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The Construction of a Dynamic Model of Financial Firms' Production under Uncertainty and the Estimation of a Generalized index of Market Performance

Research Project

Project/Area Number 14530107
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionToyama University

Principal Investigator

HOMMA Tetsushi  Toyama University, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (60241775)

Project Period (FY) 2002 – 2004
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2004)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
Keywordsuser-cost model / user-cost price / conjectural user-revenue model / stochastic user-revenue price / conjectural user-revenue price / Lerner index / generalized Lerner index / extended generalized-Lerner index / risk adjustment / capital effect / generalized user-revenue price / 一般化ユーザ・レヴェニュー・プライス / ユーザー・コスト・プライス / 一般化ラーナー指数 / 自己資本純効果 / 不確実性動学モデル / 情報の非対称性 / 企業間の戦略的相互依存性 / オイラー方程式
Research Abstract

This study constructed a generalized user-revenue model (GURM) that extends Hancock's (1985, 1987, 1991) user-cost model (UCM) of financial firms in the following five points. First, it is not assumed that financial firms are risk-neutral. Secondly, financial firms are allowed to behave strategically as well as competitively. Thirdly, the case that there are informational asymmetries between buyers and sellers can be considered. Fourthly, the volatility risk of quasi-variable profits can be handled. Fifthly, equity capital effects that reflect the risk of bearing the cost of financial distress can be taken into account. It is an important feature of the GURM that stochastic user-revenue prices (SURP), conjectural user-revenue prices (CURP), and generalized user-revenue prices (GURP) are derived as the generalization of user-cost prices (UCP) that are derived from the UCM, and then generalized Lerner index (GLI) and extended generalized-Lerner index (EGLI) are derived as the generalization of Lerner index. The SURP is a negative UCP that can consider the first extension of the UCM to the GURM, and the CURP is a SURP that reflects the second and third extensions of it. In addition, the GURP is a CURP that can take account of the fourth and fifth extensions of the UCM to the GURM. Furthermore, the GLI is a Lerner index that reflects from the first to the third extensions of the UCM to the GURM, and the EGLI is a GLI that reflects the fourth and fifth extensions of it. This study also estimated the EGLI of the Japanese banking industry and the following results were obtained : risk-adjustment effects that include pricing errors in the EGLI of small and medium banks become more important in the post-bubble era ; and the degree of competition of small and large banks increases from fiscal 1995 onward.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2004 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (4 results)

All 2005 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) Publications (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] A Conjectural User-Revenue Model of Financial Firms under Dynamic Uncertainty : A Theoretical Approach2005

    • Author(s)
      Homma, T., T.Souma
    • Journal Title

      Review of Monetary and Financial Studies (金融経済研究) 22(印刷中)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] A Conjectural User-Revenue Model of Financial Firms under Dynamic Uncertainty : A Theoretical Approach2005

    • Author(s)
      Homma, T., T.Souma
    • Journal Title

      Review of Monetary and Financial Studies Vol.22 (forthcoming.)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] A Conjectural User-Revenue Model of Financial Firms under Dynamic Uncertainty : A Theoretical Approach2005

    • Author(s)
      Homma, T., T.Souma
    • Journal Title

      金融経済研究 22(発表予定)

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Homma, T., T.Souma: "A Conjectural User-Revenue Model of Financial Firms under Dynamic Uncertainty : A Theoretical Approach"金融経済研究. (掲載予定).

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2002-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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