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Research of Information-geometric Properties in Statistical Estimation Theory

Research Project

Project/Area Number 09640264
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

INAGAKI Nobuo  OSAKA UNIV., GRAD.SCH.OF ENG.SCI., PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (10000184)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KUMAGAI Etsuo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY,GRAD.SCH.OF ENG.SCI., ASSIST.PROF., 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助手 (20273617)
AKI Shigeo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY,GRAD.SCH.OF ENG.SCI., ASS.PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助教授 (90132696)
TANIGUCHI Masanobu  OSAKA UNIVERSITY,GRAD.SCH.OF ENG.SCI., ASS.PROF., 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助教授 (00116625)
ISOGAI Takafumi  OSAKA UNIVERSITY,GRAD.SCH.OF ENG.SCI., ASS.FROF., 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助教授 (00109860)
SHIRAHATA Shingo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY,GRAD.SCH.OF ENG.SCI., PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (10037294)
長井 英生  大阪大学, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (70110848)
福島 正俊  大阪大学, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (90015503)
Project Period (FY) 1997 – 1998
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1998)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
KeywordsMaximum likelihood estimator / Fisher Information / Information loss / Statistical curvature / Circular Mechanism of likelihood / Information geometry / Multidimensional sphere model / Generalized linear regression model / 統計的推測 / 指数型分布族 / 局指数型分布族 / 尤度解析 / 時系列解析モデル
Research Abstract

We studied information-geometric properties in the statistical estimation theory under the following three themes
(1) The information loss of the maximum likelihood estimator and its information-geometric aspects (by N.INAGAKI and E.KUMAGAI) The asymptotic representaion of the information loss of the maximum likelihood estimator is shown by B.Efron and S.Amari due to the statistical curvature and Fisher information. We obtained an algorism to calculate the center and radius with the statistical curvature which we call the circular mechanism of the likelihood function. We discussed the multidimensional sphere model as the extensions of Fisher' s circle and sphere models for 2 and 3 dimen sions, respectively. We obtained the exact infromation loss of the maximum likelihood estimator of the angle parameter in the k-dimensional sphere model and showed its asymptotic behavior which converges to the Efron-Amari' s asymptotic re-presentation. We studied the duality of parameter and observation in the exponential type of distributions by the Legendre convex duality of the cumulant generating function, which leads to the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimator.
(2) Estimation problems in spacial data and time series analysis (T.ISOGAI and M.TANIGUCHI) : The regression problems of spacial data were studied due to parametric and empirical variograms. We had many results for time series analysis, prediction theory and their applications.
(3) Estimation problems in generalized linear models (S.SHIRAHATA and S.AKI) Topics of dose response analysis, life time analysis, and so on, and applications of gene-ralized linear models were studied.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1998 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (43 results)

All Other

All Publications (43 results)

  • [Publications] Kumagai,E.and Inagaki,N.: "The circlar mechanism in the curved exponential family" Mathematica Japonica. 49. 27-38 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inagaki,N.and Kumagai,E.: "Exact information loss in Fisher's circle model" Mathematica Japonica. 44. 455-467 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Aki,S.: "Distributions of runs and consecutive systems on directed trees" Ann.Inst.Statist.Math.,. (to appear).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Han and Aki,S.: "Formulae and recursions for the joint distributions of success runs of several lengths in a two-state Markov chain" Statistics and Probability Letters. 40. 203-214 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Taniguchi,M.: "Statistical analysis based on functionals of nonparametric spectral density estimators" Asymptotics,Nonparametrics and Time Series. Ed : S.Ghosh,Marcel Dekker. 351-394 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Sakamoto and Shirahata: "Simple calculation of likelihoo-based cross-validation in maximum penalized likelihood estimation" Proc.9th Korea and Japan Joint Conf.Statist.273-278 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Taniguchi and Kakizawa: "Springer in Statistics" Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series, 500 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kumagai, E.and Inagaki, N.: "The circlar mechanism in the curved exponential family" Mathematica Japonica. 49. 27-38 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inagaki, N.and Kumagai, E.: "Exact information loss in Fisher's circle model" Mathematica Japonica. 44. 455-467 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Sakamoto and Shirahata: "Simple calculation of likelihood-based cross-validation in maximum penalized likelihood estimation" Proc.9th Korea and Japan Joint Conf.Statist.273-278 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] W.Sakamoto and S.Shirahata: "Simple calculation of likelihood-based cross-validation score in maximum penalized likelihood estimation of regression functions" J.Jap.Soc.Comput.Statist.10. 27-40 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Aki, S.: "Distributions of runs and consecutive systems on directed trees" Ann.Inst.Statist.Math.(to appear.).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Han and Aki, S.: "Formulae and recursions for the joint distributions of success runs of several lengths in a two-state Markov chain" Statistics and Probability Letters. 40. 203-214 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] N.Balakrishnan, S.G.Mohanty and S.Aki: "Start-up demonstration tests under Markov dependence model with corrective actions" Ann.Inst.Statist.Math.49. 155-169 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Taniguchi, M.: "Statistical analysis based on functionals of nonparametric spectral density estimators" Asymptotics, Nonparametrics and Time Series.Ed : S.Ghosh, Marcel Dekker. 351-394 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Taniguchi and kakizawa: "Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series" Springer in Statistics. 500 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Taniguchi: "On large deviation asymptotics of some tests in time series" Spec.Issue J.Statist.Plan.Inf., celeb.50 years of Rao's score test.(in press.). (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Sato, Y.Kakizawa and M.Taniguchi: "On large deviation principle of several statistics for short- and long-memory processes" Austral.J.Statist.40. 17-29 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kumagai,E. and Inagaki,N.: "The circlar mechanism in the curved exponential family" Mathematica Japonica. 49. 27-38 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inagaki,N. and Kumagai,E.: "Exact information loss in Fisher's circle model" Mathematica Japonica. 44. 455-467 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Aki,S.: "Distribution of runs and consecutive systems on directed trees" Ann. Inst. Statist. Math.,. to appear.

