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Interdisciplinary Studies on Long-run Global Grain Supply and Demand Estimates

Research Project

Project/Area Number 12460098
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Agro-economics
Research InstitutionNational University Corporation Tottori University

Principal Investigator

ITO Shoichi  National University Corporation Tottori University, Faculty of Agriculture, Professor, 農学部, 教授 (30222425)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TUNO Yukindo  National University Corporation Tottori University, Professor Emeritus, 名誉教授 (00036287)
INAMOTO Shiro  Ryukoku University, Faculty of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (80026468)
KAKO Toshiyuki  National University Corporation Kobe University, Faculty of Agriculture, Professor, 農学部, 教授 (00121533)
YAMAJI Eiji  National University Corporation University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, Professor, 農学部, 教授 (10143405)
YAMAMOTO Tahei  Arid Land Research Center, Professor, 乾燥地研究センター, 教授 (00032102)
Project Period (FY) 2000 – 2003
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2003)
Budget Amount *help
¥14,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥3,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥3,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥2,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥4,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,600,000)
Keywordsgrains / world / supply and demand / long-run estimates / interdisciplinary studies / statistics
Research Abstract

The global grain supply and demand situation has been facing a new ear. Despite the increases in world population, production of a grain may not necessarily increase. The world wheat production has been stagnated at around 600 million metric ton level since 1990, so as the rice production since 1999. On the other hand, corn production has been continuously increasing surpassing the volume of wheat production during the recent years, and so as the soybean production. Soybean production, currently over 200 million metric tons, may surpass the rice production of 400 million metric tons some time in the near future.
According to the results of this research, production potential of each individual grain in the world is not pessimistic as trumpeted with "population explosion" and "limits of global resources," but production competition and trade competition among the regions and countries may become more serious due to increasingly vital technology innovation for production. Demand competiti … More on is also critical. The weakening demand for wheat and rice may be causing lower market prices leading to less production. Therefore, a region or country where technology is getting behind may lose competition and face decreases in production. The agricultural industries and the agribusiness sectors should be aware of this critical situation to come in the future.
In this research, providing information using the web-site was another important role. World Food Statistics & Graphics has been set up in this research. It provided world supply and demand of the major grains (rice, wheat, corn and soybeans) and livestock products (broiler, turkey, cheese, pork and beef) for about 200 regions and countries from 1960 through current. The original data is from the US Department of Agriculture's PS&D Online. In this research, the data have been rearranged and shown both numerical data as well as graphics, so that the viewers can easily recognize the change in situation over time. The web-site is composed of four languages ; Japanese, English, Spanish and Chinese. World market prices for the major grains are also provided in the web-site. The address is :
http://worldfood.muses.tottori-u.ac.jp Less

Report

(5 results)
  • 2003 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • 2001 Annual Research Report
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (62 results)

All 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 Other

All Journal Article (31 results) Book (10 results) Publications (21 results)

  • [Journal Article] SBS米輸入の政府買入れ及び売渡し予定価格に関する研究2004

    • Author(s)
      蔡家声, 伊東正一
    • Journal Title

      農業経済論集 55

      Pages: 123-134

    • NAID

      10013485670

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Government Internal Restrictive Prices in Bidding for SBS Rice Imports in Japan2004

    • Author(s)
      Jiasheng Cai, Shoichi Ito
    • Journal Title

      Review of Agricultural Economics(in Japanese) 55

      Pages: 123-134

    • NAID

      10013485670

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] アジアのコメ需給と食料安全保障2003

    • Author(s)
      伊東正一
    • Journal Title

      農業と経済 6月号

      Pages: 43-52

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 生産と在庫の減少で厳しさ増す世界の穀物需給2003

    • Author(s)
      伊東正一
    • Journal Title

      農業 9月号

      Pages: 56-60

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Future of Rice Industry in Asia-Pacific Countries --The Crisis of Asian Rice--2003

    • Author(s)
      Shiro Inamoto, Shoichi Ito
    • Journal Title

      Presented at the 2^<nd> Asia Pacific Agriculture Policy Forum S

      Pages: 147-153

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Macroeconomic Policies and the Food Supply : Exchange Rate Effects in a Model with Non-tradables.2003

    • Author(s)
      Mattos, Juan de Dios, Shoichi Ito, Kozo Kasahara
    • Journal Title

