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A STUDY ON ASYMPTOTIC STRUCTURE OF STATISTICAL INFERENCE FOR PARAMETRIC MODELS OF STOCHASTIC PROCESS

Research Project

Project/Area Number 11640117
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

INAGAKI Nobuo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (10000184)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TANIGUCHI Masanobu  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, ASSOC. PROF., 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助教授 (00116625)
ISOGAI Takafufumi  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, ASSOC. PROF., 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助教授 (00109860)
SHIRAHATA Shingo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (10037294)
KUMAGAI Etsuo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, ASSIST. PROF., 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助手 (20273617)
AKI Shigeo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, ASSOC. PROF., 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助教授 (90132696)
Project Period (FY) 1999 – 2001
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2001)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥1,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥1,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 1999: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
KeywordsPARAMETRIC MODELS IN STOCHASTIC PROCESSES / LIKELIHOOD AND QUASI-LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION OF STOCHASTIC PROCESSES / EXPONENTIAL FAMILY OF DISTRIBUTIONS / GENERAL LINEAR MODELS / MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR AND ITS ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES / EXPONENTIAL STOCHASTIC PROCESS AND STATISTICAL INFERENCE / ROBUSTNESS IN TIME SERIES ANALYSIS / GIOSTATISTICS AND KRIGING / 確率過程母数モデル / 確率過程の尤度関数 / 最尤推定量の指数一致性 / 情報量損失と統計的曲率 / バリオグラムとクリギング / エフロンの弦巻モデル / 指数型分布族と凸共役 / 一般線型モデルと連結関数 / 統計的曲率 / helix model / 凸共役 / 正準連結関数
Research Abstract

AIM : Our aim of this study is to investigate the mathematical structure of statistical inference by the asymptotic behavior of likelihood functions of parametric models of stochastic process and especially, to investigate the likelihood functions of "exponential"stochastic processes and their asymptotic properties. The important mathematical structure of statistical inference is discussed by using asymptotic properties of the statistical informations in exponential stochastic processes.
PLAN : Our plan of this study is as follows: (1) INAGAKI studies the likelihood function of parametric models of stochastic process, especially exponential stochastic processes, and their statistical informations by the stochastic integral and Ito's formula. (2) INAGAKI and KUMAGAI investigate the asymptotic relationship between the statistical curvature and the information loss by which they give the charicterization of Efron's parametrization. (3) SHIRAHATA studies the asymptotic methods in nonparamet … More ric and semi-parametric models and evaluates the performance of them by simulation experiments. (4) TANIGUCHI investigates the robustness in the time series analysis. (5) AKI studies the first occurrence time of run and pattern in dependent sequence, such as Markov dependent trials and sampling from urn models.
RESULTS : Our results of this research project are as follows: (1) INAGAKI published a book "FOUNDAMENTALS OF STATISTICS" (in Japanese) with other two coauthors. (2) INGAKI and KUMAGAI write a paper "On Efron's parametrization" at Australian & New Zealand Journal os Statistics (2002) (in press) with another coauthor. (3) SHIRAHATA published a paper about the response ratios of each quation in sampling quationnaire. (4) TANIGUCHI writes a paper about the robustness in time series analysis. TANIGUCH and KAKIZAWA published a book "Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series" Springer, Verlag, New York. (5) AKI writes several papers about distributions of runs and patterns in dependent processes. Less

Report

(4 results)
  • 2001 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • 1999 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (38 results)

All Other

All Publications (38 results)

