• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF HUMAN SUXUAL BEHAVIOR AND SPREAD OF SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASES AS A COMPLEX SYSTEM

Research Project

Project/Area Number 12834009
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research InstitutionHIROSHIMA UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

KAKEHASHI Masayuki  FACULTY OF MEDICINE, HIROSHIMA UNIVERSITY, PROFESSOR, 医学部, 教授 (80177344)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) NAKAZAWA Minato  GRADUATE SCHOOL OF MEDICAL SCIENCES, THE UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO, INSTRUCTOR, 大学院・医学系研究科, 助手 (40251227)
INABA Hisashi  GRADUATE SCHOOL OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES, THE UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO, ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR, 大学院・数理科学研究科, 助教授 (80282531)
TSUKUMA Hidehiko  MEDICAL HOSPITAL, HIROSHIMA UNVERSITY, ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR, 医学部・附属病院, 助教授 (10222134)
Project Period (FY) 2000 – 2001
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2001)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2000: ¥3,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000)
KeywordsSEXUAL BEHAVIOR / SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASES / MATHEMATICAL MODEL
Research Abstract

In the first year, the environment for computer simulation was established and statistical analysis of sexually transmitted disease (STDs) was carried out. Tentative simulation of STD spread were also performed. According to the results of the statistical analysis, influential factors were not clearly identified, suggesting complex situation in the background. By the tentative simulations, importance of groups of different sexual activity was suggested.
In the second year, detailed (sex and age specific incidences) STD spread data was analyzed and specific patterns were extracted. These patters were well explained by sex and age specific mathematical model of STD assuming the age-specific contact rates observed in the questionnaire survey. Individual Based Model was also used in the simulation.
Two years of analysis revealed that the problem of sexual behavior and sexually transmitted diseases is very complex. We have to continue research for further understanding.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2001 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2000 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (48 results)

All Other

All Publications (48 results)

  • [Publications] Kakehashi, M.: "Validity of simple pair formation model for HIV spread with realistic parameter setting"Mathematical Population Studies. 8(3). 279-292 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 洲濱扶弥, 梯 正之: "東南アジアにおけるHIV/AIDSの流行予測と保健対策の検討"広島大学医学雑誌. 48(5). 331-342 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Persistent age distributions for an age structured two sex population model"Mathematical Population Studies. 7(4). 365-398 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Revisiting Kermack and McKendrick"「数理モデルと関数方程式」京都大学数理解析研究所講究録. 112-121 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ohashi, J., Yoshida, M., Ohtsuka, R., Nakazawa, M.他: "Anaysis of HLA-DRB1 polymorphism in Gidra living in South New Guinea"Human Biology. 72(2). 337-347 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 梯 正之: "数学で解き明かす感染症の流行と進化:麻疹からエイズまで"広島大学理学部数学教室公開講座 数学の基礎と展望. (第10回). 3-14 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Kermack and McKendrick revisited : The variable susceptibility model for infectious diseases"Japan Journal of Industrial and Applied Mathematics. 18(2). 273-292 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Endemic threshold and stability in an evolutionary epidemic model"IMA Volume on "Mathematical Approaches for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases". (印刷中). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Nonlinear dynamics of open marine population with space-limited recruitment : The case of mortality control"Jonrnal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications. (印刷中). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Semigroup approach to a pair formation model in human demography"数理解析研究所講究録(京都大学数理解析研究所). (印刷中). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Geng, J.P., Kakehashi, M.他: "Theoretical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases"Tranfor Publishing, Hong Kong. 121 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 稲葉 寿: "数理人口学"東京大学出版会,東京. 412 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中澤 港(日本人口学会編): "生殖のメカニズムとヒトの生殖戦略(13-I、人口大事典)"培風館,東京(印刷中). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中澤 港(日本人口学会編): "妊孕力の遺伝要因と環境要因(13-II、人口大事典)"培風館,東京(印刷中). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kakehashi, M.: "Validity of simple pair formation model for HIV spread with realistic parameter setting"Mathematical Population Studies. 8 (3). 279-292 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Suhama, F., and Kakehashi, M.: "An Analysis of HIV/AIDS in Southeast Asia : The Prediction of Spread and the Warning for Health Control"Hiroshima University Medical Journal. 48 (5) (in Japanese). 331-342 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Persistent age distributions for an age structured two sex population model"Mathematical Population Studies. 7 (4). 365-398 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Revisiting Kermack and McKendrick. Mathematical models and functional equations"Research Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Kyoto University. 112-121

