって見積もられる局所的な大雨の発生確率の季節予測可能性2021

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子, 川瀬宏明
    • Organizer
      2021年度長期予報研究連絡会研究会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ntroduction to the Ocean-Coupled Components of DYAMOND22021

    • Author(s)
      Miyakawa, T., T. Suematsu, R. Masunaga, T. Kawasaki, R. Shibuya, C. Kodama, M. Nakano, H. Yashiro, M. Satoh
    • Organizer
      PASC2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Surface wind responses to mesoscale sea-surface temperature over western boundary currents assessed by spectral transfer functions2021

    • Author(s)
      Ryusuke Masunaga; Niklas Schneider
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Overview of global scale large ensemble simulations using NICAM on Fugaku2021

    • Author(s)
      Miyakawa, T., Yamada, Y., Suematsu, T., Masunaga, R., Takasuka, D., Nakano, M., Kodama, C., Yashiro, H., Satoh, M., Miyoshi, T., Kodama, T., and Kawasaki, T.
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Towards S2S-scale Large-ensemble Prediction Using Global Cloud/cloud-system Resolving Model NICAM on Fugaku2021

    • Author(s)
      Miyakawa, T., Yamada, Y., Suematsu, T., Masunaga, R., Takasuka, D., Nakano, M., Kodama, C., Yashiro, H., Satoh, M., Miyoshi, T., Kodama, T., and Kawasaki, T.
    • Organizer
      AOGS 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global large ensemble simulations with a cloud-resolving atmosphere and eddy-resolving ocean model2021

    • Author(s)
      Ryusuke Masunaga; Tomoki Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Global coupled simulations with cloud-resolving atmosphere and eddy-resolving ocean coupled models2021

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, R., T. Miyakawa
    • Organizer
      AGU fall meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 全球雲解像海洋結合モデルNICOCO 現状と展望2021

    • Author(s)
      宮川知己
    • Organizer
      海洋学会2021年度秋季大会シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 富岳」におけるNICAMを用いた全球スケール予測の取り組み2021

    • Author(s)
      宮川知己, 山田洋平, 末松環, 升永竜介, 高須賀大輔, 中野満寿男, 小玉知央, 八代尚, 佐藤正樹, 三好健正, 小玉貴則, 川崎高雄
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 富岳」におけるNICAMを用いた全球スケール予測の取り組み2021

    • Author(s)
      宮川知己, 山田洋平, 末松環, 升永竜介, 高須賀大輔, 中野満寿男, 小玉知央, 八代尚, 佐藤正樹, 三好健正, 小玉貴則, 川崎高雄
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 富岳を用いた NICAM/NICOCO アンサンブル実験による台風延長予測に向けた取り組み2021

    • Author(s)
      宮川知己, 山田洋平, 末松環, 升永竜介, 高須賀大輔, 中野満寿男, 小玉知央, 八代尚, 佐藤正樹, 三好建正, 小玉貴則, 川崎高雄
    • Organizer
      2021年度長期予報研究連絡会研究会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 海面水温に対する海上風の応答についての数値モデルの再現性2021

    • Author(s)
      升永竜介
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 全球雲解像渦解像度結合モデル実験へ向けた取り組み2021

    • Author(s)
      升永竜介、宮川知己
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大気再解析における高解像度海面水温データの意義2021

    • Author(s)
      升永竜介
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2021年度秋季大会シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Pacific-Indian Ocean coupling and seasonal prediction of the Asian summer climate2021

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Yuhei Takaya, Mashiro Watanabe, Shuhei Maeda
    • Organizer
      WCRP-CLIVAR Workshop on Climate Interactions among the Tropical Basins
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Seasonality and regional characteristics of sea-surface wind responses to mesoscale SST features assessed by the transfer function2021

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, R., N. Schneider
    • Organizer
      101st AMS annual meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 北極海の海氷減少と東アジアの寒冬について2021

    • Author(s)
      森正人
    • Organizer
      研究会「長期予報 と大気大循環」
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 近未来の気候変動や異常気象の理解と予測に向けた取り組み2021

    • Author(s)
      望月崇
    • Organizer
      第42回日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Modulations of the Silk Road teleconnection pattern under global warming in large ensemble AGCM simulations2020

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Yuta Uchida
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Summertime climate anomalies in Asia and the Northwestern Pacific induced by ENSO: Dependence on ENSO’s phase transition2020

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Daiki Kado
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] シルクロードパターンの地球温暖化に伴う変調とその要因2020

    • Author(s)
      小坂 優・内田 裕太
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Potential predictability of extremes estimated by large ensemble simulations2020

    • Author(s)
      Yukiko Imada
    • Organizer
      AGU2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 南インド洋冬季亜熱帯高気圧の維持メカニズム2020

    • Author(s)
      宮本歩
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] On the maintenance mechanisms for the wintertime subtropical high over the South Indian Ocean2020

    • Author(s)
      Miyamoto, A.
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Radiative impacts of low-level clouds on the subtropical high in the South Indian Ocean simulated in a coupled general circulation model2020

    • Author(s)
      Miyamoto, A.
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 南インド洋冬季亜熱帯高気圧の維持力学2020

    • Author(s)
      宮本歩
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2020年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Processes shaping the time-mean surface wind convergence patterns around the Kuroshio Extension and Gulf Stream in winter2020

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, R., H. Nakamura, B. Taguchi, T. Miyasaka
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Seasonality and regional characteristics of sea-surface wind responses to mesoscale SST features assessed by the transfer functions2020

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, R., N. Schneider
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] MIROC6 歴史実験における摂動フィードバックパラメータと環境場の関係2020

