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Household Car Ownership Simulation Model-Demand for Clear-fuel Vehides-

Research Project

Project/Area Number 09044158
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for international Scientific Research

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
SectionJoint Research
Research Field 交通工学・国土計画
Research InstitutionKYOTO UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

KITAMURA Ryuichi  Kyoto Univ., Dept.of Civil Engr.Systems, Professor, 工学研究科, 教授 (60252467)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) YAMAMOTO Toshiyuki  KYOTO Univ., Dept.of Civil Engr.Systems, Research Associate, 工学研究科, 助手 (80273465)
FUJII Satoshi  KYOTO Univ., Dept.of Civil Engr.Systems, Research Associate, 工学研究科, 助手 (80252469)
陳 蔭三  西安公路交通大学, 校長
GOLOB Thomas F.  Univ.of California Irvine, Inst.of Transp.Studies, Research Specialist, Inst. of Transp, Research S
RECKER Wilfred W.  Univ.of California Irvine, Inst.of Transp.Studies, Directora Professor, Inst. of Transp, Director a
YINSAU Cher  Xi'an Haghway Univ.President
BUNCH David  University of California,Davis, Institute, Associate
Project Period (FY) 1997 – 1998
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1998)
Budget Amount *help
¥7,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥7,200,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥3,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000)
KeywordsVehicle ownership / travel behavior analysis / heterogeraity / mode choice / hazard-hasef duration model / 交通需要予測
Research Abstract

In this study, we analyzed the household vehicle ownership behavior based on the data set obtained by household survey conducted in Japan, United States, and China.
In Japan, the number of the vehicles owned by a household is limited, and its usage is competitive among household members. Simultaneous vehicle type and main driver choice models and models of vehicle miles traveled are developed, based on the recognition that vehicle type choice and the vehicle allocation to drivers are highly inter-related decisions. Also, a mode choice model is developed considering the exclusiveness in the usage of the vehicle at a time.
In U.S., Multi-car households are popular, and the households change their fleet by replacing one by one. Thus, the successive transactions are not independent, but highly inter-related. The transactions are also affected by the changes in household attributes. We analyzed the households vehicle transactions behavior considering the effects of the preceding transaction and the changes in household attributes.
China is in earlier stages of motorization now. Household vehicle ownership behavior in these stages is governed by not only economic but also psychological and sociological factors, because the circumstances around the vehicle is unstable and the consumers have no experiences owning a vehicle.
The study-proposed a concept of "symbolic utility", which refers to psychological satisfaction from vehicle ownership. Based on analyzing the causal structure among attitudes towards vehicle ownership, a model system is developed.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1998 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (9 results)

All Other

All Publications (9 results)

  • [Publications] 山本俊行: "保有予定期間との比較に基づく世帯における自動車保有期間の分析" 土木計画学研究・論文集. 14. 799-808 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 山本俊行: "取替更新行動間の相互影響を考慮した世帯の自動車取替更新行動モデルの構築" 土木計画学研究・論文集. 15. 593-599 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Toshiyuki Yamamoto: "An Analysis of Household Vehicle Holding Durations Relative to Interded Holding Durations" Infrastructure Planning Review. No.14. 799-808 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Toshiyuki Yamamoto: "A Household Vehicle Transactions Model That Accounts for Interactions among Transactions" Infrastructure Planning Review. No.15. 593-599 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 山本俊行,松田忠士,北村隆一: "保有予定期間との比較に基づく世帯における自動車保有期間の分析" 土木計画学研究・論文集. No.14. 799-808 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 山本俊行,木村誠司,北村隆一: "取替更新行動間の相互影響を考慮した世帯の自動車取替更新行動モデルの構築" 土木計画学研究・論文集. No.15. 593-599 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 山本 俊行・松田 忠士・北村 隆一: "保有予定期間との比較に基づく世帯における自動車保有の分析" 土木計画学研究・論文集. 14. 799-808 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 木村 誠司, 山本 俊行, 北村 隆一: "取替更新行動間の相互影響を考慮した世帯の自動車取替更新行動モデルの構築" 土木計画学研究・講演集. 20. 623-626 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 冨永 公規, 山本 俊行, 北村 隆一: "意向データと行動データの両者を用いた世帯における自動車保有期間のモデル分析" 土木学会第52回年次学術講演会概要集. 4. 52-53 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1997-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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