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Near-Earth flux of small bodies of cometary origin

Research Project

Project/Area Number 06640361
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Astronomy
Research InstitutionNational Astronomical Observatory

Principal Investigator

NAKAMURA Tsuko  National Astronomical Obs., Opt.& IR division, Associate Prof., 光学赤外線天文学研究系, 助教授 (80107474)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) YOSHIKAWA Makoto  Communications Research Laboratory, Head Researcher, 通信総合研究所, 主任研究員
Project Period (FY) 1994 – 1995
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1995)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000)
Fiscal Year 1995: ¥300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 1994: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
KeywordsComets / Asteroids / Impact probability / 軌道進化
Research Abstract

Purposes :
Exact estimates of total population of periodic comets (PC) and impact probabilities with planets are very important in analysis of cratering statistics imprinted on planets and their satellites. The purposes of this research are to obtain correct impact probabilities of PCs and their total number estimate through long-term numerical integration of their orbits.
Method :
We integrated the orbits of 228 PCs with period less than 1000 years, for +/- 30,000 years. The results of those orbital evolution and close encounters with planets are statistically analyzed.
Main results :
(1) We found that the total number of invisible PCs which interact with Jupiter is sbout 30 times as many as the number of observable PCs.
(2) It is found that the conventional impact probabilities of PCs with the inner Planets estimated by Opik-Wethrill model are 10-40 times overestimated.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1995 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1994 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All Other

All Publications (11 results)

  • [Publications] T. Nakamura: "Size dependence of asteroid belt structure" "Seventy-five years of Hirayama Asteroid families," ASP Conf. series. 63. 52-61 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M. Yoshikawa: "Near-misses in orbital motion of asteroids" Icarus. 108. 298-308 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Nakamura: "Close encounters and collisions of short-period comets with Jupiter and itss" Icarus. 116. 113-130 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Nakamura: "Exponential growth of round-trip error and instability of orbits of small bodies in the outer solar system" Planet. Space Ssi.43. 801-815 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Nakamura: "Size dependence of asteroid belt structure" ASP Conf.series, "Seventy-five years of Hirayama asteroid families". vol.63. 52-61 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Yoshikawa and T.Nakamura: "Near-misses in orbital motion of asteroids" Icarus. vol.108. 298-308 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Nakamura and M.Yoshikawa: "Close encounters and collisions of short-period comets with Jupiter and its satellites" Icarus. vol.116. 113-130 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Nakamura and M.Yoshikawa: "Exponential growth of round-trip error and instability of orbits of small bodies in the outer solar system" Planet.Space Sci.vol.43. 801-815 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1995 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Nakamura & M.Yoshikawa: "Close encounters and collisions of short-period comets with Jupiter and its satellites" Icarus. 116. 113-130 (1995)

    • Related Report
      1995 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] T.Nakamura & M.Yoshikawa: "Exponential growth of round-trip error and instability of orbits of small bodies in the outer solar system" Planet.Space Sci.43. 801-815 (1995)

    • Related Report
      1995 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] T.Nakamura and M.Yoshikawa: "Exponential growth of round-trip error and instability of orbits of small bodies in the outer solar system" Planetary Space Sciences. (in the press). (1995)

    • Related Report
      1994 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1994-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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