      農業経営研究 41(1)

      Pages: 122-125

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Effects of the Exchange Rate on the Food Supply in a Model with Non-Tradables.2003

    • Author(s)
      Mattos, Juan de Dios, Shoichi Ito, Koichi Usami
    • Journal Title

      農業経済論集 54

      Pages: 121-127

    • NAID

      10011679209

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] SBS米輸入マーク・アップの変動に対する国内相場の影響レベルに関する研究2003

    • Author(s)
      蔡家声, 伊東正一, 笠原浩三
    • Journal Title

      農業経済論集 54

      Pages: 115-120

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 米国における1996年農業法(FAIR)とコメの生産性向上に関する研究2003

    • Author(s)
      寿盛陽平, 伊東正一, 藤井嘉儀
    • Journal Title

      農業経営研究 41(2)

      Pages: 55-58

    • NAID

      10011679283

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Soil Degradation Rehabilitation Techniques for Irrigated Agriculture in Arid Lands2003

    • Author(s)
      Tahei Yamamoto, Hossein DehghaniSanij, Menachem Agassi
    • Journal Title

      2003 Open Symposium, Multifunction of Southeast Asian Agricultural Sciences (ISSAAS)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Nitrate dynamics in shallow groundwater and the potential for transport to off-site water body2003

    • Author(s)
      Rasiah, V., J.D.Armour, T.Yamamoto, S.Mahendrarajah, D.H.Heiner
    • Journal Title

      Water, Air, and Soil Pollution 147

      Pages: 183-202

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Assessment of evapotranspiration estimation models for use in semi-arid environments,2003

    • Author(s)
      Hossein DehghaniSanij, Tahei Yamamoto, Velu Rasiah
    • Journal Title

      Agricultural Water Management

      Pages: 91-106

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 黒龍江省農墾区における稲作の発展要因2003

    • Author(s)
      加古敏之, 張建平, 草苅仁
    • Journal Title

      中国経済研究

      Pages: 2-15

    • NAID

      40007038213

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Rice Supply/Demand and Food Security in Asia2003

    • Author(s)
      Shoichi Ito
    • Journal Title

      Agriculture & Economics (Nougyou to Keizai)(in Japanese) 6

      Pages: 43-52

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Reduction of both supply and stocks : Difficult management for the global grains2003

    • Author(s)
      Shoichi Ito
    • Journal Title

      Agriculture (Nougyou)(in Japanese) 9

      Pages: 56-60

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Future of Rice Industry in Asia-Pacific Countries -- The Crisis of Asian Rice --2003

    • Author(s)
      Shiro Inamoto, Shoichi Ito
    • Journal Title

      Presented at the 2nd Asia Pacific Agriculture Policy Forum S

      Pages: 147-153

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Macroeconomic Policies and the Food Supply : Exchange Rate Effects in a Model with Non-tradables.2003

    • Author(s)
      Mattos, Juan dc Dios, Shoichi Ito, Kozo Kasahara
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Farm Management(in Japanese) 41(1)

      Pages: 122-125

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Effects of the Exchange Rate on the Food Supply in a Model with Non-tradables.2003

    • Author(s)
      Mattos, Juan de Dios, Shoichi Ito, Koichi Usami
    • Journal Title

      Review of Agricultural Economics(in Japanese) 54

      Pages: 121-127

    • NAID

      10011679209

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] A Study on Influene of Change in Domestic Rice Prices on Movements of the Mark-up of the SBS Rice Imports to Japan2003

    • Author(s)
      Jiashieng Cai, Shoichi Ito, Kozo Kasahara
    • Journal Title

      Review of Agricultural Economics(in Japanese) 54

      Pages: 115-120

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] U.S.1996 Farm Bill and Increases in Rice Productivity2003

    • Author(s)
      Yohei Sumori, Shoichi Ito, Yoshinori Fujii
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Farm Management(in Japanese) 41(2)

      Pages: 58-58

    • NAID

      10011679283

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Soil Degradation Rehabilitation Techniques for Irrigated Agriculture in Arid Lands2003

    • Author(s)
      Tahei Yamamoto, Hossein Dhghani Sanji, Menachem Agassi
    • Journal Title

