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STUDY OF THE EVALUATION OF EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE POTENTIAL IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE NORTH ANATOLIAN FAULT ZONE

Research Project

Project/Area Number 13373002
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section海外学術
Research Field 固体地球物理学
Research InstitutionTokyo Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

HONKURA Yoshimori  Tokyo Institute of Technology, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Professor, 大学院・理工学研究科, 教授 (00114637)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) OGAWA Yasuo  Volcanic Fluid Research Center, Professor, 火山流体研究センター, 教授 (10334525)
OSHIMAN Naoto  Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research, Professor, 防災研究所, 教授 (70185255)
ITO Akihiko  Ustunomiya University, Faculty of Education, Associate Professor, 教育学部, 助教授 (70134252)
MATSUSHIMA Masaki  Tokyo Institute of Technology, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Research Associate, 大学院・理工学研究科, 助手 (20242266)
Project Period (FY) 2001 – 2004
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2004)
Budget Amount *help
¥53,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥40,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥12,270,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥20,930,000 (Direct Cost: ¥16,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,830,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥21,840,000 (Direct Cost: ¥16,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥5,040,000)
KeywordsIzmit earthquake / Seismicity / Turkey / Active fault / MT observation / Resistivity structure / Seismic dynamo effect / Asperity / マルマラ海 / 活断層いこう / 非抵抗構造 / 余震 / 地震観測 / 電磁場変動 / 北アナトリア断層 / 震源域 / 電磁気観測 / 比抵抗
Research Abstract

In each year of this research project, we intensified seismic observations and advanced the analysis system, resulting in the establishment of an earthquake monitoring system in the Istanbul area, western Turkey. At present, seismic activity can be monitored on the web and also some data on major earthquakes are shown on the web, so that the data can be used for studies of earthquake generation mechanism. We have used the data for our own researches on seismic tomography and found that seismic activity becomes shallower in the earthquake source region of a big earthquake anticipated to the west of the Izmit earthquake source area. We also accumulated information on earthquake generation mechanism from waveform inversion for middle-size earthquakes, and increased our understanding of the distribution of crustal stress. As for seismicity itself, seismic activity is no very active in the earthquake source area for a big earthquake anticipated to the south of Istanbul, but it is rather act … More ive in its vicinity. Yearly data of hypocenters suggest an image of east-west active faults beneath the Marmara Sea and an image of the anticipated big earthquake has emerged. In electromagnetic studies, we made wide-band, long-period and short-period MT observations, and clarified the resistivity structure in a wide region including the Izmit earthquake source area. As a result, we found that earthquake source areas are resistive in general and highly resistive areas correspond to asperities. We also found a partial melting zone and its extension, as revealed by low resistivity zones widely existing in the lower crust and upper mantle. As for the seismic dynamo effect which we found during the Izmit earthquake, we made further studies for aftershocks associated with some major earthquakes, such as the Niigata Prefecture earthquake, which occurred recently in Japan. We could confirm the effect for earthquakes larger than magnitude 4.0, but could not detect electromagnetic signals anticipated theoretically before the arrival of seismic wave, simply because of low S/N for small earthquakes. Less

Report

(5 results)
  • 2004 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • 2001 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (27 results)

All 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 Other

All Journal Article (14 results) Publications (13 results)

  • [Journal Article] Magnetotelluric imaging of the fault rupture area of the 1999 Izmit (Turkey) earthquake2005

    • Author(s)
      S.B.Tank, Y.Honkura, Y.Ogawa, M.Matsushima, N.Oshiman, M.K.Tuncer, C.Celik, E.Tolak, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Phys.Earth Planet.Interiors 150

      Pages: 213-225

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Magnetotelluric imaging of the fault rupture area of the 1999 Izmit(Turkey) earthquake2004

    • Author(s)
      S.B.Tank 他
    • Journal Title

      Phys.Earth Planet.Interiors

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Resistivity structure in the western part of the fault rupture zone associated with the 1999 Izmit earthquake and its seismogenic implication2003

    • Author(s)
      S.B.Tank, Y.Honkura, Y.Ogawa, N.Oshiman, M.K.Tuncer, C.Celik, E.Tolak, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space 55

      Pages: 437-442

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Moment tensor inversion of recent small to moderate sized earthquakes : implications for seismic hazard through tectonics acting beneath the Marmara Sea, northwestern Turkey2003

    • Author(s)
      A.Pinar, K.Kuge, Y.Honkura
    • Journal Title

      Geophys.J.Int 153

      Pages: 133-145

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Moment tensor inversion of recent small to moderate sized earthquakes : implications for seismic hazard through tectonics acting beneath the Marmara Sea, northwestern Turkey2003

    • Author(s)
      A.Pinar, K.Huge, Y.Honkura
    • Journal Title

      Geophys.J.Int. 153

      Pages: 133-145

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Deep resistivity structure around the fault associated with the 1999 Kocaeli earthquake, Turkey2002

    • Author(s)
      Oshiman, N., Y.Honkura, M.Matsushima, S.Baris, C.Celik, M.K.Tuncer, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Seismotectonics at the Convergent Plate Boundary(Eds.Y.Fujinawa and A.Yoshida)

      Pages: 293-303

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Small electric and magnetic signals observed before the arrival of seismic wave2002

    • Author(s)
      Y.Honkura, M.Matsushima, N.Oshiman, M.K.Tuncer, S.Baris, A.Ito, Y.Iio
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planets Space 54

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Microearthquake activity before the Izmit earthquake in the eastern Marmara region, Turkey (1 January 1993-17 August 1999), Turkey2002

