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Evidential theoretic modeling and analyses of risk perception and information control in cognitive decision processes

Research Project

Project/Area Number 09650437
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field System engineering
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tsukuba

Principal Investigator

INAGAKI Toshiyuki  University of Tsukuba, Institute of Information Sciences and Electronics, Professor, 電子・情報工学系, 教授 (60134219)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ITOH Makoto  University of Tsukuba, Institute of Information Sciences and Electronics, Resear, 情報システム学研究科, 助手 (00282343)
Project Period (FY) 1997 – 1998
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1998)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥2,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000)
KeywordsTheory of evidence / Information fusion / Information updating / Risk perception / Reliability / Safety / Human-machine systems / Human-centered sutomation / 状況認識 / 意思決定 / 不確実情報 / 不完全証拠 / 複雑大規模系
Research Abstract

This research project has developed an evidential theory to model and analyze human cognitive processes for risk perception and reasoning with incomplete information and evidence. Methods for fusing and updating information are given. Based on Inagaki's concept of situation-adaptive autonomy (SAA) where authority is traded between humans and the computer dynamically, 'a series of experiments has been made to investigate cognitive aspects of the trading control of authority between humans and automation. Three microworld simulators have been developed for this purpose : Two for a process control problem and one for a Go/No Go takeoff decision problem. With these simulators, the effect on human acceptance of SAA of reliability of automation, magnitude of fault in the controlled process, human trust in automation, and human self-confidence in their ability to perform manual control are investigated. It is shown that SAA is effective for safety- control under time-critical conditions. The SAA has exhibited superior performance in safety-control to the conventional framework in which humans are invested with full authority for decision and control at all times in every situation.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1998 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (44 results)

All Other

All Publications (44 results)

