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Analysis for nonlinear epidemics among children and prevention strategy based on economical views using by visulalized modeling methods

Research Project

Project/Area Number 09557205
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section展開研究
Research Field Medical sociology
Research InstitutionTOTTORI UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

HINO Shigeo (1999)  School of Medicine, TOTTORI UNIVERSITY, Professor, 医学部, 教授 (70012763)

陶山 昭彦 (1997-1998)  鳥取大学, 医学部, 助手 (10144651)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TAKAI Kazutaka  Kyoto Prefectural Mecial College Research Associate, 助手
INOUE Masashi  School of Medicine, TOTTORI UNIVERSITY, Research Associate, 医学部, 助手 (00176439)
NAGATA Ikuo  School of Medicine, Hospital, TOTTORI UNIVERSITY, Research Associate, 医学部・附属病院, 助手 (50252846)
SUYAMA Akihiko  Radiation Effects Research Foundation, Chief, 疫学部, 部長 (10144651)
YONEZAWA Yasuo  Ibaraki University Associate Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (20261737)
日野 茂男  鳥取大学, 医学部, 教授 (70012763)
Project Period (FY) 1997 – 1999
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1999)
Budget Amount *help
¥11,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,600,000)
Fiscal Year 1999: ¥2,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥2,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥7,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥7,500,000)
Keywordssurveillance system / nonlinearity / mathematical model / medical economics / internet / visualization / complexity / database system / 非線形 / 感染症 / WWW / 予測 / 医療経済 / マルティメディア / 小児感染症 / 感染症サーベイクレス / カオス / 感染症流行 / 流行モデル / 予防接種 / 非線形現象 / シミュレーション / 費用便益分析
Research Abstract

Recently, national immunization program has been changed on Rubella, one of target infectious diseases among national Surveillance for infectious diseases. So, current population are immunized by two different vaccination policy. Suyama et al.showd the utility of mixtured immunological strategy.
Furthermore, Suyama et al.performed some cost beneficial analysis using the data of national surveillance. Two different Immunization program were compared with that analysis. If current vaccination program are completed, national control For rubella infection, especially, Congenital Rubella Syndrome, may be successful. That cost beneficial rate versus New MMR vaccination program will be 0.5.
Takai et al.developed the remote controlled database system, and that system is internet reachable. Administrative staffs Can identify the current epidemic status using by this system. Yonezawa et al.also evaluate the nonlinear phenomenon of Rubella / Measles epidemics. He found the nonlinear nature in those epidemic and also found the complexity, especially Chaotic nature.
Inoue et al.created the wolrd wide opened WWW system for analysis on national surveillance data system.
Hasegawa et al.made a new alarming indecies for those infectious diseases and presented those indecies on his Institutional WWW homepage.
Our effort of easy access for surveillance server is very useful for decision making for national vaccination program.

Report

(4 results)
  • 1999 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1998 Annual Research Report
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All Other

All Publications (15 results)

  • [Publications] 長田郁夫: "肝炎ウィルスの母子感染"周産期医学. 29. 441-447 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 長田郁夫: "B型肝炎母子感染防止におけるアウトカムのモデリング"薬剤疫学. 4. 77-82 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 長谷川伸作: "感染症発生動向調査情報の解析"北海道衛生研究所報. 49. 21-30 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ikuo NAGATA: "Vertical infection of hepatitis B virus"Perinatal Medicine. 29. 441-447 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ikuo NAGATA: "Evaluation model for prevention of vertical infection of hepatitis B virus"Pharmacoepidemiology. 4. 77-82 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Shinsaku HASEGAWA: "Analysis of infectious disease monitoring information"Hokkaido Pref.Pub.Health Lab. 49. 21-30 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 高井一岳,陶山昭彦: "多元的パラメーターによる感染症発生動向の視覚的把握"日本公衆衛生雑誌. 45・10. 178 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 高井一岳,陶山昭彦: "数理モデルによる感染症非線形流行現象解明のアプローチ"Proceedings of the ACOFS'98. 1・1. 51-53 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 陶山昭彦,高井一岳: "複雑系・科学からみた感染症の流行と予防"Proceedings of the ACOFS'98. 1・1. 59-62 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 陶山昭彦,高井一岳 他: "感染症発生動向調査の利用基盤に関する保健情報学的検討"日本公衆衛生雑誌. 46・10. 675 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 高井一岳,陶山昭彦 他: "学級等閉鎖時における累積患者割合からみたインフルエンザ流行動態の均一性"日本公衆衛生雑誌. 46・10. 162 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 大重賢治,陶山昭彦: "カンボジアにおけるHIV/AIDS流行の疫学的特徴"日本公衆衛生雑誌. 46・1. 64-70 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 高井一岳, 陶山昭彦: "多元的パラメータによる感染症発生動向の視覚的把握" 日本公衆衛生雑誌. 45・10. 178 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 高井一岳・陶山昭彦: "数理モデルによる感染症非線形流行現象解明のアプローチ" Proceedings of the ACOFS'98. 1・1. 51-53 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 陶山昭彦・高井一岳: "複雑系科学からみた感染症の流行と予防" Proceedings of the ACOFS'98. 1・1. 59-62 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1997-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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