| Project/Area Number |
01460187
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (B)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Research Field |
交通工学・国土計画
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| Research Institution | Tottori University |
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Principal Investigator |
OKUYAMA Yasuhide Tottori University, Fac. of Eng. Professor, 工学部, 教授 (90204156)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
KURODA Katsuhiko Kumamoto University, Fac. of Eng., Professor, 工学部, 教授 (20026157)
KITA Hideyuki Tottori University, Fac. of Eng., Assoc. Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (50135521)
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| Project Period (FY) |
1989 – 1991
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 1991)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥4,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000)
Fiscal Year 1991: ¥1,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000)
Fiscal Year 1990: ¥1,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 1989: ¥1,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000)
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| Keywords | Multiple Encounter / Encounter of Ships / Accident Prevention / Simulation Model / Probabilistic Model / Network Design / Traffic Control / Collision Risk / シミュレ-ション・モデル / 多重遭遇 / 発生確率 / 推定モデル / 衝突事故 / 海上交通 / 計画法 |
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| Research Abstract |
Both the decrease of navigational waters and the increase of pleasure boats which derive from the recent progress of coastal zone utilization in congested waters carry more dangerous situation in ship traffic. Under such a situation, a multiple encounter, the situation that more than three ships simultaneously encounter in each other, is focused as a quite dangerous situation leading to a collision, because no navigational rule to resolve the situation exists.
This study aims to reduce the occurrence of multiple encounter of ships from a view point of maritime traffic engineering. The proposed procedure to find effective counter measures to reduce the occurrence of multiple encounters starts from collecting traffic and network data concerned, and involves following models and techniques :
(1)a technique to grasp the present situation of occurrence of multiple encounters,
(2)a simulation model to estimate the future distributions of headway and sailing course of ships on the network after changed.
(3)a mathematical model to calculate the probability of occurrence of multiple encounters under the changed network,
(4)a simulation model which gives us useful information on ship traffic control to resolve multiple encounters.
Through the model development and its examination, some interesting knowledges have been found, which include :
(1)Both unifying and dispersing links of a navigation network gives the increase of the probability of occurrence of multiple encounter. This tendency suggests the existence of optimal link density of a navigation network.
(2)The water area where multiple encounter often occurs depends the types of multiple encounter such as those with and without rule conflict in collision avoidance.
The models and techniques mentioned above are arranged into "A systematic procedure to reduce multiple encounters of ships by network design and traffic control".
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