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A Study on Public Sector Comparator in evaluation of PFI projects

Research Project

Project/Area Number 12480106
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 社会システム工学
Research InstitutionKYOTO UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

NAKAGAWA Dai  Kyoto University, Engineering, Associate Professor, 工学研究科, 助教授 (30180251)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MASTSUNAKA Ryoji  Kyoto University, Engineering, Research Associate, 工学研究科, 助手 (70303849)
AOYAMA Yoshitaka  Kyoto University, Engineering, Professor, 工学研究科, 教授 (80035633)
Project Period (FY) 2000 – 2001
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2001)
Budget Amount *help
¥8,800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥8,800,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥3,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥5,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,600,000)
KeywordsPFI / demand risk / Possibility of contract conclusion / PSC / リスク
Research Abstract

The introduction of PFI (Private Finance Initiative) which is the method that the private sector participates in the provision of the public services is considered in the local governments. As for the transport projects, the introduction of PFI is also considered. It thinks that PFI can increase the efficiency of the projects by appropriately sharing risk between the private sector and the public sector. Therefore, it is important to make clear the kinds of risk and the degree of the risk premium.
In this study, we made clear the background and the characteristic of PFI in the United Kingdom, the merits and the problems of PFI, and the present situation of PFI in japan. Then, we grasped the examples which introduced PFI into the transport projects in the United Kingdom and the possibility to introduce PFI into the transport projects in Japan. Moreover, we aimed at the demand risk about the transport projects and we analyzed the possibility of contract conclusion of PFI projects considering the precision of the demand forecasting and the profit of the PFI corporation.
As a result, we made clear the followings. ・If the public sector estimates demand correctly, the possibility of contract conclusion becomes high in any contract form. ・When the public sector estimates demand excessively, the possibility of contract conclusion becomes low. ・When the public sector underestimates demand, the possibility of contract conclusion by the band system is high.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2001 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All Other

All Publications (7 results)

  • [Publications] 川合祐之, 青山吉隆, 中川 大, 松中亮治: "需要予測の精度が異なるときの需要予測の精度が異なるときのPFI事業の導入可能性に関する研究"土木計画学研究・講演集. Vol.24(1). 573-576 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 川合祐之, 青山吉隆, 中川 大, 松中亮治: "PFIによる交通プロジェクトにおけるPFI事業者の行動に関する研究"第56回年次学術講演会講演概要集. 第4部. 367-368 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 青山吉隆, 中川 大, 松中亮治, 川合祐之: "需要リスクを考慮した交通プロジェクトのPFI契約成立可能性に関する研究"平成13年度関西支部年次学術講演会. IV. 11-1-11-2 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yushi Kawai, Yoshitaka AOYAMA, Dai NAKAGAWA and Ryoji MATSUNAKA: "A Study on the Introduction Possibility of PFI Projects (Joint Ventures) in Case the Accuracy of Demand Estimation Differs"Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. Vol. 24(1). 573-576 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 川合祐之, 青山吉隆, 中川 大, 松中亮治: "需要予測の精度が異なるときの需要予測の精度が異なるときのPFI事業の導入可能性に関する研究"土木計画学研究・講演集. Vol.24(1). 573-576 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 川合祐之, 青山吉隆, 中川 大, 松中亮治: "PFIによる交通プロジェクトにおけるPFI事業者の行動に関する研究"第56回年次学術講演会講演概要集. 第4部. 367-368 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 青山吉隆, 中川 大, 松中亮治, 川合祐之: "需要リスクを考慮した交通プロジェクトのPFI契約成立可能性に関する研究"平成13年度関西支部年次学術講演会. IV. 11-1-11-2 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2000-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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