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Han and Aki,S.: "Formulae and recursions for the joint distributions of success runs of several lengths in a two-state Markov chain" Statistics and Probability Letters. 40. 203-214 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Taniguchi,M.: "Statistical analysis based on functionals of nonparametric spectral density estimators" Asymptotics, Nonparametrics and Time Series. Ed: S. Ghosh,. 351-394 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Sakamoto and Shirahata: "Simple calcuation of likelihood-based cross-validation in maximum penalized likelibood estimation" Proc.9th Korea and Japan Joint Conf. Statist.273-278 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Taniguchi and Kakizawa: "Springer in Statistics" Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series, 500 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] N.Inagaki: "Exact information loss in Fisher's circle model" Mathematica Japonica. 44,. 455-467 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Jimichi: "r-k Class estimation in regression model with concomitant variables" Ann.Inst.Statist.Math.,. 48. 89-95 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] E.Kumagai: "Comment on Efron's counterexample" Mathematica Japonica,. 44,. 449-454 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] E.Kumagai: "The Circular Mechanism in the Curved Exponential Family" Mathematica Japonica,. (to appear).

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 坂本 亘: "セミパラメトリック回帰分析におけるスプライン平滑化" 計算機統計額. 9,. 13-35 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Fukushima: "Construction and decomposition of refelcting diffusion processes on Lipschitz domains with Holder cusps" Probab.Theory Relat.Fields,. (in press).

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Fukushima: "On decomposition of additive functionals of refelcting Brownian motions," Ito's Stochastic Calculs and Probability Theory,. (in press).

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] A.Bensoussan: "Min-max characterization of a small noise limit on risk sensitive control" J.Contr.Optim.,. 35,. 1093-1115 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] H.Nagai: "Bellman equations of risk sensitive control" J.Contr.Optim.,. 34,. 74-101 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] N.Balakrishnan: "Start-up demonstrationtests under Markov dependence model with correctiveactions" Ann.Inst.Statist.Math.,. 49,. 155-169 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.Aki: "On sooner and later problems between success and failure runs" Adv.Comb.Meth.Appli.to Prob.and Statist.,. 385-400 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.Aki: "Sooner and later waiting time Problems for success failure runs in higher order Markov dependent trials," Ann.Inst.Statist.,Math.,. 773-787 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Taniguchi: "Nonparametric approach for non-Gaussian vector stationary processes" J.Multiv.Anal.,. 56,. 259-283 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Taniguchi: "Valid Edgeworth expansions of M-estimators in regression models with weakly dependent residuals" Econometric Theory. 12,. 331-346 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Taniguchi: "Higher order asymptotic theory for tests and studentized statistics in time series" Professor Hannan Memorial Volume,. (in press). (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Taniguchi: "On the stochastic difference between the Newton-Raphson and scoring iterative methods" Festschrift for Madan Puri,. (in press). (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Iwasa: "A note on admissibility of the maximum likelihood estimator for a bounded normal mean" Statist.Prob.Letters,. 32,. 99-105 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Iwasa: "An extension of a convolution inequality for G-monotone functions and an approach to Bartholomew's conjectures," Journal of Multivariate Analysis,. 59,. 249-271 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1997-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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