    • Author(s)
      S.Baris, A.Ito, S.Ucer, Y.Honkura, N.Kafadar, R.Pektas, T.Komut, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Bull.Seismol.Soc.Am. 92

      Pages: 394-405

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Aftershock activity of the 1999 Izmit, Turkey, earthquake revealed from microearthquake observations2002

    • Author(s)
      A.Ito, B.Ucer, S.Baris, A.Nakamura, Y.Honkura, T.Kono, S.Hori, A.Hasegawa, R.Pektas, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Bull.Seismol.Soc.Am. 92

      Pages: 418-427

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Aftershock distribution in the eastern part of the aftershock region of the 1999 Izmit, Turkey, earthquake2002

    • Author(s)
      Y.Iio, S.Horiuchi, S.Baris, C.Celik, J.Kyomen, B.Ucer, Y.Honkura, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Bull.Seismol.Soc.Am. 92

      Pages: 411-417

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] P-wave velocity structure of the crust and its relationship to the occurrences of the 1999 Izmit, Turkey, earthquake and aftershocks2002

    • Author(s)
      A.Nakamura, A.Hasegawa, A.Ito, B.Ucer, S.Baris, Y.Honkura, T.Kono, S.Hori, R.Pektas, T.Komut, C.Celik, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Bull.Seismol.Soc.Am. 92

      Pages: 330-338

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Seimoelecromagnetic effect associated with the Izmit earthquake and its aftershocks2002

    • Author(s)
      M.Matsushima, Y.Honkura, N.Oshiman, S.Baris, M.K.Tuncer, S.B.Tank, C.Cerik, F.Takahashi, M.Nakanishi, R.Yoshimura, R.Pektas, T.Komut, E.Tolak, A.Ito, Y.Iio, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Bull.Seismol.Soc.Am. 92

      Pages: 350-360

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Seimoelecromagnetic effect associated with the Izmit earthquake and its after shocks2002

    • Author(s)
      M.Matsushima, Y.Honkura, N.Oshiman, S.Baris, M.K.Tuncer, S.B.Tank, C.Cerik, F.TakahasM, M.Nakanishi, R.Yoshimura, R.Pektas, T.Komut, E.Tolak, A.Ito, Y.Ho, A.M.Isikara
    • Journal Title

      Bull.Seismol.Soc.Am. 92

      Pages: 350-360

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Seismic activity triggered by the 1999 Izmit earthquake and its implications for the assessment of future seismic risk2001

    • Author(s)
      A.Pinar, Y.Honkura, K.Kuge
    • Journal Title

      Geophys.J.Int. 146

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A.Pinar 他: "Moment tensor inversion of recent small to moderate sized earthquakes : implications for seismic hazard through tectonics acting beneath the Marmara Sea, northwestern Turkey"Geophysical Journal International. 153. 133-145 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.B.Tank 他: "Resistivity structure in the western part of the fault rupture zone associated with the 1999 Izmit earthquake and its seismogenic implication"Earth, Planets and Space. 55. 437-442 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Y.Honkura 他: "Seismic dynamo effects associated with the M7.0 earthquake of 26 May 2003 off Miyagi Prefecture and the M6.2 earthquake in northern Miyagi Prefecture, NE Japan"Earth, Planets and Space. 56(印刷中). (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] N.Ujihara 他: "Electric and magnetic field variations arising from the seismic dynamo effect for aftershocks of the M7.0 earthquake of 26 May 2003 off Miyagi Prefecture, NE Japan"Earth, Planets and Space. 56(印刷中). (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] A.Nakamura, 他: "P-wave velocity structure of the crust and its relationship to the occurrences of the 1999 Izmit, Turkey, earthquake and aftershocks"Bulletin Seismological Society of America. 92. 330-338 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] A.Ito, 他: "Aftershock activity of the 1999 Izmit, Turkey, earthquake revealed from microearthquake observations"Bulletin Seismological Society of America. 92. 418-427 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] S.Baris, 他: "Microearthquake activity before the Izmit earthquake in the eastern Marmara region, Turkey (1 January 1993 -17 August 1999), Turkey"Bulletin Seismological Society of America. 92. 394-405 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Matsushima, 他: "Seimoelecromagnetic effect associated with the Izmit earthquake and its aftershocks"Bulletin Seismological Society of America. 92. 350-360 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Y.Iio, 他: "Aftershock distribution in the eastern part of the aftershock region of the 1999 Izmit, Turkey,earthquake"Bulletin Seismological Society of America. 92. 411-417 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] K.Tadokoro, 他: "Monitoring of fault healing after the 1999 Kocaeli, Turkey, earthquake"J.Seismology. 6. 411-417 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Y.Honkura, 他: "Small electric and magnetic signals observed before the arrival of seismic wave"Earth Planets Space. 54. e9-e12 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] A.Pinar, Y.Honkura, K.Kuge: "Seismic activity triggered by the 1999 Izmit earthquake and its implications for the assessment of future seismic risk"Geophysical Journal International. 146. F1-F7 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] M.Matsushima, Y.Honkura, N.Oshiman, S.Baris, M.K.Tuncer, S.B.Tank, C.Cerik, F.Takahashi, M.Nakanishi, R.Yoshimura, R.Pektas, T.Komut, E.Tolak, A.Ito, Y.Iio, A.M.Isikara: "Seimo-elecromagnetic effect associated with the Izmit earthquake and its aftershock"Bulletin Seismological Society of America. (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2001-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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