      2003 Open Symposium Multifunction of Southeast Asian Agricultural Sciences (ISSAAS)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Nitrate dynamics in shallow groundwater and the potential for transport to off-site water body2003

    • Author(s)
      Rasiah, V., J.D.Armour, T.Yamamoto, S.Mahendrarajah, D.H.Heiner
    • Journal Title

      Water, Air and Soil Pollution 147

      Pages: 183-202

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Assessment of evapotranspiration estimation models for use in semi-arid environments2003

    • Author(s)
      Hossein Dehghanisanij, Tahei Yamamoto, Velu Rasiah
    • Journal Title

      Agricultural Water Management

      Pages: 91-106

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Factor for Development of Paddy Fields in Heilongjiang2003

    • Author(s)
      Toshiyuki Kako, Jong C.Ping, Hitoshi Kusakari
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Chinese Economics (Chuugoku Keizai Kenkyuu)(in Japanese)

      Pages: 2-15

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of the Transformation Process of Chinese Agriculture2001

    • Author(s)
      Kako, Toshiyuki
    • Journal Title

      Rural Institution Sequencing & Timing in Transition Economies(Gertrud Buchenrieder ed.)

      Pages: 143-168

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of the Transformation Process of Chinese Agriculture2001

    • Author(s)
      Kako, Toshiyuki
    • Journal Title

      Rural Institution Sequencing & Timing in Transition Economies(Gertrud Buchenrieder ed.)(Margraf Publishers)(Germany)

      Pages: 143-168

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Problems Concerning Grain Production and Distribution in China : The Case of Heilongjiang Province2000

    • Author(s)
      Kako, Toshiyuki, Jianping Zhang
    • Journal Title

      The Developing Economies 38-1

      Pages: 51-79

    • NAID

      110000001472

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of the Transition Process of Chinese Agriculture2000

    • Author(s)
      Toshiyuki Kako
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the Mini-Symposium on "Institution Sequencing and Timing in Transition Economies 24

      Pages: 13-18

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 食料自給率と食料安保2000

    • Author(s)
      加古敏之
    • Journal Title

      農林業問題研究 35-4

      Pages: 171-176

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Problems Concerning Grain Production and Distribution in China : The Case of Heilongjiang Province2000

    • Author(s)
      Kato, Toshiyuki, Jianping Zhang
    • Journal Title

      The Developing Economics Vol.XXXVIII, No.1

      Pages: 51-79

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Self-sufficiency Rate and Food Security2000

    • Author(s)
      Toshiyuki Kako
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Rural Problem(in Japanese) 35-4

      Pages: 171-175

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] 世界の食料需給とアジアにおける農業・農村開発の展望(遠藤浩一監修)『開発と貿易の新潮流』2004

    • Author(s)
      伊東正一
    • Total Pages
      202
    • Publisher
      KKアイ・ケイコーポレーション
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Prospects of Global Food Supply and Demand and Asian Agricultural and Rural Development, The new Stream of Development and Trade, (Ed.By Kouichi Endou)2004

    • Author(s)
      Shoichi Ito
    • Total Pages
      202
    • Publisher
      KK-AI・K-Corporation(in Japanese)
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] 日本と韓国における経済発展と食料安全保障問題『持続的農業農村の展望』2003

    • Author(s)
      加古敏之
    • Total Pages
      397
    • Publisher
      大明堂
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Economic Development and Food Security in Japanand Korea, Prospects of Sustainable Agriculture and Rural Development2003

    • Author(s)
      Toshiyuki Kako
    • Total Pages
      397
    • Publisher
      Daimyoudou(in Japanese)
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] アグリビジネス2002

    • Author(s)
      稲本志良, 河合明宣
    • Total Pages
      226
    • Publisher
      放送大学教育振興会
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] 農と食とフードシステム2002

    • Author(s)
      稲本志良, 大西緝, 斎藤修, 安村碩之
    • Total Pages
      356
    • Publisher
      農林統計協会
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Agribusiness2002

    • Author(s)
      Shiro Inamoto, Akinobu Kawai
    • Total Pages
      226
    • Publisher
      Society for the Promotion of the University of the Air(in Japanese)
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Agriculture, Food and Food System2002

