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DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF INVESTIGATION METHOD FOR PERFORMANCE OF LIFELINE SYSTEM ON EARTHQUAKE HAZARD

Research Project

Project/Area Number 12555138
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section展開研究
Research Field 構造工学・地震工学
Research InstitutionMusashi Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

HOSHIYA Masaru  MUSASHI INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY, DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING, PROFESSOR, 工学部, 教授 (30061518)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MARUYAMA Osamu  MUSASHI INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY, DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING, ASSISTANT PROFESSOR, 工学部, 助教授 (50209699)
OHNO Haruo  KOGYOKUSHA COLLEGE OF TECHNOLOGY, DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING, PROFESSOR, 環境建設学科, 教授 (50191945)
KATADA Toshiyuki  MUSASHI INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY, DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING, PROFESSOR, 工学部, 教授 (30147897)
YAMAMOTO Kinya  KOGYOKUSHA COLLEGE OF TECHNOLOGY, DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING, PROFESSOR, 環境建設学科, 教授 (50259024)
SUTOH Atsushi  CHIZAKI KOGYO Co., Ltd, ENGINEERING DIVISION, SENIOR RESERCH ENGINEER, 技術部・主席研究員
Project Period (FY) 2000 – 2003
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2003)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥1,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
KeywordsSEISMIC RISK MANAGEMENT / LIFELINE / INFORMATION ENTROPY / EARTHQUAKE INSURANCE / RELIABILITY / REDUNDANCY INDEX / DECISION MAKING / STOCHASTIC DCF METHOD / 構造物の同定 / 地震動の簡易推定 / リスクの認知 / 意志決定 / リスク転嫁 / 保険 / リスクマネジメント / 地震リスク / 地震防災 / 冗長性
Research Abstract

The main theme of this study is the seismic risk management of a lifeline system, which evaluates the seismic risk quantitatively and consider how to decrease the seismic risk. One of the countermeasures against the earthquake is to increase the redundancy of system and thus a redundancy index RE is proposed with information entropy, which can express the redundancy of the system objectively. And the redundancy index RE is applied to the Kobe water distribution network as case studies whose productions are presented on the international conferences and ran in the journals of JSCE and ASCE. And the earthquake insurance is also excellent countermeasure against the earthquake, which can compensate the loss of system with money. Therefore the optimum premium between the insurance company and the user is discussed, whose production is published.
And on the other hand, the basic studies to prefer the optimum countermeasure against the earthquake on the utility function and the recognition degree of citizens on the risk are carried on. And the study of integration for conditional random fields is approached to investigate the performance of system on the earthquake hazard.
For the future study, the Stochastic DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) method, which is able to evaluate the system performance with not only loss of the system against the earthquake but also' asset of the system facilities, is discussed.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2003 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • 2001 Annual Research Report
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (37 results)

All Other

All Publications (37 results)

