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Mechanism of Environmental Variability in the Arctic Ocean

Research Project

Project/Area Number 11309001
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 広領域
Research InstitutionHokkaido University

Principal Investigator

IKEDA Motoyoshi  Hokkaido University Graduate School of Environmental Earth Science, Professor, 大学院・地球環境科学研究科, 教授 (50261227)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) HATTORI Hiroshi  Hokkaido Tokai University School of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (60208543)
MINOBE Shoushirou  Hokkaido University Graduate School of Science, Associate Professor, 大学院・理学研究科, 助教授 (70219707)
SHIRASAWA Kunio  Hokkaido University Institute of Low Temperature Science, Professor, 低温科学研究所, 教授 (50196622)
TANAKA Noriyuki  Frontier Observational Research system for Global Change International Arctic Research Center, Group Leader, 地球観測フロンティア・国際北極圏研究センター, グループリーダー (10261348)
牛尾 収輝  国立極地研究所, 北極圏環境研究センター, 助手 (50211769)
Project Period (FY) 1999 – 2002
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2002)
Budget Amount *help
¥31,320,000 (Direct Cost: ¥28,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,520,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥6,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥7,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥7,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1999: ¥13,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,400,000)
Keywordsthe Arctic Ocean / global warming / sea ice / variability at a decadal period / plant plankton / ocean chemistry / 北極圏 / 生物化学物理結合系 / 気候変動
Research Abstract

As a platform to integrate the entire project, we have developed a coupled ice-ocean model of the Arctic, by which the responses of the ice-ocean system to the atmospheric variability are examined, and also bio-geochemical processes are interpreted in the physical-biogeochemical version. Once the atmospheric pressure pattern is given the Arctic Oscillation (AO) signal, the model has reproduced the observed sea ice cover variability at a decadal period. The water exchange through the Fram Strait is found to increase responding to the intensified Polar Vortex. Deep convection and dense water spreading are the important oceanic processes which are not explicitly resolved in the Arctic model, and are parameterized on the basis of high resolution models. An observational study has provided better understanding of under-ice mixing.
The further analysis of the Arctic model has revealed the feedback mechanisms, by which the Arctic Oscillation and ice-cover variability could enhance each other. … More Once the ice cover reduces, more heat is given to the atmosphere, which tends to intensify the Polar Vortex. Its wind pattern increases the water exchange through the Fram Strait and gives favor to the Atlantic Water penetrating into the Arctic Ocean. Then, more sea ice melts. This positive feedback comes together with a self-oscillating system of the Arctic-Atlantic Ocean, and excites the AO.
Cloud and radiation data collected by the Soviet Union have been analyzed to present a cloud increase in the recent 40 years. This effect on the surface heat flux is equivalent to that arising from the albedo decrease due to the ice reduction. Although the sea ice has been claimed to be an important indicator for global warming in the real climate and global warming simulation, it has been strongly suggested that more parameters than sea ice and temperature should be looked into carefuly in the comparison between observed data and model results.
Bio-geochemical processes are important environmental components and also crucial to global warming through feedback to the physical component. Observations have been conducted in the Bering Sea, Baffin Bay, the Baltic Sea and Saroma Lagoon, identifying a primary species of phytoplankton in each area. Their roels for global warming have been estimated.
Hydrochemical data collected by the Soviet Union include dissolved oxygen, alkalinity, phosphate, nitrate and silicate. This data set has been analyzed, giving an evidence of vertical stretching of the water column in the Canada Basin. The vertical motion can be interpreted as a consequence of Ekman convergence or divergence responding to the AO. This striking result is expressed as the most recent outcome of this project. Less

Report

(5 results)
  • 2002 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2001 Annual Research Report
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • 1999 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (44 results)

All Other

All Publications (44 results)

