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Development of Loss Estimation Method and Emergency Management with Geographic Information Systems

Research Project

Project/Area Number 08508001
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section展開研究
Research Field Natural disaster science
Research InstitutionKYOTO UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

KAWATA Yoshiaki  Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Professor, 防災研究所, 教授 (10027295)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TANAKA Satoshi  Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Research Associate, 防災研究所, 助手 (90273523)
HAYASHI Haruo  Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Professor, 防災研究所, 教授 (20164949)
KAMEDA Hiroyuki  Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Professor, 防災研究所, 教授 (80025949)
Project Period (FY) 1996 – 1998
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1998)
Budget Amount *help
¥37,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥37,200,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥4,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥9,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,200,000)
Fiscal Year 1996: ¥24,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥24,000,000)
KeywordsDisaster Information Systems / Emergency management / Loss estimation / Catastrophic earthquake / Catastrophic disaster / Urban disaster / Disaster information / GIS
Research Abstract

We estimated the total loss of human lives and the injured due to large-scale earthquake disasters at every hour due to six reasons such as collapse of houses and railway accidents. It was found that every component has own maximum peak of the number of loss of human lives and the injured. The total human damage is recorded at around 8 a.m. and others at noon and in the evening. The occurrence time of the Hyogoken-nambu earthquake of 5 : 46 a.m. is not lucky time from the view point of human casualty. In the indirect loss due to disaster, there are two kinds of losses such as economic loss and human lives one. The Latter is loss of social value in human lives. The economic loss due to the great Hanshin-Awaji earthquake disaster was estimated about two trillion yen from the analysis of decrease of electric power supply in the damaged area. From this point, the reconstruction of economics was over. The relationship between GRP and average human life span was applicable to estimate the social value loss of human lives. In the analysis, traffic accident data were used to account the insurance cost of the dead and the injured. Due to the great Hanshin-Awaji earthquake disaster, loss of social value of human lives was about two trillion yen. Human casualty usually continue for a long time. From data analysis of questionnaire on social problems, the effect of disaster continues about 18 years. Therefore, the integration of the effect shows that the loss of human lives is correspond to about ten trillion yen. It was concluded that reducing human damage leads to decrease of total loss. Moreover, the next generation GIS was also developed. It is applicable to estimation of loss of human lives due to earthquake, but the accuracy is not so good due to rough prediction of seismic ground motion.

Report

(4 results)
  • 1998 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • 1996 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (35 results)

All Other

All Publications (35 results)

  • [Publications] 河田 惠昭: "地震発生時間帯による人的被害の変化" 地域安全学会論文報告集. No.8. 462-467 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 河田 惠昭: "津波防災と地域防災計画" 月刊 海洋 号外. No.15. 209-214 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 亀田 弘行: "災害緊急時と平常時の連携による総合防災情報システムの構築" 地理情報システム学会講演論文集. Nol.7. 29-32 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 林 春男: "阪神・淡路大震災の建物被害データベース構築に関する研究" 1998年地域安全学会論文報告集. No.8. 78-83 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 林 春男: "ISOの考え方に則った地震対策危機管理マニュアルの開発" 1998年地域安全学会論文報告集. No.8. 156-161 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 田中 聡: "災害人類学の構築に向けての試み" 地域安全学会論文報告集. Vol.8. 14-19 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 河田 惠昭: "水循環と流域環境" 岩波書店, 305 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoshiaki Kawata: "Changes of loss of human lives with occurrence time of earthquake" Papers of The Conference of The Institute of Social Safety Science. No.8. 462-467 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoshiaki Kawata: "Tsunami disaster planning and regional disaster prevention planning" Monthly Journal Ocean. No.15. 209-214 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Hiroyuki Kameda: "Disaster Information management with an active link between emergency response and normal service" Papers and Proceedings of The Geographic Information System Association. No.7. 29-32 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Haruo Hayashi: "Database construction of the building collapse after the Great Hanshin Awaji earthquake disaster" Papers of The Conference of The Institute of Social Safety Science. No.8. 78-83 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Haruo Hayashi: "Development of an earthquake crisis management manual conforming to ISO standards" Papers of The Conference of The Institute of Social Safety Science. No.8. 156-161 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Satoshi Tanaka: "Development of disaster ethnography for establishing disaster ethnology" Papers of The Conference of The Institute of Social Safety Science. No.8. 14-19 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoshiaki Kawata: Water Circulation and Watershed Environment. Iwanami Shoten, 305 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 河田 惠昭: "地震発生時間帯による人的被害の変化" 地域安全学会論文報告集. No.8. 462-467 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田 惠昭: "津波防災と地域防災計画" 月刊 海洋 号外. No.15. 209-214 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 亀田 弘行: "災害緊急時と平常時の連携による総合防災情報システムの構築" 地理情報システム学会講演論文集. Vol.7. 29-32 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 林 春男: "阪神・淡路大震災の建物被害データベース構築に関する研究" 1998年地域安全学会論文報告集. No.8. 14-19 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 林 春男: "ISOの考え方に則った地震対策危機管理マニュアルの開発" 1998年地域安全学会論文報告集. No.8. 156-161 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 田中 聡: "阪神・淡路大震災の建物被害データベース構築に関する研究" 地域安全学会論文報告集. Vol.8. 78-83 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田 惠昭: "水循環と流域環境" 岩波書店, 305 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "大規模地震災害による人的被害の予測" 自然災害科学. 16・1. 3-13 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "阪神・淡路大震災の教訓をつぎの大災害に活かす" SCOPENET. 7. 16-19 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "巨大災害対策としてのインフラ整備のあり方" 安全と管理. 24・5. 13-15 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 亀田弘行: "阪神・淡路大震災における西宮市域の都市施設の被災・復旧・復興に関するGIS解析" 地域安全学会論文報告集. 7. 246-249 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 林 春男: "EDA手法を用いた人的被害の推定法の研究" 地域安全学会論文報告集. 7. 52-55 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "危機管理と総合防災システム,地域防災計画の実務" 鹿島出版会, 220 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "都市防災 未来への提言,大震災以後" 岩波書店, 356 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "危機管理と総合防災システム" 京都大学防災研究所年報. 第39号A. 83-100 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "阪神・淡路大震災で得られた教訓とその総合化" 自然災害科学. 15-3. 183-193 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 林春男: "災害対応の意表決定モデル" 京都大学防災研究所年報. 第39号B. 117-130 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 田中聡・河田恵昭: "地球情報システムを用いたライフラインシステムの地震時挙動評価" 京都大学防災研究所年報. 39・B. 131-138 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 角本繁・角田弘行: "災害情報の特徴と管理方式についての考察" 京都大学防災研究所年報. 39・B. 71-78 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] KAWATA,Y.: "Catastrophic Urban Disasters and their reduction" Proc.TECHNO-OCEAN'96. 151-156 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 河田恵昭: "地役防災計画の実務" 鹿島出版会, 300 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1996-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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