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Structural REliability Analysis Based on Fast Monte Carlo Simulation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 04650395
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field 船舶構造・建造
Research InstitutionHIROSHIMA UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

FUJIMOTO Yukio  Hiroshima University Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (60136140)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) HUANG Yi  Hiroshima University Faculty of Engineering, Rsearch Assosiate, 工学部, 助手 (20253114)
IWATA Mitsumasa  Hiroshima University Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (80034346)
Project Period (FY) 1992 – 1993
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1993)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 1993: ¥500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000)
Fiscal Year 1992: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
KeywordsStructural Reliability / Monte Carlo Method / Failure Probability / Elasto-Plastic / Importance Sampling / Stratified Sampling / Space Probing Method / Reliability / 信頼性解析 / 空間分割探査 / シミュレーション
Research Abstract

Monte Carlo Simulation is a versatile method in structual reliability analysis. In this study, a probability space probing method is presented for the effeicient estimate of failure probability in ealsto-plastic structural problem, where failure functions can not given explicitly. In order to prove the location and the shape of failure functions by a limited number of simulations, the probability space consisting of m-random variables is roughly divided into m-dimensional hypercubes. The structural analyzes are carried out using the values at the corners of each hypercube. If the structure fail or not fail at all the corners of a hypercube, then the subregion is regarded as belonging to the failure or safety domain, respectively. Else if the structure fail at some corners and not fail at the other corners of a hypercube, then the subregion is regarded as lying across the failure function. For the hypercubes lying across the failure function, the subregions are divided into half size in each axis, and the structural analyzes are carried out again using the values at the corners of the half size hypercubes. Then the subregions are classified into the above three groups. Repeating this subdivision process for several times, the failure function comes up clearly in the probability space. The failure probability of the structure can be obtained by the numerical integration of theprobability density in the failure domain. The proposed method is applied to the mathematical problems and the structural problems. Through the numerical simulation it is made clear that the proposed method is more efficient tan the importance sampling method when the number of random variables is less than four. Further it is found that the efficiency of the proposed method is not influenced by the level of failure probability.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1993 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1992 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All Other

All Publications (6 results)

  • [Publications] 藤本由紀夫: "空間分割探査による構造信頼性解析" 西部造船会会報. 87(印刷中). (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1993 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yukio Fujimoto, Masaru MIzukami, Toshimitsu Kaji, and Ko-ji Ishikura: "Structural Reliability Analysis Based on the Probability Space Probing Method" Jurnal of the West Society of Naval Architects, Japan.Vol.87(Now printing.). (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1993 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 藤本由紀夫: "空間分割探査による構造信頼性解析" 西部造船会々報. 87(印刷中). (1994)

    • Related Report
      1993 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 藤本 由紀夫: "経年劣化構造物の検査計画立案と不確実因子の影響" 日本造船学会論文集. 172. 649-662 (1993)

    • Related Report
      1992 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 藤本 由紀夫: "経年劣化構造物の検査計画立案に関する一考察(不確実性に強い検査計画)" 日本造船学会論文集. 173. (1993)

    • Related Report
      1992 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 岩田 光正 黄 一 藤本 由紀夫: "Application of BEM to Design of Impressed Current Cathodic Protection System for Ship Hull" 日本造船学会論文集. 171. 177-184 (1992)

    • Related Report
      1992 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1992-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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