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ESTIMATION OF SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE CHANGE USING AN ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL

Research Project

Project/Area Number 14048208
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research on Priority Areas

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Review Section Science and Engineering
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

IMASU Ryoichi  University of Tokyo, Center for Climate System Research, Associate Professor, 気候システム研究センター, 助教授 (40334255)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MAEDA Takahisa  National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, Research Institute for Environmental Management Technology, Researcher, 環境管理研究部門, 研究員 (10357981)
Project Period (FY) 2002 – 2005
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2005)
Budget Amount *help
¥19,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥19,000,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥5,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,000,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥1,800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥11,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,000,000)
KeywordsAerosol / Atmospheric General Circulation Model / Radiative Forcing / Data Assimilation / Climate Impacts / Single Scattering Albedo / 大気汚染 / 環境変動 / 気候変動 / ジメチルサルフェイト
Research Abstract

Aerosol radiative effects in East Asia were estimated for the present time (2000) and future (2 02 1) using an aerosol transport model, SPRINTARS and the CCSR/NIES atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM). The spatial distributions of various types of aerosols used were calculated by A03-P10 research group on the basis of the emission inventory database constructed by A03-P1 1 group. The results show that the total radiative effects in this area are almost in the same order as those presented by previous studies. However, the regional impacts are different in the northern and southern China ; namely strong cooling will occur in the northern part of China in future, but the cooling will be canceled out by warming effect of absorbing aerosols in the southern part of China. This contrast will be caused by the difference in spatial distribution of black carbon and sulfate aerosols. In order to estimate more precise optical properties of aerosols, model calculations were assimilated with satellite data. The results show that optimization of error estimation is necessary both for model calculations and satellite data to determining the precise weights of merging. Ground based observation data were also used to optimize the optical parameters adopted in model calculations. For example, refractive indexes used in model calculations were tuned based on the aerosol single scattering albedo (SSA) observed at Miyako-jima, an island in the south east Japan area, by A04-P13 group, and their impacts on model calculations were evaluated using AGCM. A new formula that describes relationships between the aerosol number concentration Na and cloud droplet concentration Nc was proposed by A04-P13 group based on laboratory experiments. AGCM calculations using the new formula show that the changes in Na-Nc relationship causes warming in high pollution area because of the decrease of cloud albedo due to the increase of cloud droplet size.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2005 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2004 Annual Research Report
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2006 2004 2002 Other

All Journal Article (4 results) Book (3 results) Publications (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Characteristics of spectral emissivity for various types of the surface derived from IMG spectrum data2006

    • Author(s)
      Ota, Y., R.Imasu
    • Journal Title

      IRS 2004 Proceedings 'Current Problems in Atmospheric Radiation', Deepak, 148

      Pages: 203-206

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] CO2 columnar amount retrieved from thermal infrared spectra observed by IMG/ADEOS2004

    • Author(s)
      Imasu, R, Y.Ota
    • Journal Title

      SPIE 5655

      Pages: 106-113

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] CO_2 columnar amount retrieved from thermal infrared spectra observed by IMG/ADEOS2004

    • Author(s)
      Imasu, R., Y.Ota
    • Journal Title

      SPIE 5655

      Pages: 106-113

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Ozone retrieval from high-resolution spectrum data observed by IMG/ADEOS sensor2002

    • Author(s)
      Imasu, R., Y.Ota
    • Journal Title

      SPIE 4897

      Pages: 57-64

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Advances in Fluorine Science2006

    • Author(s)
      Sekiya, A. et al.
    • Publisher
      Elsevier, New York
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] エアロゾルの大気環境影響2006

    • Author(s)
      笠原三紀夫 他(共著)
    • Publisher
      京都大学学術出版会
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Advances in Fluorine Science2006

    • Author(s)
      Sekiya, A.et al.
    • Publisher
      Elsevier, New York
    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Zhang, H, T.Nakajima, G.Shi, T.Suzuki, R.Imasu: "An optimal approach to overlapping bands with correlated k-distribution method and its application to radiative calculations"J.Geophysical Research. 108. 4641 10.1029/2002JD003358 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2002-04-01   Modified: 2018-03-28  

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