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A Study on the Application of Baysian Approach to the Route Guidance System Planning

Research Project

Project/Area Number 07650624
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 交通工学・国土計画
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

MORITSU Hideo  Faculty of Engineering, Kobe University Associate Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (10107980)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TAKEBAYASHI Mikio  Faculty of Engineering, Kobe University Research Associate, 工学部, 助手 (80236497)
KURODA Katsuhiko  Faculty of Engineering, Kobe University Professor, 工学部, 教授 (20026157)
Project Period (FY) 1995 – 1996
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1996)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,200,000)
Fiscal Year 1996: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 1995: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
KeywordsRoute Guidance / Traffic Network / Simulation / Traffic Information / Baysian Approach
Research Abstract

The purpose of this study is to make the influence which route choice behaivior by driver gives the network flow in route guidance clear. We made route choice behavior model to compose from the link travel time estimate model, the route change model and the route choice model. The link travel time estimate model corrects probability distribution about the travel time using Baysian approach. The route change model gives the opportunity of the route reconsideration and the route choice model decides a change into the new route from the present plan route.
Using developed route choice behavior model, it executed the simulation of route guidance system for the city place in Kobe City. It did the simulation when not implementing route guidance to fix a parameter and it compared link traffic volume with the observation value. As a result, in spite of the dealing with the peak time, the link traffic volumes suited observation values. The simulation result when implementing route guidance showed a thing with the low reliability of the traffic information by the assumed route guidance system. However, if making add this traffic information to the data of the judgment for route choice behavior, the induction car never became disadvantageous. This is the result by which the possibility to cancel the problem when an induction car is increased is suggestive.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1996 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1995 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All Other

All Publications (8 results)

  • [Publications] 中島正樹: "交通状況の変化を考慮した経路誘導システムの開発" 土木学会平成7年度関西支部年次学術講演会講演概要. IV‐36‐1-IV‐36‐2 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中島正樹: "交通状況の変化を考慮した経路誘導システムの開発に関する基礎的研究" 土木学会第50回年次学術講演会講演概要集 第4部. 116-117 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 森津秀夫: "動的経路誘導のための経路選択行動モデルに関する一考察" 土木計画学研究・講演集. 19(2). 753-756 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masaki Nakajima: "Route Guidance System based on the Change of the Traffic Situation" JSCE Kansai Chapter/Proc.of Annual Conference of Civil Engineers '95. IV-36-1-IV-36-2 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masaki Nakajima: "A Basic Study on the Route Guidance System Development to have Considered that the Traffic Situation Changes" Proceedings of the 50th Annual Coference of the Japan Society of Civil Engineers. 4. 116-117 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Hideo Moritsu: "A Study on the Route Choice Behavior Model for Dynamic Route Guidance" Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. 19(2). 753-756 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 森津秀夫: "動的経路誘導のための経路選択行動モデルに関する一考察" 土木計画学研究・講演集. 19(2). 753-756 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中島正樹: "交通状況の変化を考慮した経路誘導システム開発に関する基礎的研究" 土木学会第50回年次学術講演会講演概要集 第4部. 116-117 (1995)

    • Related Report
      1995 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1995-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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