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Economic Analysis of Land and Stock Prices

Research Project

Project/Area Number 01450082
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field 経済事情及び政策学
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

KANEMOTO Yoshitsugu  University of Tokyo, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (00134198)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) NISHIMURA Kiyohiko  University of Tokyo, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (70164580)
Project Period (FY) 1989 – 1990
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1990)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000)
Fiscal Year 1990: ¥900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 1989: ¥2,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000)
Keywordsland price / fundamentals / bubbles / land taxation / information / competition / efficient markets / キャピタル・ゲイン税 / 効率市場 / 投機 / 資産課税
Research Abstract

Based on theoretical analysis of the effects of land taxation, Kanemoto showed that the lock-in effect of a tax on realized capital gains is small and that the effect of the property tax on the supply of residential land is also small.
Nishimura analyzed the historical patterns of land price changes in Japan and examined whether or not they can be explained by fundamentals. The results are negative for a rapid appreciation of land price between 1986 and 1988.
Kanemoto wrote a paper which summarizes the institutional background, the tax system, historical experiences, and the current problems of the Japanese residential and land markets.
Kanemoto analyzed the qualitative and quantitative effects of taxed on land price, property value, vacant land, and realized capital gains in a dynamic model of land development.
Nishimura wrote a paper which investigated imperfectly competitive firms' investment such as acquisition of land for new factories. The result shows that investment is quite volatile when firms are faced with uncertainty about future.
Nishimura investigated whether or not the Japanese land market is efficient, and found that the market for farm land is likely to be efficient, although the market for residential, commercial and industrial land is not.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1990 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1989 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All Other

All Publications (8 results)

  • [Publications] Nishimura,Kiyohiko G,: "Differential Information,Monopolistic Competition and Investment" International Economic Review. (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 西村 清彦・三輪 芳朗 共編: "日本の株価・地価" 東京大学出版会, 320 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kanemoto, Yoshitsugu,: "Land price and the effects of land taxation on the supply of residential land" Land and stock prices in JAPAN. 135-164, (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nishimura, Kiyohiko G.,: "Land price determination mechanism in Japan" Land and stock price in JAPAN. 109-134, (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nishimura, Kiyohiko G.,: "Differential information, monopolistic competition, and investment" International Economic Review. (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nishimura,Kiyohiko G: "Differential Information,Monopolistic Competition and Investment" International Economic Review. (1991)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 西村 清彦・三輪 芳朗共編: "日本の株価・地価" 東京大学出版会, 320 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 西村清彦・三輪芳朗共編: "日本の株価・地価" 東京大学出版会, (1990)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1989-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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