  • [Publications] 星谷勝, 山本欣弥: "情報エントロピーを用いたシステムの信頼性と冗長性の検討"土木学会論文集. No.654/I-52. 355-366 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 山本欣弥, 星谷勝, 大野春雄: "冗長性指数によるライフライフシステムの地震時リスク解析"土木学会論文集. No.682/I-56. 373-382 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masaru Hoshiya, Kinya Yamamoto: "Redundancy Index of Lifeline Systems"Journal of Engineering Mechanics, ASCE. Vol.128,No.9. 961-968 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 星谷勝, 丸山收: "準解析手法による動的非線形系の初期通過確率算定"土木学会論文集. No.717/I-61. 65-75 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Atsushi SUTOH, Masaru HOSHIYA, Muneo HORI, Yoshito SAITOH: "Simplified Measurement System and an Identification Procedure of Strong Ground Motion Using Security Video Records"9th International Conf.on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP9). 1559-1564 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中村孝明, 星谷勝, 望月智也: "地震リスクを考慮した確率論的DCF法による資産価値とマネジメント"土木学会論文集. No.752/I-66. 169-178 (2004)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 星谷 勝, 中村孝明: "構造物のリスクマネジメント"山海堂. 180 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masaru Hoshiya, Kinya Yamamoto: "Redundancy of Engineering System with Information Entropy"Journal of Structural Mechanics and Earthquake Engineering, JSCE. No.654/I-52. 355-366 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kinya Yamamoto, Masaru Hoshiya, Haruo Ohno: "Seismic Risk Analysis of Lifeline System with Redundancy Index"Journal of Structural Mechanics and Earthquake Engineering, JSCE. No.682/I-56. 373-382 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masaru Hoshiya, Kinya Yamamoto: "Redundancy Index of Lifeline Systems"Journal of Engineering Mechanics, ASCE. Vol.128,No.9. 961-968 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masaru Hoshiya, Osamu Maruyama: "Estimation of First Passage Probabilities by Pseudo Analytical Method"Journal of Structural Mechanics and Earthquake Engineering, JSCE. No.717/I-61. 65-75 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Atsushi SUTOH, Masaru HOSHIYA, Muneo HORI, Yoshito SAITOH: "Simplified Measurement System and an Identification Procedure of Strong Ground Motion Using Security Video Records"9th International Conf. on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP9). 1559-1564 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Takaaki Nakamura, Masaru Hoshiya, Tomoya Mochizuki: "Asset Pricing Analysis Considering Seismic Risk by Stochastic Discounted Cash Flow Method"Journal of Structural Mechanics and Earthquake Engineering, JSCE. No.752/I-66. 169-178 (2004)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Osamu Maruyama, Masaru Hoshiya: "Non-linear Filters Using Monte Carlo Integration for Conditional Random Fields"9th International Conf. on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP9). I. 353-358 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Masaru Hoshiya, Takaaki Nakamura: "Seismic Risk Management"Sankaido. 180 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Hoshiya, K.Yamamoto, H.Ohno: "Redundancy Index for Mitigation Measures to Lifeline Seismic Risk"Proceedings of the fifth International Conference on Stochastic Structural Dynamics -SSD03. 173-180 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 渋谷卓, 須藤敦史, 星谷勝: "汎用ソフトを用いたデータマイニングによる上水道の地震被害形態の解析"土木学会,第58回年次学術講演会講演概要集. VI-109. 817-818 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 丸山收, 星谷勝: "BF/MCFによる対数正規確率場の補間"土木学会論文集. No.731/I-63. 391-396 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M.: "Non-linear Filters Using Monte Carlo Integration for Conditional Random Fields"9th International Conf. on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP9). I. 353-358 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Atsushi SUTOH, Masaru HOSHIYA, Muneo HORI, Yoshito SAITOH: "Simplified Measurement System and an Identification Procedure of Strong Ground Motion Using Security Video Records"9th International Conf. on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP9). II. 1559-1564 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中村孝明, 星谷勝, 望月智也: "地震リスクを考慮した確率論的DCF法による資産価値とマネジメント"土木学会論文集. No.752/I-66. 169-178 (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Masaru Hoshiya, Kinya Yamamoto: "Redundancy Index of Lifeline Systems"Journal of Engineering Mechanics, ASCE. Vol.128, No.9. 961-968 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 望月, 中村, 木村, 星谷: "損失に対する主観金額を考慮した地震保険の最適化"土木学会論文集. No.703/I-59. 203-210 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] K.Yamamoto, M.Hoshiya, H.Ohno: "Seismic risk management of lifeline systems"Proceeding of the 8th U.S.-Japan Workshop on Earthquake Resistant Design of Lifeline Facilities and Countermeasures against Liquefaction. (口頭発表済み). (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷 勝: "地震災害リスクマネジメント"地質と調査,12月号、土木春秋社. 第4号. 7-13 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 須藤 敦史: "意思決定における確率の認知度について"土木学会北海道支部平成14年度技術研究発表会予稿集. I. 198-199 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷勝, 丸山收: "準解析手法による動的非線形系の切期通過確率算定"土木学会論文集. No.717/I-61. 65-75 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷 勝, 中村孝明: "構造物のリスクマネジメント"山海堂. 180 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷 勝: "連載講座 構造物のリスクマネジメント 第2回"土木施工,山海堂. Vol.42,No.5. 81-84 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷 勝: "連載講座 構造物のリスクマネジメント 第3回"土木施工,山海堂. Vol.42,No.6. 75-79 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷 勝: "連載講座 構造物のリスクマネジメント 第4回"土木施工,山海堂. vol.42,No.7. 97-101 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 山本 欣弥, 星谷 勝, 大野 春雄: "冗長性指数によるライフラインシステムの地震時リスク解析"土木学会論文集. No.682/I-56. 373-382 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Yamamoto, K., Ohno, H., Hoshiya, M.: "Redundancy and reliability of engineering systems with information entropy"ICOSSAR 2001, Newport Beach, California, U.S.A.. (発表済). (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M.: "System identification of an experimental model by extended kalman filter"ICOSSAR 2001, Newport Beach, California, U.S.A.. (発表済). (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷勝: "構造物のリスクマネジメント第1回"土木施工. 42・3. 52-55 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷勝,山本欣弥: "情報エントロピーを用いたシステムの信頼性と冗長性の検討"土木学会論文集. No.654/I-52. 355-366 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Hoshiya and K.Yamamoto: "Information Entropy for Redundancy of Engineering Systems"Proceedings of The International Conference on Monte Carlo Simulation. 273-278 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2001-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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