    • Author(s)
      土田 耕, 望月 崇, 川村 隆一, 川野 哲也
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2020年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Atlantic SST influences on the Pacific subdecadal variability2020

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki, T., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] MIROC6 piControl実験における摂動フィードバックパラメータと環境場の関係2020

    • Author(s)
      土田 耕, 望月 崇, 川村 隆一, 川野 哲也
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中緯度気候現象の中長期変調や変化の理解に向けた取組み2020

    • Author(s)
      望月崇, 小坂優, 森正人, 今田由紀子, 宮川知己
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Atlantic impacts on subdecadal warming over the tropical Pacific in the 2000s2020

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki, T., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 近未来予測にまつわるグローバル気候変動メカニズム研究2020

    • Author(s)
      望月崇
    • Organizer
      第41回日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Remote influence of the tropical Pacific variability on Arctic climate2020

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Tsubasa Takigawa, Lea Svendsen, Bunmei Taguchi
    • Organizer
      Sixth International Symposium on Arctic Research
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Event attribution using MIROC5 and the JMA/MRI models2020

    • Author(s)
      Yukiko Imada
    • Organizer
      8th EU-Japan Workshop on Climate Change Research
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atlantic impacts on the tropical Pacific climate in the 2000s2019

    • Author(s)
      Mochizuki, T., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto
    • Organizer
      American Geoscience Union Fall Meeting 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 気候変動の予測可能性に関わる大洋間結合2019

    • Author(s)
      望月崇
    • Organizer
      第6回MJO研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Resolution dependencies of tropical convection in global cloud/cloud-system resolving NICAM2019

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki MIYAKAWA, Hiroaki MIURA
    • Organizer
      AOGS 16th Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 大規模アンサンブル実験結果を用いた台風季節予報の可能性調査22019

    • Author(s)
      片山卓彦, 水島佳緒, 千葉丈太郎, 吉田康平, 宮川知己, 木本昌秀
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2019秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A reconciled estimate of the influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on recent Eurasian cooling2019

    • Author(s)
      Masato Mori
    • Organizer
      Meteorological Society of Japan Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] A reconciled estimate of the influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on recent Eurasian cooling2019

    • Author(s)
      Masato Mori
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] A reconciled estimate of the influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on recent Eurasian cooling2019

    • Author(s)
      Masato Mori
    • Organizer
      International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] A reconciled estimate of the influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on recent Eurasian cooling2019

    • Author(s)
      Masato Mori
    • Organizer
      Arctic-East Asia Weather Linkage Workshop
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 近年のユーラシアの寒冷化に果たす北極海氷減少の影響2019

    • Author(s)
      森正人
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2019年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Remote influence of the tropical Pacific variability on Arctic climate2019

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Tsubasa Takigawa, Lea Svendsen, Bunmei Taguchi, Yukiko Imada
    • Organizer
      10th International Workshop on Tropical Marine Environmental Changes
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Seasonal prediction of Asian summer climate enabled by the Pacific-Indian Ocean coupling2019

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Yuhei Takaya, Masahiro Watanabe, Shuhei Maeda, Shang-Ping Xie
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Remote influence of tropical Pacific internal variability on Arctic climate2019

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Tsubasa Takigawa, Lea Svendsen, Bunmei Taguchi, Yukiko Imada
    • Organizer
      Meteorological Society of Japan Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Remote influence of ENSO and Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability on the Arctic climate2019

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Tsubasa Takigawa, Lea Svendsen, Bunmei Taguchi, Yukiko Imada
    • Organizer
      International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics General Assembly 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Extreme weather and climate change ~How to detect a signal of change in atmospheric noises~2019

    • Author(s)
      Imada Y.
    • Organizer
      3rd UK-Japan Frontiers of Science Symposium
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 豪雨のイベント・アトリビューション~極端現象と温暖化の関係を解き明かす新手法~2019

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子
    • Organizer
      第2回洪水リスク研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 熱帯不安定波が大気大循環に与える影響2019

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子, 辻野 博之, 山中 吾郎, 浦川 昇吾
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2019年秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 気候モデルを用いた短期気候変動予測研究および極端気象に対する温暖化寄与推定の研究2019

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2019年秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Coupling of the Indian, western North Pacific, and East Asian summer monsoons. In “Indian Summer Monsoon: El Nio-Teleconnections and Beyond"2021

    • Author(s)
      Y. Kosaka
    • Total Pages
      494
    • Publisher
      Elsevier
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 温暖化と気候2021

    • Author(s)
      今田由紀子
    • Total Pages
      854
    • Publisher
      杏林書院『保健の科学』
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Basin Interactions and Predictability. In C. Mechoso (Ed.), Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts2020

    • Author(s)
      Noel Keenlyside, Yu Kosaka, Nicolas Vigaud, Andrew W. Robertson, Yiguo Wang, Dietmar Dommenget, Jing-Jia Luo, Daniela Matei
    • Total Pages
      342
    • Publisher
      Cambridge University Press
    • ISBN
      9781108492706
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] The Indo-western Pacific Ocean capacitor effect. In S. Behera (Ed.), Tropical and Extratropical Air-Sea Interactions2020

    • Author(s)
      Yu Kosaka, Yuhei Takaya, Youichi Kamae
    • Total Pages
      307
    • Publisher
      Elsevier
    • ISBN
      9780128181560
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 変わりゆく気候系における中緯度大気海洋相互作用hotspot

    • URL

      http://www.jamstec.go.jp/apl/hotspot2/

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report 2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-07-04   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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