| Project/Area Number |
10650470
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
構造工学・地震工学
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| Research Institution | Musashi Institute of Technology |
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Principal Investigator |
MASARU Hoshiya Musashi Inst.of Technology, Dept.of Civil Engrg., Professor, 工学部, 教授 (30061518)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
MARUGAMA Osamu Musashi Inst.of Techology, Dept.of Civil Engrg, Assit, Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (50209699)
YOSHIKAWZA Hiromich Musashi Inst.of Technology, Dept.of Civil Engrg, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (10220609)
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| Project Period (FY) |
1998 – 2000
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2000)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 1999: ¥900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥1,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000)
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| Keywords | Structural Reliability / Nonlinear System / Kalman Filter / first excursion probability / 初期通過問題 / カルマンフィルタ, / 動的信頼性, / モンテカルロフィルタ, / 非線形動的システム, / モンテカルロ法 / 地震ハザード曲線 / Seismic Performance Design / Structural Reliability / Fragility Curves / Probabilistic Structural Response / Risk Ananlysis / Nonlinear Filter / Importance Sampling |
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| Research Abstract |
In random vibration, probability of an event that system performance function becomes negative during the time duration is a means to discuss the system safety. This probability is well known as first excursion probability. Presently, how to develop the evaluation method for nonlinear systems has been a major concern among many researchers.
The most powerful tool available for the analysis of the response of nonlinear systems to random loading is the Markovian vector approach. In this case the joint probability density of the state vector components is governed by Fokker-Plank equation. Unfortunately, only very few closed-form solutions are known. Even for the SDOF case only some stationary solutions are available. This means that for more general cases approximated methods such as equivalent linearization have to be utilized.
In this context, this research also proposes a method to evaluate the probability for nonlinear SDOF systems under a class of stochastic excitations. The method is a hybrid analytical procedure with the help of numerically simulated response data, namely Pseudo Analytical. This method is a class of linearization approaches that linearize approximately a nonlinear state vector equation to a discrete Gaussian and Markovian state vector equation, and the optimal state vector and covariances at times k and k+1 are estimated by the Kalman Filter algorithm with a set of numerically obtained response data. In this way, the probability of performance may be evaluated. Finally, a numerical example of a nonlinear structural system is demonstrated in order to examine the efficiency of the method.
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