  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J.Wang, A.Makshtas: "Importance of clouds to the decaying trend in the Arctic ice cover"J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan. 81. 179-189 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Minobe, S.: "International to interdecadal changes in the Bering Sea and concurrent 1998/99 changes over the North Pacific"Progr. Oceanogr.. 55. 45-64 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Fortier, M., L.Fortier, H.Hattori, H.Saito, L.Legendre: "Visual predators and the diel vertical migration of the copepods under Arctic sea ice during the midnight sun"J. Plankton Res.. 23(11). 1263-1278 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Shirasawa, K., M.Lepparanta, T.Saloranta: "Modelling the thickness or sea ice in the Sea of OkhotsK.Proc.of the seminar "Sea Ice Climate and Marine Environments in the Okhotsk and Baltic Seas-The Present Status and Prospects",Archipelago Research Institute, Seili, Finland, 10-13 September 2001"In Report Series in Geophysics, University of Helsinki, Finland. No.46. 13-41 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J.Wang, J-P.Zhao: "Hypersensitive decadal oscillations in the Arctic/subarctic climate"Geophys. Res. Lett.. 28. 1275-1278 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Wang, J., M.Ikeda: "Arctic oscillation and Arctic sea ice oscillation"Geophys. Res. Lett.. 27. 1287-1290 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J. Wang, A. Makshtas: "Importance of clouds to the decaying trend in the Arctic ice cover"J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan. 81. 179-189 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Minobe, S.: "International to interdecadal changes in the Bering Sea and concurrent 1998/99 changes over the North Pacific"Progr. Oceanogr.. 55. 45-64 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Fortier, M., L. Fortier, H. Hattori, H. Saito, L. Legendre: "Visual predators and the diel vertical migration of the copepods under Arctic sea ice durig the midnight sun"J. Plankton Res.. 23(11). 1263-1278 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Shirasawa, K., M. Lepparanta, T. Saloranta: "Modelling the thickness of sea ice in the Sea of Okhotsk. Proc. Of the seminar "Sea Ice Climate and Marine Environments in the Okhotsk and Baltic Seas - The Present Status and Prospects", Archipelago Research Institute, Seili, Finland, 10-13 September 2001"In Report Series in Geophysics, University of Helsinki, Finland. No. 46. 13-41 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J. Wang, J-P. Zhao: "Hypersensitive decadal oscillations in the Arctic/subarctic climate"Geophys. Res. Lett.. 28. 1275-1278 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Wang, J., M. Ikeda: "Arctic oscilation and Arctic sea ice oscillation"Geophys. Res. Lett.. 27. 1287-1290 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J.Wang, A.Makshtas: "Importance of clouds to the decaying trend in the Arctic ice cover"J.Meteorol.Soc.Japan. 81. 179-189 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobe, S.: "International to interdecadal changes in the Bering Sea and concurrent 1998/99 changes over the North Pacific"Progr.Oceanogr.. 55. 45-64 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Fortier, M., L.Fortier, H.Hattori, H.Saito, L.Legendre: "Visual predators and the diel vertical migration of the copepods under Arctic sea ice during the midnight sun"J.Plankton Res.. 23(11). 1263-1278 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Shirasawa, K., M.Lepparanta, T.Saloranta: "Modelling the thickness of sea ice in the Sea of Okhotsk Proc.of the seminar "Sea Ice Climate and Marine Environments in the Okhotsk and Baltic Seas -The Present Status and Prospects", Archipelago Research Institute, Institute, Seili, Finland, 10-13 September 2001"In Report Series in Geophysics, University of Helsinki, Finland. No.46. 13-41 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J.Wang, J-P.Zhao: "Hypersensitive decadal oscillations in the Arctic/subarctic climate"Gephys.Res.Lett.. 28. 1275-1278 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Wang, J., M.Ikeda: "Arctic oscillation and Arctic sea ice oscillation"Geophys.Res.Lett.. 27. 1287-1290 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Wang, J., M. Ikeda, F. Saucier, Z. Zhang: "A theoretical, two-layer, reduced-gravity model for descending dense water flow on continental slopes"J. Geophys. Res.. (in press).

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J. Wang, J-P. Zhao: "Hypersensitive decadal oscillations in the Arctic/sub arctic climate"Geophys. Res. Left.. 28. 1275-1278 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kawamura, T., Shirasawa, K., Kobinata, K: "Physical properties and isotopic characteristics of landfast sea ice around the North Water (NOW) Polynya"Atmosphere-Ocean. 39(3). 173-182 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kawamura, T., Shirasawa, K., Ishikawa, N., Lindfors, A., Rasmus, K., Grankog, M., Ehn, J., Leppiranta, M., Martma, T., Vaikmae, R.: "Time-series observations of the structure and properties of brackish ice in the Gulf of Finland"Annals of Glaciology. 33. 1-4 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Shirasawa, K., Kobinata, K., Kawamura, T.: "Eddy flux measurements below ice and oceanic boundary layer (OBL) studies"BALTEX-BASIS Final Report MAS3-CT97-0117 Contract with EC, International BALTEX Secretariat. 19. 170-178 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobe, S., T. Nakanowatari: "Global Structure of Bidecadal Precipitation Variability in Boreal Winter"Geophys. Res. Lett.. (in press).

