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Theory of Bayes interence and its applications

Research Project

Project/Area Number 12640131
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionKumamoto University

Principal Investigator

TAKADA Yoshikazu  Kumamoto University, Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (70114098)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) IWASA Manabu  Kumamoto University, Faculty of Engineering, Associate Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (30232648)
NAITO Koichiro  Kumamoto University, Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (10164104)
OSHIMA Yoichi  Kumamoto University, Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (20040404)
KUDOTA Noriya  Kumamoto University, Faculty of Engineering, Lecturer, 工学部, 講師 (80185884)
税所 康正  広島大学, 工学部, 助教授 (70195973)
横井 嘉孝  熊本大学, 工学部, 教授 (50040481)
Project Period (FY) 2000 – 2001
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2001)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
KeywordsLINEX loss function / Bayes sequential estimation / asymptotic efficiency / inadmissibility
Research Abstract

There are some cases for which it is appropriate to use asymmetric loss function instead of symmetric loss function, Throughout this research project, we used LINEX loss function proposed by Varian (1975). In 2000, consideration was devoted to the sequential point estimation of normal mean, Purely and accelerated stopping times were considered. It was shown that a sequential procedure with the sample mean as an estimate is asymptotically inadmissible. Furthermore, we considered a sequential point estimation of the mean vector of a multivariate normal distribution. It was also shown that a sequential procedure with the sample mean vector as an estimate is asymptotically inadmissible.
In 2001, we considered Bayes sequential estimation of the mean of one- parameter exponential family with conjugate priors. It is extremely difficult to find Bayes stopping times. Hence we considered APO rules proposed by Bickel and Yahav (1967) to find asymptotic optimal stopping times. Especially, it was shown that the APO rules is asymptotically second-order efficient compared with Bayes rule for a Poisson distribution. In the future research project, we shall consider whether the similar result holds for one-parameter exponential family. Furthermore, on the basis of obtained results, we are going to consider empirical Bayes sequential estimation.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2001 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (22 results)

All Other

All Publications (22 results)

  • [Publications] Yoshikazu Takada: "Sequential point estimation of normal mean under LINEX lses function"Metrika. 52. 163-171 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoshikazu Takada: "Buyes sequential estimation of poision mean under LINEX loss function"Sequential Analysis. 20. 55-64 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoichi Oshima: "On the exceptionality of some semipolar sets of time inhomogeneous Markov processer"Tohoku Math. J.. (to appear).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Koichiro Naito: "Recurrent dimensions of Quasi-Periodic Orbits with Irrational frequencies given by Quasi Liouville Numbers"Nonlinear Analysis. 47. 3671-3682 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Koichiro Naito: "Correlation Dimension of quasi-periodic orbits with frequencies given by quasi Rsth numbers"J. Korean Math. Soc.. 37. 857-870 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Manabu Iwasa: "Concentration Probabilities for restricted and unrestricted MLEs"Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 80. 58-66 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoshikazu Takada: "Sequential point estimation of normal mean under LINEX loss function"Metrika. 52. 163-171 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoshikazu Takada: "Bayes sequential estimation of Poisson mean under a LINEX loss function"Sequential Analysis. 20. 55-64 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoich Oshima: "On the exceptionality of some semipolar sets of time inhomogeneous Markov processes"Tohoku Math. J.. (to appear).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Koichiro Naito: "Recurrent Dimensions of Quasi-Periodic Orbits with Irrational Frequencies given by Quasi Liouville Numbers"Nonlinear Analysis. 47. 3671-3682 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Koichiro Naito: "Correlation dimensions of quasi-periodic orbits with frequencies given by quasi Roth numbers"J. Korean Math. Soc.. 37. 857-870 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Manabu Iwasa: "Concentration Probabilities for Restricted and Unrestricted MLEs"Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 80. 58-66 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yoshikazu Takada: "Bayes sequential estimation of Poisson mean under a LINEX loss function"Sequential Analysis. 20. 55-64 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Yoichi Oshima: "On the exceptionality of some semipolar sets of time inhomogeneous Markov processes"Tohoku Math. J.. (to appear).

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Koichiro Naito: "Recurrent dimensions of quasi-periodic solutions for nonlinear evolution equation"Trans. Amer. Math. Soc.. 354. 1137-1151 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Koichiro Naito: "Recurrent dimensions of quasi Periodic orbits with inational Frequencies given by quasi Liourille Numbers"Nonlinear Analysis. 47. 3671-3682 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Koichiro Naito: "Recurrent dimensions of quasi periodic orbits with irratioral frequencies given by weak Liouville numbers"数理解析研究所講究録. 1187. 131-142 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Manabu Iwasa: "Concentration prohabilities of restricted and unrestricted MLEs"Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 80・1. 58-66 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Mukoto Aoshima: "Second-order properties of a two-stage procedure for comparing several treatments with a control"J.Japan Statist.Soc.. 2・1. 27-41 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Yushan Xiao: "Statistical prediction under a LINEX loss function"Preceedings of the seventh Japan-China symposium on Statistics. 175-176 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Yoshikazu Takada: "Sequential point estimation of normal mean under LINEX loss function"Metrika. (to appear).

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Yoshikazu Takada: "Bayes sequential estimation of Poisson mean under a LINEX loss function"Sequential Analysis. (to appear).

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2000-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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