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Farecast of Seismic Activity in the North Aratolian fault

Research Project

Project/Area Number 07044071
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for international Scientific Research

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
SectionJoint Research
Research InstitutionTokyo Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

HONKURA Yoshinori  Tokyo Institute of Technology Professor, 理学部, 教授 (00114637)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) YAZICI-CAKIN O  Bogazici University, 助手
MALIN S.R.C  Bogazici University, 教授
PINAR A  Bogazici University, 助手
VCER S.B  Bogazici University, 助教授
GURBUZ C  Bogazici University, 教授
ISHIKARA A.M  Bogazici University, 教授
MATSUSHIMA Masaki  Tokyo Institute of Technology, 理学部, 助手 (20242266)
OKUBO Shuhei  Tokyo Uniersity, 地震研究所, 助教授 (30152078)
ITO Akihiko  Utsunoiya University, 理学部, 助教授 (70134252)
OSHIMAN Naoto  Kyoto University, 防災研究所, 助教授 (70185255)
YAZAKIーCAKIN オー  ボアージチ大学, 助手
MALIN S.M.C  ボアージチ大学, 教授
Project Period (FY) 1995 – 1996
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1996)
Budget Amount *help
¥9,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,900,000)
Fiscal Year 1996: ¥3,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000)
Fiscal Year 1995: ¥6,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,400,000)
KeywordsTurkey / North Anatolian fault / Seismic gap / active fault / Earthzuake / Earthzuake source Process / Geomagnetic field / Teiluric field / 地震予知
Research Abstract

The North Anatolian fault zone in northern Turkey has been considered to be a test field for earthquake prediction studies, because there exists a so-called seismic gap. The purpose of this research is to investigate the characteristics of earthquake generation through seismic studies and their relation to a large earthquake which has been considered to occur in the gap area in the future. In addition, continuous measurements of the geomagnetic and telluric fields have been made in the gap area to detect anomalies and clarify their mechanisms.
(1) Seismic observation
In order to monitor microseismic activity in the gap area, we have established a radio-linked seismic observation system consisting of a base station, where a three-component seismometer was set up, and five saztellite stations, where a vertical-component seismometer was installed. It was found from the observations that some microearthquakes have been occurring in the gap area, but the detection level for microseismicity tu … More rned out to be still insufficient. So we are now installing a few more stations.
(2) Strain measurement
A precise strainmeter was installed at a station located very close to an active fault in the gap area to monitor a possible strain change associated with fault displacement. However, the installation depth turned out to be too shallow to escape from the temperature effect and the observed data must be processed so as to remove this effect.
(3) Geomasgnetic and telluric measurements
Seven geomagnetic and two telluric stations have been in operation to monitor possible changes in the geomagnetic and telluric fields associated with earth quakes in the study area. So far we have obtained some examples of anomalous changes in the telluric field associated with some rather small earthquakes.
(4) Study of earthquake source process
We have analyzed seismic records of more than twenty events in Turkey, and detailed earthquake source processes have benn clarified in relation to tectonics. In particular, it was found that the 1967 Mudurnu Valley easrthquake has a complicated source process, this earthquake can be characterized generally by a strike-slip mechanism, but at its western end the normal-fault constituent was found. This is expected to provide a clue to the generation process of a large earthquake in the gap area, that is the west of the source area of the Mudurnu Valley earthquake. Less

Report

(3 results)
  • 1996 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1995 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All Other

All Publications (15 results)

  • [Publications] A.Pinar,M.Kikuchi and Y.Honkura,: "Rupture patterns of the large earthquakes in Turkey and their implications for seismotectonics" Phys.Earth Planet.Interiors. (発表予定).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Pinar,Y.Honkura and M.Kikuchi,: "A Rupture model for the 1967 Mudurmu Valley,Turkey earthquake and its implication for seismotectonics in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone" Geophys.Res.Lett.23. 29-32 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S.Baris,B.Ucer,A.Ito,N.Kafadar,H.A.Alcik,A.Pinar,C.Gurbuz,Y.Honkura and A.M.Isikara: "A local micro-earthquake network IZINET in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone,Turkey" 地球惑星科学関連学会1996年合同大会予稿集. 340. (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S.Sakanaka,N.Oshiman and N.Sumitomo,: "Numerical evaluation of seismomagnetic effect for fault models" Proc.13th Workshop of Electromagnetic Induction in the Earth. 20-21 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Pinar, M.Kikuchi and Y.Honkura: "Rupture patterns of the large earthquakes in Turkey and their implications for seismotectonics" Phys.Earth planet.Interiors. (in press).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Pinar, Y.Honkura and M.Kikuchi: "A Rupture model for the 1967 Mudrurmu Valley, Turkey earthquake and its implication for seismotectonics in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone" Geophys.Res.Lett.23. 29-32 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S.Baris, B.Ucer, A.Ito, N.Kafadar, H.A.Alcik, A.Pinar, C.Gurbuz, Y.Honkura and A.M.Ishikara: "A local micro-earthquake network IZINET in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone, Turkey" Abstraet 13th Workshop of Electromagnetic Induction in the Earth. 340. (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S.Sakanaka, N.Oshiman and N.Sumitomo: "Numerical evaluation of seismomagnetic effect for fault models" Proc.13th Workshop of Electromagnetic Induction in the Earth. 20-21 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S.Sakanaka, N.Oshiman and N.Sumitomo: "Stability of the annual and semi-annual variations of the geomagnetic field" Proc.13th Workshop of Electromagnetic Induction is the Earth. 73-74 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Pinar,M.Kikuchi and Y.Honkura,: "Rupture patterns of the large earthquakes in Turkey and their implications for seismotectonics" Phys.Earth Planet.Interiors. (発売予定).

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] A.Pinar,Y.Honkura and M.Kikuchi,: "A Rupture model for the 1967 Mudurmu Valley,Turkey earthquake and its implication for seismotectonics in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone" Geophys.Res.Lett.23. 29-32 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.Baris,B.Ucer,A.Ito,N.Kafadar,H.A.Alcik,A.Pinar,C.Gurbuz,Y.Honkura and A.M.Isikara: "A local micro-earthquake network IZINET in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone,Turkey" 地球惑星科学関連学会1996年合同大会予稿集. 340. (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.Sakanaka,N.Oshiman and N.Sumitomo,: "Numerical evaluation of seismomagnetic effect for fault models" Proc.13th Workshop of Electroma. 20-21 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.Sakanaka,N.Oshiman and N.Sumitomo,: "Stability of the annual and semi-annual variations of the geomagnetic field" Proc.13th Workshop of Electromagnetic Induction in the Earth,. 73-74 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] A.Pinar,Y.Honkura,and M.Kikuchi: "A Rupture model for the 1967 Mudurmu Valley,Turkey earthquake and its implication for seismotectonics in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone" Geophys.Res.Lett.23. 29-32 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1995 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1995-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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