    • Author(s)
      Shiro Inamoto, Atsumu Ohnishi, Osamu Saito, Hiyoyuki Yasumura
    • Total Pages
      356
    • Publisher
      Nourin Toukei Kyoukai(in Japanese)
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] 食糧振興会叢書49号 世界の穀物統計2001

    • Author(s)
      伊藤正一
    • Total Pages
      522
    • Publisher
      全国食糧振興会
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] World Grain Statistics & Graphics, Grain Promotion Book Series, No.492001

    • Author(s)
      Shoichi Ito
    • Total Pages
      522
    • Publisher
      National Grain Promotion Association (Zenkoku Shokuryou Shinkou Kai)(in Japanese)
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 蔡家声, 伊東正一, 笠原浩三: "SBS米輸入マーク・アップの変動に対する国内相場の影響レベルに関する研究"農業経済論集. 54. 115-120 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Mattos.Juan de Dios, Shoichi Ito, Koichi Usami: "Effects of the Exchange Rate on the Food Supply in a Model with Non-tradables"農業経済論集. 54. 121-127 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Mattos.Juan de Dios, Shoichi Ito, Kozo Kasahara: "Macroeconomic Policies and the Food Supply : --Exchange Rate Effects in a Model with Non-tradables--"農業経営研究. 41(1). 122-125 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 寿盛陽平, 伊東正一, 藤井嘉儀: "米国における1996年農業法(FAIR)とコメの生産性向上に関する研究"農業経営研究. 41(2). 55-58 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "アジアのコメ需給と食料安全保障"農業と経済. 6月号. 43-52 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "生産と在庫の減少で厳しさ増す世界の穀物需給"農業. 9月号. 56-60 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Tahei Yamamoto, Hossein DehghaniSanij, Menachem Agassi: "Soil Degradation Rehabilitation Techniques for Irrigated Agriculture in Arid Lands"2003 Open Symposium, Multifunction of Southeast Asian Agricultural Sciences (ISSAAS). (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Rasiah, V., J.D.Armour, T.Yamamoto, S.Mahendrarajah, D.H.Heiner: "Nitrate dynamics in shallow groundwater and the potential for transport to off-site water body"Water, Air, and Soil Pollution. 147. 183-202 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hossein DehghaniSanij, Tahei Yamamoto, Velu Rasiah: "Hossein DehghaniSanij, Tahei Yamamoto, Velu Rasiah"Agricultural Water Management. 91-106 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 笠原浩三, 伊東正一, 佐藤俊夫: "従価税及び重量税によるコメ輸入の関税障壁効果について-現地調査に基づく小売価格均衡関税率-"農林業問題研究. 37. 215-220 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Shoichi Ito: "What is the Real Food Security for Japan?"Internationl Conference on Food Security in Northeastern Asia Situation and Outlook, Research Institute for Agriculture and Life Sciences, Seoul National University. 51-72 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 加古敏之: "経済発展とコメ需給"神戸大学農業経済. 36(印刷中). (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 加古敏之, 張建平: "中国のジャポニカ米戦略-黒龍江省を中心に-"農業と経済. 68巻・4号. 82-90 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 山本太平, アムメンサ フレドリック, 藤巻晴之, 宇都宮 淳: "アフリカのサヘル地帯における気象特性と持続的な灌漑計画"農業土木学会誌. 70巻・11号. 43-46 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Guang.Wen, Jeff, Thahei Yamamoto.他: "Effectiveness of an elemental sulfur fertilizer in an oilseed-cereal-legume rotation on the Canadian prairies"J. Plant Nutr. Soil Sci.. 16. 1-7 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "新時代に入った世界のコメ需給(第10回):SBS米とアメリ力の今年産予測"食糧振興. 68. 28-33 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "新時代に入った世界のコメ需給(第11回):コメ、コムギ、コーン三つ巴戦とアジアの農業、そして日本"食糧振興. 69. 22-27 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "食糧振興会叢書49号世界の穀物統計"全国食糧振興会. 522 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "新時代に入った世界のコメ需給(第10回):SBS米とアメリカの今年産予測"食糧振興. 68. 28-33 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "新時代に入った世界のコメ需給(第11回):コメ、コムギ、コーン三つ巴戦とアジアの農業、そして日本"食糧振興. 69. 22-27 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 伊東正一: "食糧振興会叢書49号『世界の穀物統計』"全国食糧振興会. 522 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2000-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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