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Methematical Modeling of Carcinogenesis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 07680325
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionHIROSHIMA UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

OHTAKI Megu  Hiroshima University, Department of Environmetrics and Biometrics, RIRBM,Professor, 原爆放射能医学研究所, 教授 (20110463)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MATSUURA Masaaki  Hiroshima University, Department of Environmetrics and Biometrics, RIRBM,Associa, 原爆放射能医学研究所, 助教授 (40173794)
NIWA Ohtsura  Hiroshima University, Department of Molecular Biology, RIRBM,Professor, 原爆放射能医学研究所, 教授 (80093293)
梯 正之  広島大学, 医学部・保健学科, 助教授 (80177344)
Project Period (FY) 1995 – 1996
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1996)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000)
Fiscal Year 1996: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1995: ¥1,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000)
KeywordsCarcinogenesis / Mathematical model / Dose-response relation / Lincar model / Radiation effect / Tumor growth / Risk analysis / 発ガン過程 / 確率過程 / 放射線影響 / 罹患率データ / 放射線発ガン
Research Abstract

Niwa et al.analyzed the frequency of germline mutation at the pathernally serived allele of a hypervariable minisatellite locus for F1 mice which were born between the father mice which irradiated ^<252>Cf and unirradiated mother mice. A significant excess risk due to the irradiation, extended in the generation inherited unstable because of the radiation exposure of the cell was detected for spermatid stage. The dose response of ^<252>Cf radiation for induction of germline mutation was linear up to 0.7Gy for spermatid stage germ line cells. They concluded that DNA damage is not the direct cause of mutations at this locus, but it may induce genetic instability which in turn induces recombination at the hypervariable minisatellite locus. (Niwa et al., J.Radiation Research 37,1996).
Regarding the carcinogenesis as a series of events of mutation of one cell, proliferation of the mutation cell, the appearance of the malignant cell and the formation and the growth of tumor, Ohtaki developed t … More he mathematical model which was called "Premutation" -Mutation model. In this model, it is assumed that only the first step of carcinogenesis may have the exposure dependency and the length of the tumor growth period is formulated as a random variable which may very over individuals. The model was applied to the cancer incidence data in the Atomic bomb Survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki which were published from Radiation Effects Reasearch Foundation and to the mice's carcinogenesis data, and the dose-response relationship was analyzed statistically (Ohtaki, Hiroshima Medical Journal 49,1996).
Matsuura et al.analyzed the data of the mortality rate among Atomic bomb Survivors living in Hiroshima Prefecture. Assuming linear dose-response relationship between the exposed radiation dose and motality risk from various cancers, and appling the technique of the dynamic cohort study, they analyzed the data. As a result, statistically significant excess risk among exposed population was detected for mortality from leukemia, the lung cancer, colon cancer, and breast cancer. (Matsuura et al., Journal of Radiation Research, in press). Less

Report

(3 results)
  • 1996 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1995 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All Other

All Publications (17 results)

  • [Publications] 大瀧 慈: "放射線発ガンに関する"Premutation"-Mutationモデル" 広島医学. 49. 303-305 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Niwa,Ohtsura: "Induction of a Germline Mutation at a Hypervariable Mouse Minisatellate Locus by ^<252>Cf" Journal of Research. 37. 217-224 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Niwa,Ohtsura: "Delayed effects and induction of genetic instability by Radiation." The Journal of Toxicological Sciences. 21. 61-63 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Matsuura,Masaaki: "Analysis of cancer mortality among Atomic Bomb Survivors registered at Hiroshima" International Journal of Radiation Biology. (印刷中).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Watanabe,Hiromistu: "Influence of paternal ^<252>Cf Neutron exposure on abnormal sperm,embryonal lethality,and liver tumorigenesis in the Fl offspring of mice." Japanese Journal of Cancer Research. 87. 51-57 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ohtaki, M.: ""Premutation" -Mutation model for radiation carcinogenesis-a mathematical explanation for germline mutation data of radio-exposed mice and cancer incidence data of A-bomb survivors (in Jap.) -" J.Hiroshima Med.Ass.49. 303-305 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Niwa, O.: "Induction of a Germline Mutation at a Hypervariable Mouse Minisatellate Locus by ^<252>Cf Radiation." Journal of Radiation Research. 37. 217-224 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Niwa, O.: "Delayd effects and induction of genetic instability by Radiation." The Journal of Toxicological Sciences. 21. 61-63 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Matsuura, M.: "Analysis of cancer mortality among Atomic Bomb Survivors registered at Hiroshima University." International Journal of Radiation Biology.(in press).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Watanabe, H.: "Influence of paternal ^<252>Cf Neutron exposure on abnormal sperm, embryonal lethality, and liver tumorigenesis in the F1 offspring of mice." Japanese Journal of Cancer Research. 87. 51-57 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1996 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 大瀧 慈: "放射線発ガンに関する″Premutation″-Mutationモデル-マウスの継世代発ガンおよび原爆被爆者におけるガン罹患データに対する数理的説明の試み-" 広島医学. 第49巻. 303-305 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Niwa, O.: "Induction of a Germline Mutation at a Hypervariable Mouse Minisatellate Locus by ^<252>Cf Radiatio" Journal of Radiation Research. 37. 217-224 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Niwa, O.: "Delayed effects and induction of genetic instability by Radiation" The Journal of Toxicological Sciences. 21. 61-63 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Matsuura, M., Ohtaki, M..: "Analysis of cancer mortality among Atomic Bomb Survivors registered at Hiroshima University" International Journal of Radiation Biology. (印刷中).

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Watanabe, H., Ohtaki, M.: "Influence of paternal ^<252>Cf Neutron exposure on abnormal sperm, embryonal lethality, and liver tumorigenesis in the F1 offspring of mice" Japanese Journal of Cancer Research. 87. 51-57 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 大瀧 慈: "放射線発ガンに関する“Premutation"-Mutationモデル-マウスの継世代発がんおよび原爆被爆者におけるガン罹患率データに対する数理的試み-" 広島医学 第36回原子爆弾後障害研究会特集号. (印刷中). (1996)

    • Related Report
      1995 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Y. J. FAN 他: "Dose-response of a radiation induction of a germline mutation at a hypervariable mouse minisatellite locus" Int. J. Radiat. Biol.68. 177-183 (1995)

    • Related Report
      1995 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1995-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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