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Reliability Analysis and Management of Water Resources System with Probabilistic Matrix Approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 01550402
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Hydraulic engineering
Research InstitutionGifu. University

Principal Investigator

KOJIRI Toshiharu  Univ. of Gifu Civil Eng. Associate Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (00026353)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) OKA Fusao  Univ. of Gifu Civil Eng. Professor, 工学部, 教授 (10111923)
Project Period (FY) 1989 – 1990
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1990)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1990: ¥700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000)
Fiscal Year 1989: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
KeywordsBasin simulation / Probabilistic matrix / Shift operation / Vector optimization / Conflict analysis / Reliability / Fuzzy inference / 信頼度 / 回復度 / 深刻度 / 安全度 / 利水システム / 渇水評価 / 治水システム / シフト・オペレ-ション
Research Abstract

1. Basin simulation with matrix method
In order to estimate the rainfall and runーoff process in whole river basin, rainfall was simulated through multiーpoint and simultaneous matrix method of oneーorder Marcov chain. Introducing linear regression model for longーterm and storage function model for shortーterm, discharge sequences are calculated and conditional probability matrixes of discharge were gained.
2. Probabilistic evaluation of water quantity and quality
Water resources system including storage reservoir is consisting of several units such as division, confluence, reservoir, intake, purification, usage and so on. The transition processes were formulated in time and space based on probabilistic matrix methods. Probabilistic evaluation was taken at any reference point through shift operation and it's inverse method.
3. Multiーobjective evaluation of water resources system
Water quantity and quality were evaluated at reference point considering reliability, resiliency and vulnerability. These criteria were applied to the real water resources systems in the cases of the linear type, the lumping purification type and the reーuse type. Then the vector optimization technique is employed to find the best solution for decision making of planning.
4. Optimal planning of site, scale and schedule of water resources systems
When drought or flood control projects are planned, there are several conflicts between governments and the residents who live on the project site, or the residents in the upstream area and in the down stream area. Introducing the conflict analysis which is one of metaーgame theories, the game was formulated then the rational solution was gained under the conditional constraints of different preferences for players and changing preference in time.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1990 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1989 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (21 results)

All Other

All Publications (21 results)

  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "パタ-ン認識を用いた渇水流況の評価" 土木学会中部支部研究発表会 講演要旨集. 180-181 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "水文デ-タへのパタ-ン分類化手法の適用性評価" 水文・水資源学会誌. 第2巻1号. 53-59 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "パタ-ン認識を用いた流況の分類と渇水評価" 水文・水資源学会1989年研究発表会 要旨集. 145-146 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "確率マトリクスを用いたダム群の利水安全度に関する研究" 土木学会中部支部研究発表会 講演要旨集. 128-129 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Kojiri: "Optimal Modeling in Water Resources Management Systems Based on Probabilistic Matrix Method" International Symposium on Hydrology and Water Resources,New Zealand. 279-283 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "確率マトリクス法による貯水池システムの利水安全度評価" 水文・水資源学会1990年研究発表会 要旨表. 270-273 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "パタ-ン分類による低水流況の分類と渇水管理" 土木学会中部支部 研究発表会講演要旨集. 158-159 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S.Ikebuch:"Multiーobjective reservoir operation including turbidity control" AWRA,special issue. (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Kojiri et al.: "Evaluation of drought hydrographs through pattern recognition" Proc. of Annual Conference of JSCE Chubu Branch. 180-181 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Kojiri et al.: "Application of Classification Techniques to Hydrological Data" Jr. of Japan Association of Hydrology and Water Resources. Vol. 2 No. 1. 53-59 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Kojiri et al.: "Classification of hydrographs through pattern recognition" Proc. of Annual Conference of JAHWR. 145-146 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Kojiri et al.: "Reliability of water resources system with storage reservoirs based on probabilistic matrix" Proc. of Annual Conference of JSCE Chubu Branch. 128-129 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Kojiri et al.: "Optimal modelling in water resources management systems based on probabilistic matrix method" International symposium on Hydrology and Water Resources 1989, New Zealand. 279-283 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Kojiri et al.: "Reliability analysis of conjunctive reservoir systems with probabilistic matrix method" Proc. of Annual Conference of JAHWR. 270-273 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Kojiri et al.: "Classification of drought hydrographs and it's control" Proc. of Annual Conference of JSCE Chubu Branch. 158-159 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S. Ikebuchi et al.: "Multiーobjective reservoir operation including turbidity control" AWRA, special issue. (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "確率マトリクス法による貯水池システムの利水安全度評価" 水文・水質源学会1990年研究発表会要旨集. 270-273 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 小尻 利治: "パタ-ン分類による低水流況の分類と渇水管理" 土木学会中部支部研究発表会講演概要集. 158-159 (1991)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.Ikebuchi,: "Multiーobjective reservoir operation including turbidity control" AWRA,special issue. (1991)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kogiri、T.: "Optimal Modeling in Water Resources Monagement Systems Based on Probabilistic Matrix Method" Hydrology and water Resources Syuposium 1989、New zealand. 279-283 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 小尻利治: "確率マトリクスを用いたダム群の利水安全度に関する研究" 土木学会中部支部研究発表会講演概要集. 128-129 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1989-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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