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ohashi, J., Yoshida, M., Ohtsuka, R., Nakazawa, M., et al: "Analysis of HLA-DRB1 polymorphism in Gidra living in South New Guinea"Human Biology. 72 (2). 337-347 (2000)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kakehashi, M.: "Mathematical Analysis of Spread of Evolution of Infectious Disease : From Measles to AIDS. Foundations and Perspectives of Mathematics"The 10th Open Lectures by Hiroshima University Department of Mathematics. 3-14 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Kermack and McKendrick revisited : The variable susceptibility model for infectious diseases"Japan Journal of Industrial and Applied Mathematics. 18 (2). 273-292 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Endemic threshold and stability in an evolutionary epidemic model"IMA Volume on "Mathematical Approaches for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases". (in press).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Nonlinear dynamics of open marine population with space-limited recruitment : The case of mortality control"Journal of Mathemaical Analysis and Applications. (in press).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Semigroup approach to a pair formation model in human demography"Lecture Note of Research Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Kyoto University. (in press). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Geng, J. P., Kakehashi, M., et al: "Theroretical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases"Tranfor Publishing, Hong Kong. 121 (2001)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Mathematical Model of Demography and Epidemiology"University of Tokyo Press. 412 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nakazawa, M.: "Mecahnism of Reproducion and Human reproductive Strategy. In Encyclopedia of Population"Baihu-Kan (In press). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nakazawa, M.: "Genetic and Environmental Factors of Fertility. In Encyclopedia of Population"Baihu-Kan (In press). (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2001 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Kakehashi, M.: "Validity of simple pair formation model for HIV spread with realistic parameter setting"Mathematical Population Studies. 8(3). 279-292 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 洲濱扶弥, 梯 正之: "東南アジアにおけるHIV/AIDSの流行予測と保健対策の検討"広島大学医学雑誌. 48(5). 331-342 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Persistent age distributions for an age structured two sex population model"Mathematical Population Studies. 7(4). 365-398 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Revisiting Kermack and McKendrick"「数理モデルと関数方程式」京都大学数理解析研究所講究録. 112-121 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ohashi, J., Yoshida, M., Ohtsuka, R., Nakazawa, M.他: "Analysis of HLA-DRB1 polymorphism in Gidra living in South New Guinea"Human Biology. 72(2). 337-347 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 梯 正之: "数学で解き明かす感染症の流行と進化:麻疹からエイズまで"広島大学理学部数学教室公開講座 数学の基礎と展望. (第10回). 3-14 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Kermack and McKendrick revisited: The variable susceptibility model for infectious diseases"Japan Journal of Industrial and Applied Mathematics. 18(2). 273-292 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Endemic threshold and stability in an evolutionary epidemic model"IMA Volume on "Mathematical Approaches for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases". (印刷中). (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Nonlinear dynamics of open marine population with space-limited recruitment : The case of mortality control"Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications. (印刷中). (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba, H.: "Semigroup approach to a pair formation model in human demography"数理解析研究所講究録(京都大学数理解析研究所). (印刷中). (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Geng, J.P., Kakehashi, M.他: "Theoretical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases"Tranfor Publishing, Hong Kong. 121 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 稲葉 寿: "数理人口学"東京大学出版会, 東京. 412 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中澤 港 (日本人口学会編): "生殖のメカニズムとヒトの生殖戦略 (13-I, 人口大事典)"培風館, 東京(印刷中). (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中澤 港 (日本人口学会編): "妊孕力の遺伝要因と環境要因 (13-II, 人口大事典)"培風館, 東京(印刷中). (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kakehashi,M.: "Validity of simple pair formation model for HIV spread with realistic parameter setting."Mathematical Population Studies. 8(3). 279-292 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 洲濱扶弥,梯正之: "東南アジアにおけるHIV/AIDSの流行予測と保健対策の検討."広島大学医学雑誌. 48(5). 331-342 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba,H.: "Persistent age distributions for an age structured two sex population model."Mathematical Population Studies. 7(4). 365-398 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Inaba,H.: "Revisiting Kermack and McKendrick."「数理モデルと関数方程式」京都大学数理解析研究所講究録. 112-121 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ohashi,J.,Yoshida,M.,Ohtsuka,R.,Nakazawa,M. 他: "Analysis of HLA-DRB1 polymorphism in Gidra living in South New Guinea."Human Biology. 72(2). 337-347 (2000)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Geng,J.,Kakehashi,M. 他: "Theoretical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases."Tranfor Publishing, Hong Kong.(印刷中). (2001)

    • Related Report
      2000 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2000-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi