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Management Science Study on International Infrastructure Development by BOT scheme

Research Project

Project/Area Number 11480097
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 社会システム工学
Research InstitutionHosei University

Principal Investigator

URATANI Tadashi  Hosei University, Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (80126268)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KOBAYASHI Takashi  Hosei University, Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (50010955)
TAKAMORI Hiroshi  Aoyama Gakuin University, Faculty of International Political Economics, Professor, 国際経済学部, 教授 (30082671)
YANAI Hiroshi  Keio University, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (60051447)
OYAMA Tatsuo  Graduate School of Policy Science, Professor, 教授 (30134323)
WAKAYAMA Kunihiro  Hosei University, Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (90061184)
福川 忠明  慶應義塾大学, 理工学部, 教授 (40051685)
佐々木 聡  明治大学, 経営学部, 教授 (40205844)
Project Period (FY) 1999 – 2001
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2001)
Budget Amount *help
¥13,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,700,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥4,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥4,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000)
Fiscal Year 1999: ¥5,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,400,000)
KeywordsProject finance / BOT / PFI / simulation / Cash flow analysis / Infrastructure development / International cooperation / Financial statement analysis / 民活プロジェクト / プロジェクト・ファイナンス / 国際直接投資 / インフラ建設 / 民営化 / ドラマ理論 / BOT プロジェクト / ゲーミングシミュレータ / リスク管理 / コヒーレントリスク測度 / リスクシェアリング / 構造的金融
Research Abstract

Government has continual demand for infrastructure development. Although the budget is limited to finance the projects, BOT scheme allows the private company to finance, build, operate and finally transfer the project to the government. The BOT is especially useful for developing countries because of the infrastructure demand and difficulty of financing.
In our study, we analyze historical major case projects in Financial Engineering view points. Afterward we design two forecast and simulation software where the project economic activities evaluate for cash flow. The first one is for rough estimation of initial budget capacity, and the second one evaluates all financial statements and gives the decision making signal for project realization.
Our work is summarized in the working book form for student who are not familiar to financial statements. We publish it as a text book for project financing and PEI (Private Finance Initiative) which is popular and successful in England. Recently our government is interested in PFI. Thus the book is to be useful to people who are in charge of Infrastructure development.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2001 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • 1999 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (30 results)

All Other

All Publications (30 results)

  • [Publications] 浦谷規, 廣谷清二: "外国投資の為替リスク管理のための数理モデル"数理解析研究所講究録. 1194. 174-184 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] O.Hirayama, R.Takaki, T.Koshizuka H.Yanai: "Model Analysis for Formation of Population Distribution"FORMA. 16. 47-63 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 柳井浩, 西村友志: "ダム湖の容量と流量の調節-流量ベクトル法による取り扱い"オペレーションズ・リサーチ. 46. 646-651 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 三和雅史, 石川達也, 大山達雄: "軌道状態推移予測モデルの構築と最適軌道保守計画作成のための全整数型数理計画モデル分析"土木学会論文集. 681/IV-52. 51-65 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 水野和彦, 大山達雄: "電力自由化後の最適電力供給体制に関する混合型整数計画モデル分析"オペレーションズ・リサーチ. 46. 495-503 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 大内正俊, 沼田雅宏, 平本経幸, 大山達雄: "救急医療データを反映させた道路交通事故死者数推計のための決定ツリーの作成と救命可能人数の検討"日本交通科学協議会誌. Vol.1, No.1. 29-37 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 高森 寛: "現代ファイナンスの基礎理論と応用"東洋経済新報社. 300 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] O. Hirayama, R. Takaki, T. Koshizuka and H.Yanai: "Model Analysis for Formation of Population Distribution"FORMA. Vol.16 No.1. 47-63 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] YANAI, Hiroshi: "Parabola Drawing Methods in Traditional Japanese Architecture"FORMA (The Satiety for Science on Form). Vol.16 No.3. 173 ; 177-186 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Uratani Tadashi, Miyashita Keiki, Yamamoto Masanori: "Generalized binomial model for Option pricing and the martingale measure"Proceeding of The Fifth Conference of the Association of Asian-Pacific Operations Research Societies within IFORS. (CD-ROM). 08-03 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Uratani Tadashi, Y. Mukaidono: "Coherent Risk Measures and the calibration by Linear Programming"Proceedings of JAFEE international conference December. 16. 311-316 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Uratani, T. Utsunomiya, M: "Default risk in Project Financing for dual scheduled amortization"Jafee 2001. 1-13 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 浦谷規, 廣谷清二: "外国投資の為替リスク管理のための数理モデル"数理解析研究所講究録. 1194. 174-184 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] O.Hirayama, R.Takaki, T.Koshizuka, H.Yanai: "Model Analysis for Formation of Population Distribution"FORMA. 16. 47-63 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 柳井 浩, 西村 友志: "ダム湖の容量と流量の調節-流量ベクトル法による取り扱い"オペレーションズ・リサーチ. 46. 646-651 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 三和雅史, 石川達也, 大山達雄: "軌道状態推移予測モデルの構築と最適軌道保守計画作成のための全整数型数理計画モデル分析"土木学会論文集. 681/IV-52. 51-65 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 水野和彦, 大山達雄: "電力自由化後の最適電力供給体制に関する混合型整数計画モデル分析"オペレーションズ・リサーチ. 46. 495-503 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 大内正俊, 沼田雅宏, 平本経幸, 大山達雄: "救急医療データを反映させた道路交通事故死者数推計のための決定ツリーの作成と救命可能人数の検討"日本交通科学協議会誌. Vol.1,No.1. 29-37 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 高森 寛: "現代ファイナンスの基礎理論と応用"東洋経済新報社. 300 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 柳井浩: "トルコ共和国のBOT事情"オペレーションズ・リサーチ. 46・3. 149-150 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 高森寛: "インフラストラクチャー事業のリスクと価値"インフラストラクチャー問題研究部会日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会. 34-55 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] T.Uratani,Y.Mukaidono: "Coherent Risk Measures and the calibration by Linear Programming"Proceedings of JAFEE international conference. 4. 311-316 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] T.Oyama: "Weight of Shortest Path Analyses for the Optimal Location Problem"Journal of Operations Research of Japan. 43・1. 176-196 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 柳井 浩: "地球温暖化による海面上昇とバングラデッシュの洪水"オペレーションズ・リサーチ. Vol.44No.1. 36-39 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 柳井 浩: "紐が作る曲線の形"数理科学. 11月号. 73-83 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Yanai,H: "Curves in Traditional Japanese Architecture and Civil Engineering"(in print)"FORMA. Vol.14 No.3-4.

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 高森 寛: "コンフリクト状況の創造的解決-メタゲームとドラマ理論"青山学院大学総合研究所 研究叢書 学際研究プロジェクト. 第4号. (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Uratani,T.Utsunomiya]: "Lattice calculation for forward LIBOR model"Proceedings of JIC99. No5. 429-436 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] デビット・M・クレプス著 高森寛: "ゲーム理論と経済学"東洋経済新報社. (2000)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 若山 邦紘: "平成11年度 新教科「情報」指導者研究協議会資料"文部省. (2000)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1999-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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