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobs. S., T. Manabe, A. Shouji: "Maximal wavelet filler and its application to Bi-Decadal Oscillation over the North Pacific"J. Climate.. (in press).

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., J.Wang and J-P, Zhao: "Hypersensitive decadal oscillations in the Arctic/subarctic climate."Geophys.Res.Lett,. (in press)..

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ikeda, M., and Y.Sasai: "Reconstruction of subsurface DIC and alkalinity fields in the North Pacific using assimilation of upper ocean data."Mar.Chem. 72. 343-358 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Fujii, M., M.Ikeda and Y.Yamanaka: "Roles of physical processes in the carbon cycle using a simplified physical model."J.Oceanogr.. 56. 655-666 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Wang, J., and M.Ikeda: "Arctic oscillation and Arctic sea ice oscillation."Geophys.Res.Lett. 27. 1287-1290 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Sasai, Y., M.Ikeda and N.Tanaka: "Air-sea CO2 flux during the mixed layer development in the northern North Pacific."J.Geophys.Res.. 105. 3465-3481 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] K.Shirasawa, T.Daibou, Y.Fujiyoshi, M.Ishikawa, T.Kawamura. M.Lepparanta, T.Saloranta and T.Takatsuka: "Interannual variability in hydrometeorological conditions of Saroma-ko Lagoon, Hokkaido, Japan.Proc."the 16th International Symposium on Okhotsk Sea and Sea Ice, 4-8 February 2001. Mombetsu, Japan,. 76-78 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Saito, H.and H.Hattori: "Diel vartical migration of the marine cladoceran Podon leuckarti : Variations with reproductive stage."J.Oceanogr. 56. 153-160 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobe S.and S.Nishino: "Thermohaline-and wind-driven circulation in an extended model of potential vorticity homogenization."Journal of Physical Oceanography. 30. 2391-2403 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobe S.: "Spatio-temporal structure of the pentadecadal variability over the North Pacific."Progress in Oceanography. 47. 381-408 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hare, S.R.S.Minobe, W.S.Wooster, and S.McKinnell: "An introduction to the PICES symposium on the nature and impacts of North Pacific climate regime shifts."Progress in Oceanography. 47. 2-4-99-102 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobe, S., Y.Kanamoto, N.Okada, H.Ozawa and M.Ikeda: "Plume Structures in Deep Convection of Rotating Fluid"Nagare Multimedia 2000. (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 見延庄士郎: "太平洋における50年変動と20年変動との同期"月刊海洋. 号外24. 42-49 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Wang, J. and M. Ikeda: "Arctic oscillation and Arctic sea ice oscillation"Geophys. Res. Lett. (in press).

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Sasai, Y., M. Ikeda and N. Tanaka: "Air-sea CO2 flux during the mixed layer development in the northern North Pacific"J. Geophys. Res. (in press)..

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobe, S.: "Resonance in bidecadal and pentadecadal climate oscillations over the North Pacific : Role in climatic regime shifts"Geophysical Research Letters. 26. 855-858 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Minobe, S. and N. Mantua: "Interdecadal modulation of interannual atmospheric and oceanic variability over the North Pacific"Progress in Oceanography. 43. 163-192 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hattori, H., A. Tanimura & M. Fukuchi: "Vertical distribution of size fractionated phytoplankton chlorophyll in the Indian sector of the Southern Ocean in summer (1985/86)"Polar Biosci.. 12. 15-25 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Saito, H. and H. Hattori: "Diel vartical migration of the marine cladoceran Podon leuckarti : Variations with reproductive stage"J. Oceanogr.. 56(2). 135-160 (2000)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Shirasawa, K., Ishikawa, M., Takatsuka, T., Daibou, T., Aota, M. and Fujiyoshi, Y.: "Sea lce Conditions and Meteorological Observations at Saroma-ko Lagoon, Hokkaido"December 1998 - November 1999. Low Temperature (in press). 58.

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1999-04-01   Modified: 2019-04-05  

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