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Uncertainty analysis for Predicting Environmental Fate and Exposure of Chemicals

Research Project

Project/Area Number 09650600
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Civil and environmental engineering
Research InstitutionHOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

TOKAI Akihiro  Grad.School of Eng., Hokkaido Univ., Assoc.Pro., 大学院・工学研究科, 助教授 (90207522)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) NAKANISHI Junko  Institute of Environmental Science and Technology, Yokohama National Univ., Prof, 環境科学研究センター, 教授 (10010836)
MASUNAGA  Institute of Environmental Science and Technology, Yokohama National Univ., Prof, 環境科学研究センター, 教授 (50282950)
ISHII Kazuei  Grad.School of Eng., Hokkaido Univ., Res.Assoc., 大学院・工学研究科, 助手 (70292050)
FURUICHI Tohru  Grad.School of Eng., Hokkaido Univ., Prof., 大学院・工学研究科, 教授 (90127134)
田中 嘉成  横浜国立大学, 環境科学研究センター, 客員助教授
Project Period (FY) 1997 – 1998
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1998)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
KeywordsENVIRONMENTAL FATE / RISK / UNCERTAINTY / 不確実性
Research Abstract

Through this study, we have obtained following results.
(l)Based on the method of multivariate analysis on the ambient environmental concentration of chemicals, we clarified the dominant variables that governs the level of the concentration in the water and sediment. Using this results, we showed the possibility for estimating ambient environmental concentration in terms of production volume and physicochemical properties of chemicals.
(2) We have developed watershed modeling tool with the purpose of the reduction of the uncertainty coming from the modeling process of phenomena. Employing the theory of Bayes', we clarified the priority parameters that related to the prediction of fate and exposure of chemicals.
(3)Using watershed modeling tool, the benefit of the reduction of the uncertainty associated with fate and exposure of chemicals were estimated at the real watershed environment.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1998 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (10 results)

All Other

All Publications (10 results)

  • [Publications] 東海明宏: "環境リスクの評価と管理" 土木学会誌. 83・1. 64-66 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Akihiro Tokai: "Fate and Exposure Analysis of Environmental chemicals using Watershed Model" Proc.Ist.Intl.Workshop on risk evaluation and management of chemicals.131-134 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Akihiro Tokai: "Chemical Risk Assessment based on the Framwork of Basin-wide Ecological Modeling" Proc.2nd Intl.Workshop on risk evaluation and management of chemicals.99-106 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Tokai: "Assessment and Management of Environmentall Risks" Journal of the Japan Society of Civil Engineers. Vol.83, No.1. 64-66 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Tokai: "Fate and Exposure Analysis of Environmental Chemicals using Watershed modeling" Proc.1st Intl.'Workshop on Risk Evaluation and Management of Chemicals. 131-134 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Tokai: "Chemical Risk Assessment based on the Framework of Basin-wide Ecological Modeling and Ecotoxicological Index" Proc.2nd Intl.'Workshop on Risk Evaluation and Management of Chemicals. 99-106 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 東海明宏: "環境リスクの評価と管理" 土木学会誌. 83・1. 64-66 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Akihiro Tokai: "Fate analysis and exposure analysis of environmental chemicals using ustershed model" Proc.of lst intl.'workshop on risk cvaluation and management of chemicals.131-134 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Akihiro Tokai: "Chemical risk assessment based on the framework of basin-wide ecological modeling" Proc.of 2nd Intl.'workshop on risk evaluation and management of chemicals. 99-106 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Akihiro Tokai: "環境リスクの評価と管理" 土木学会誌. 83・1. 64-66 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1997-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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