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Network equilibrium analysis on international regular container cargo transport and policy evaluation of port development/management

Research Project

Project/Area Number 10650527
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 交通工学・国土計画
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

KURODA Katsuhiko  Kobe University, Civil Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (20026157)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MORITSU Hideo  Ryutsu Kagaku University, Information Science, Professor, 情報学部, 教授 (10107980)
TAKEBAYASHI Mikio  Kobe University, Civil Engineering, Associate Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (80236497)
Project Period (FY) 1998 – 2001
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2001)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000)
Fiscal Year 1999: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥1,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000)
Keywordscontainer cargo transport / equilibrium / port management policy / Post-Panamax vessel / Siberia Land Bridge / コンテナ輸送 / 均衡分析 / アジア貿易 / ナッシュ均衡 / 外航海運 / 外貿コンテナ輸送市場
Research Abstract

This research aims to develop the equilibrium model of international container cargo transport market and evaluate the policy of port development/management. First, we develop the equilibrium model, which is consisted of two economic subjects, the carriers and shippers. In this model, it is assumed that the carriers aim to minimize their operation cost under the existence of shippers' Nash equilibrium. And the shippers are also assumed to behave myopically, so their aim is to minimize their generalized cost.
Using the developed model, we estimate the future network of Asian-Pacific-European container cargo transport The shape of resultant network is hub-spoke network, which means large vessels and transshipment cargo are concentrated to a couple of big ports. Especially, the Hanshin, the Pusan and the Singapore port enjoy the role as the gateway ports for the intercontinental transport. Moreover, it is understood that the Hanshin and the Pusan have a tight rivalry, so this rivalry is emphasized by their own port management policies, say port capacity extension and port charge pricing. Second, we evaluate the impact of introduction of Post-Panamax class large vessels. Under this situation, the hierarchy of Asian ports is emphasized more strongly, so that the Hong Kong and the Pusan have the market dominance.
Finally, we evaluate the possibility of use of the Siberian Land Bridge as the alternative route of sea route. We concluded that under the current situation, there is no way to use the Siberian Land Bridge as the alternative route of sea route because of its high pricing on the railway transport, slow speed of transport on railway and the serious shortness of capability of container cargo handling at Vostchny port.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2001 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • 1999 Annual Research Report
  • 1998 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (24 results)

All Other

All Publications (24 results)

  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "外航定期コンテナ流動予測モデルの構築とアジア基幹航路への適用"土木学会論文集. No.653,IV-48. 117-131 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Influence of Port Management Policy on the Behavior of the Container Liner Ship Company and Shippers"Journal of EASTS. Vol.3. 127-138 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Mikio Takebayashi: "Equilibrium Analysis of Asian-Pacific Container Transportation Market-Discussion of the Relation of the Chinese and Japanese Ports"Proc.of 2nd APTE. Vol.1. 80-88 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "ポストパナマックス級コンテナ船導入が外航コンテナ輸送市場に与える影響分析"土木学会論文集. No.667,IV-50. 123-136 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "地方港における国際コンテナ航路の成立要件と物流変化への影響分析"建設工学研究所論文報告集. No.43-A. 237-254 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Evaluation of the Network Redundancy in International Container Cargo Transport Market-In Case of Using the Siberian Land Bridge"Proc.of 9th WCTR. H4. 8411 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Influence of Port Management Policy on the Behavior of the Container Liner Ship Company and Shippers"Journal of EASTS. Vol. 3. 127-138 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] MIKIO Takebayashi: "Equilibrium Analysis of Asian-Pacific Container Transportation Market-Discussion of the Relation of the Chinese and Japanese Ports"Proc. of 2nd APTE, APTE 2000. Vol. 1. 80-88 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Evaluation of the Network Redundancy in International Container Cargo Transport Market - In Case of Using the Siberian Land Bridge"Proc. of 9th WCTR topic area H4. 8411 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Development of Model for Forecasting International Container Cargo Flow and Its Application to Major Asian-Pacific Service Routes"Jul. of Infrastructure Planning and Management. No. 663/IV-48. 117-131 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Impact Study on Introduction of Post-Panamax Container Cargo Vessel to the Asian-Pacific-European Maritime Transport Market"Jul. of Infrastructure Planning and Management. No. 667/IV-50. 123-136 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Probability of Container Transport Through Eurasian Continent Base don On-site Survey"Journal of EASTS. Vol. 4. 57-66 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "外航定期コンテナ流動予測モデルの構築とアジア基幹航路への適用"土木学会論文集. No.653,IV-48. 117-131 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Influence of Port Management Policy on the Behavior of the Container Liver Ship Company and Shippers"Journal of EASTS. Vol.3. 127-138 (1999)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Mikio Takebayashi: "Equilibrium Analysis of Asian-Pacific Container Transportation Market-Discussion of the Relation of the Chinese and Japanese Ports"Proc. of 2nd APTE. Vol.1. 80-88 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "ポストパナマックス級コンテナ船導入が外航コンテナ輸送市場に与える影響分析"土木学会論文集. No.667,IV-50. 123-136 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "地方港における国際コンテナ航路の成立要件と物流変化への影響分析"建設工学研究所論文報告集. No.43-A. 237-254 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Evaluation of the Network Redundancy in International Container Cargo Transport Market-In Case of Using the Siberian Land Bridge"Proc. of 9th WCTR. H4(Paper no.8411). (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "外航定期コンテナ流動予測モデルの構築とアジア基幹航路への適用"土木学会論文集. 653. 117-131 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "ポストパナマックス級コンテナ船導入が外航コンテナ輸送市場に与える影響分析"土木学会論文集. 667. 123-136 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Katsuhiko Kuroda: "Influence of Port Management Policy on the Behauior of Container Liner Ship Company and Shippers"Jour'ls of the Easrern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. Vol.3,No.2. 127-138 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "アジア-太平洋航路を対象とした外貿コンテナ貨物輸送モデルの構築"土木計画学研究・講演集. 22(2). 749-752 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "アジア港湾の政策変化が国内港湾に与える影響に関する研究" 第53回土木学会 年次学術講演会講演概要集. 4. 294-295 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 黒田勝彦: "大水深バース整備が外貿コンテナ貨物流動に与える影響に関する一考察" 平成11年度土木学会関西支部年次学術講演会講演集. (1999)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1998-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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