  • [Publications] Etsuo Kumagai, Nobuo Inagkai, Kiyoshi Inoue: "On Efron's parametrization"Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statisatics. (to appear).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nobuo Inagkai, Kiyoshi Inoue, Etsuo Kumagai: "The exact information loss of the maximum likelihood estimator in the k-dimensional sphere model"Mathematica Japonica. 52. 289-310 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 白旗 慎吾: "設問別回答率分析図について"大学入試研究ジャーナ. 12. (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masnobu Yaniguchi: "On large deviation asymptotics of some tests in time series"Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 97. 191-200 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 磯貝 恭史: "F分布のベキ変換公式とそれから導かれる新ベキ正規分布族の応用"品質(日本品質管理学会誌). 31. 357-372 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Han, Q., Aki, S.: "Waiting time problems in a two-state Markov chain"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 52. 778-788 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 栗栖忠, 濱田年男, 稲垣宣生: "統計学の基礎"裳華房. 190 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Etsuo Kumagai, Nobuo Inagaki and Kiyoshi Inoue: "On Efron's parametrization"Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 44 (in press). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nobuo Inagaki, Kiyoshi Inoue and Etuso Kumagai: "The exact information loss of the maximum likelihood estimator in the k-dimensional sphere model"Mathematica Japonica. 52. 289-310 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kumagai, E., Inagaki, N.: "A Bayes approach to a grouping of small events in the multinomial distribution"Scientiae Mathcmaticae. 3. 1-17 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masanobu Taniguchi: "On large deviation asymptotics of some tests in time series"Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 97. 191-200 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Hallin, M., Taniguchi, M., Serroukh, A. and Choy, K.: "Local asymptotic normality for regression models with long-memory disturbance"Ann. Statist.. 27. 2054-2080 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Isogai: "Analysis of factorial experiments for survival date with long-tailed distributions"Journal of Applied Statistics. 27. 75-101 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Han, Q., Aki, S.: "Waiting time problems in a two-state Markov chain"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 52. 778-788 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Aki, S., Hirano, K.: "Numbers of success runs of specified length until certain stopping time rules and generalized binomial distributions of order k"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 52. 767-777 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] S. Han, S. Aki: "A unified approach to binomial-type distributions of order k"Communications in Statistics-Theory Meth.. 29. 1929-1943 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M. Taniguchi, Y. Kakizawa: "Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series"Springer in Statistics. (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Etsuo Kumagai, Nobuo Inagkai, Kiyoshi Inoue: "On Efron's parametrization"Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statisatics. (to appear).

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Nobuo Inagkai, Kiyoshi Inoue, Etsuo Kumagai: "The exact information loss of the maximum likelihood estimator in the k-dimensional sphere model"Mathematica Japonica. 52. 289-310 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 白旗 慎吾: "設問別回答率分析図について"大学入試研究ジャーナル. 12. (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 谷口 正信: "On large deviation asymptotics of some tests in time series"Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 97. 191-200 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 磯貝 恭史: "F分布のベキ変換公式とそれから導かれる新ベキ正規分布族の応用"品質(日本品質管理学会誌). 31. 357-372 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Han, Q., Aki, S.: "Waiting time problems in a two-state Markov chain"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 52. 778-778 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 栗栖忠, 濱田年男, 稲垣宣生: "統計学の基礎"裳華房. 190 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inoue,Inagaki and Kumagai: "The exact information loss of the maximum likelihood estimator in the k-dimensional sphere model"Mathematica Japonica. 53. 289-310 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kumagai,E.and Inagaki,N.: "A Bayes approach to a Grouping of small events in the multinomial distribution"Scienticae Mathematicae. 3. 1-17 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kumagai,E.and Inagaki,N.: "The circular mechanism in the curved exponential family"Mathematica Japonica. 49. 27-38 (1999)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Han,Q and Aki,S.: "Waiting time problems in a two-state Markov chain"Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. . 52. 778-789 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Han,Q.and Aki,S.: "Joint distributions of runs of multi-state trials"Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. . 51. 419-447 (1999)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hallin,Taniguchi and Serroukh: "Locally asymptotic normality for regression models with long-memory disturbance"Annals of Statistics. 27. 2054-2080 (1999)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Taniguchi and Kakizawa: "Springer in Statistics"Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series. 500 (1999)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kumagai E.and Inagaki N.: "A Bayes approach to a Grouping of small events in the multinomial distribution"Scienticae Mathematicae. 3. 1-17 (2000)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inoue,Inagaki and Kumagai: "The exact information loss of the maximum likelihood estimator in the k-dimensional sphere model"Mathematica Japonica. (to appear).

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kumagai E.and Inagaki N.: "The circular mechanism in the curved exponential family"Mathematica Japonica. 49. 27-38 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Aki S.: "Distributions of runs and consecutive systems on directed trees"Ann.Inst.Statist.Math.. 51. 1-15 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Han Q.and Aki S.: "Joint distributions of runs in a sequence of multi-state trials"Ann.Inst.Statist.Math.. 51. 419-447 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hallin,Taniguchi and Serroukh: "Locally asymptotic normality for regression models with long-memory disturbance"Ann.Statist,. (to appear).

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Taniguchi and Kakizawa: "Springer in Statistics"Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series. 500 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1999-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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