  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "To go not to go : Decision under time-criticality and situation-adaptive autonomy for takeoff safety" Proc.IASTED Int'l Conf.Applied Modelling & Simulation. 144-147 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh: "Combination and updating for belief rerision in the theory of evidence" Proc.6th Scandinavian Conf.Artificial Intelligence. 71-82 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy : The potential for improving takeoff safety" Proc.6th IEEE ROMAN. 302-307 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh: "Design of human-interface for situation awareness II" Proc.6th IEEE ROMAN. 308-313 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Trust and time-criticality : Their effects on the situation-adaptive autonomy" Proc.AIR-IHAS. 93-103 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy : Trading control of authority in human-macline systems" Proc.Automation Technology and Human Performance Conference. 154-158 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh: "Experimental study of situation-adeptive human-automation collaboration for takeoff safety" Preprint IFAC Man-Machine Systems. 371-376 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Trust,self-confidence and authority in human-machine systems" Preprint IFAC Man-Machine Systems. 491-496 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Trust,autonomy and authority in human-machine systems" Proc.CSEPC.96(Selected papers edition). 176-183 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 伊藤 誠: "混合戦略によるプラント安全制御のための証拠理論的な情報統合と更新" 計測自動制御学会論文集. 34,5. 415-421 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] N.Moray: "Towards a formalism for theories of naturalistic decision making" Proc.4th Conf.Naturalistic Decision Making. 1-10 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy for time-critical takeoff decisions" Int.J.Modelling and Simulation. 19,4(発表予定). (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 伊藤 誠: "マイクロワールドアプローチによる状況認識の解析" ヒューマンインタフェース学会論文集. 1,1. 1-8 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Automation and human interface for takeoff safety" Proc.10th Int.Symp.Aviation Psychology. (発表予定). (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "To go or not to go : Decision under time-criticality and situation-adaptive autonomy for takeoff safety" Proc.LASTED International Conference on Applied Modelling and Simulation, Banff, Canada. 144-147 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh, T.Inagaki: "Combination and updating for belief revision in the theory of evidence" Proc 6th Scandinavian Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Helsinki, Finland. 71-82 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki, M.Itoh: "Situation-adaptive autonomy : The potential for improving takeoff safety" Proc.6th IEEE International Workshop on Robot and Human Communication, Sendai, Japan. 302-307 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh, T.Inagaki: "Design of human-interface for situation awareness II" Proc.6th IEEE International Workshop on Robot and Human Communication, Sendai, Japan. 308-313 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki, N.Moray, M.Itoh: "Trust and time-criticality : Their effects on the situation-adaptive autonomy" Proc.International Symposium on Artificial Intelligence, Robotics, and Intellectual Human Activity Support for Nuclear Applications. 93-103 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy : Trading control of authortiy in human-machine systems" Proc.Third Automation Technology and Human Performance Conference, Norfolk, USA. 154-158 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh, T.Inagaki: "Evidential theoretic revision of beliefs under a mixed strategy for safety-control of a large-complex plant" Trans.SICE of Japan. Vol.34, No.5. 415-421 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki, M.Itoh: "Trust, autonomy, and authority in human-machine systems" Proc Int'l Congress CSEPC96 (Selected papers among those presented at the Conference), Kyoto, Japan. 176-183 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki, N,Moray, M.Itoh: "Trust, self-confidence and authority in human-machine systems" Preprint IFAC Int.Symposium on Analysis, Design and Evaluation of Man-Machine Systems, Kyoto, Japan. 491-496 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh, Y.Takae, T.Inagaki, N.Moray: "Experimental study of situation-adaptive human-automation collaboration for takeoff safety" Preprint IFAC Int.Symposium on Analysis, Design and Evaluation of Man-Machine Systems, Kyoto, Japan. 371-376 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] N.Moray, T.Inagaki, M.Itoh: "Towards a formalism for theories of naturalistic decision making" Proc.Fourth Conference on.Naturalistic Decision Making, Warrenton, USA. 1-10 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Itoh, T.Inagaki: "Analyses of situation awareness via a micro-world approach" Transactions of Human Interface Society of Japan. Vol.1, No.1. (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy for time-crtical takeoff decisions" International Journal of Modelling and Simulation. Vol.19, No.4 (to appear). (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] N.Moray, T.Inagaki, M.Itoh: "Situation adaptive automation, trust, and self-confidence in fault management of time-critical tasks" Journal of Experimental Psychology : Applied. (to appear).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki, Y.Takae, N.Moray: "Automation and human interface for takeoff safety" Proc, Tenth International Symposium on Aviation Psychology, Columbus, USA. (to appear). (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 伊藤 誠: "混合戦略によるプラント安全制御のための証拠理論的な情報統合と更新" 計測自動制御学会論文集. 34,5. 415-421 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Trust,self-confidence and authority in human-machine systems" Proc.IFAC Symp.Man-Machine Systems. 491-496 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Itoh: "Experimental study of situation-adaptive human-automation collaboration for takeoff safety" Proc.IFAC Symp.Man-Machine Systems. 371-376 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] N.Moray: "Towards a formalism for theories of naturalistic decision making" Proc.4th Conf.Naturalistic Decision Making. 1-10 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy for time-critical takeoff decisions" Int.J.Modelling and Simulation. 19-4(予定). (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊藤 誠: "マイクロワールドアプローチによる状況認識の解析" ヒューマンインタフェース学会論文集. 1-1(予定). (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] N.Moray: "Situation-adaptive automation,trust,and self-confidence in fault management of time-critical tasks" Journal of Experimental Psychology:Applied. (予定). (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] T.Inagaki: "Automation and human interface for takeoff safety" Proc.10th Int.Symposium on Aviation Psychology. 10(予定). (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] INAGAKI,Toshiyuki: "To go or not to go : Decision under time-criticality and situation-adaptive autonomy for takeoff safety" Proc.IASTED Int'l Conf.Applied Modelling & Simulation. 144-147 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] ITOH,Makoto: "Combination and updating for belief revision in the theory of evidence" Proc.6th Scandinavian Conf.Artificial Intelligence. 71-82 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] INAGAKI,Toshiyuki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy : The potential for improving takeoff safety" Proc.6th IEEE ROMAN. 302-307 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] ITOH,Makoto: "Design of human-interface for situation-awareness : II" Proc.6th IEEE ROMAN. 308-313 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] INAGAKI,Toshiyuki: "Trust and time-criticality : Their effects on the situation-adaptive autonomy" Proc.AIR-IHAS. 93-103 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] INAGAKI,Toshiyuki: "Situation-adaptive autonomy : Trading control of authority in human-machine systems" Proc.3rd Automation Technology and Human Performance. (1998)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊藤誠: "混合戦略によるプラント安全制御のための証拠理論的な情報統合と更新" 計測自動制御学会論文集. 34・5. (1998)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1997-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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