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A STUDY ON STATISTICAL INFERENCE OF STOCHASTIC PROCESS AND ITS ROBUSTNESS

Research Project

Project/Area Number 14540115
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionOSAKA UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

INAGAKI Nobuo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (10000184)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) SHIRAHATA Shingo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (10037294)
KANO Yutaka  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, PROFESSOR, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 教授 (20201436)
KUMAGAI Etsuo  OSAKA UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING SCIENCE, LECTURER, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 講師 (20273617)
AKI Shigeo  KANSAI UNIVERSITY, ENGINEERING, PROFESSOR, 工学部, 教授 (90132696)
谷口 正信  大阪大学, 大学院・基礎工学研究科, 助教授 (00116625)
Project Period (FY) 2002 – 2004
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2004)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥1,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
KeywordsStatistical inference of stochastic processes / Exponential stochastic processes / Likelihoods of stochastic processes / Convex analysis of likelihood functions / Likelihoods of diffusion processes / Ornstien-Uhlenbeck process / Robust inferenceof stochastic process / Bivariate random processes / 確率過程の母数モデル / 確率過程の尤度と最尤推定法 / 推定量の漸近的性質 / 指数型分布族 / ロバストな統計的推測 / 情報量損失と統計的曲率 / コントラスト推定関数
Research Abstract

Our aim of this study is to investigate the statistical inference of stochastic processes by their likelihood functions, especially for "exponential" stochastic processes and furthermore, to investigate the robust statistical inference for observations with additive outliers. The important mathematical structure of statistical inference is discussed by using the statistical informations in exponential stochastic processes.
Our plan of this study is as follows :
(1) We study the likelihood function of parametric models of stochastic process, especially exponential stochastic processes, and their statistical informations by the stochastic integral and Ito's formula.
(2) We investigate 'the relationship between the statistical curvature and the information loss.
(3) We study asymptotic methods in nonparametric and semi-parametric models and evaluates the performance of them by simulation experiments.
(4) We study the first occurrence time of run and pattern in dependent sequence of bivariate observations.
Our results of this research project are as follows :
(1) We published the revise of "Mathematical Statistics" (in Japanese).
(2) We write a paper "Exact information loss in multivariate gamma distribution" at Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae (SCMJ) (2005).
(3) We published a paper about a selection of models (2005) in press.
(4) We write several papers about distributions of runs and patterns in dependent processes.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2004 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (30 results)

All 2005 2003 2002 Other

All Journal Article (14 results) Book (2 results) Publications (14 results)

  • [Journal Article] Exact information loss in the multivariate gamma distribution2005

    • Author(s)
      Nobuo Inagaki
    • Journal Title

      Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae (SCMJ) online-2005

      Pages: 117-127

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Selection of manifest variables2005

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Kano
    • Journal Title

      Handbook on Structural Equation Modeling (Sik-Yum Lee, Ed.)(Elsevier * Netherlands) in press

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Exact information loss in the multivariate gamma distribution2005

    • Author(s)
      Nobuo Inagaki
    • Journal Title

      Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae (SCMJ), onlin e-2005

      Pages: 117-127

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Selection of manifest variables2005

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Kano
    • Journal Title

      Handbook on Structural Equation Modeling (Sik-Yum Lee, Ed.) (Elsevier)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Exact information loss in the multivariate gamma distribution2005

    • Author(s)
      Nobuo Inagaki
    • Journal Title

      Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae (SCMJ) in press

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Selection of manifest variables2005

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Kano
    • Journal Title

      Handbook on Structural Equation Modeling (Sik-Yum Lee, Ed.) (Elsevier * Netherlands) in press

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Note on the Bayes approach to a grouping of small events2003

    • Author(s)
      Etuo Kumagai
    • Journal Title

      Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae (SCMJ) 8

      Pages: 185-189

    • NAID

      10012007040

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On k-mach problems2003

    • Author(s)
      Sigeo Aki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 109

      Pages: 67-79

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On k-mach problems2003

    • Author(s)
      Shigeo Aki
    • Journal Title

      J.of Statistical Planning and Inference 109

      Pages: 67-79

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On Efron's parametrization2002

    • Author(s)
      Nobuo Inagaki
    • Journal Title

      Australian and New Zealand Journa of Statisatics 44・3

      Pages: 337-343

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] ニューラルネットワークの力学系による釣合不完備ブロック計画の構成2002

    • Author(s)
      白旗 慎吾
    • Journal Title

      計算機統計学 14・1

      Pages: 17-28

    • NAID

      110001236823

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On Efron's parametrization of Statisatics2002

    • Author(s)
      Nobuo Inagaki
    • Journal Title

      Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statisatics 44

      Pages: 337-343

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Neural network construction of BB design2002

    • Author(s)
      Shingo Shirahata
    • Journal Title

      Computaional Statistics 14

      Pages: 17-28

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On Efron's parametrization2002

    • Author(s)
      Nobuo Inagaki
    • Journal Title

      Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statisatics 44・3

      Pages: 337-343

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 数理統計学(改訂版)2003

    • Author(s)
      稲垣 宣生
    • Total Pages
      328
    • Publisher
      裳華房
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Mathematical Statistics (in Japanese)2003

    • Author(s)
      Nobuo Inagaki
    • Total Pages
      328
    • Publisher
      Shokabo
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nobuo Inagaki: "Note on the Bayes approach to a grouping of small events"Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae (SCMJ). 8. 185-189 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 白旗 慎吾: "ニューラルネットワークの力学系による釣合不完備ブロック計画の構成"計算機統計学. 14・1. 17-28 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 白旗 慎吾: "設問別回答率分析図について"大学入試研究ジャーナル. 12. 81-86 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Sigeo Aki: "Number of occurrences of subpattern until the first appearance of a pattern and geometric distribution"Statistics and Probability Letters. 65. 259-262 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Sigeo Aki: "On k-mach problems"Jpournal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 109. 67-79 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Sigeo Aki: "Generalized binomial and negative binomial distributions of order k by the l-overlapping enumeration scheme"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 55,1. 153-167 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 稲垣宣生: "数理統計学(改訂版)"裳華房. 328 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Etsuo Kumagai, Nobuo Inagkai, Kiyoshi Inoue: "On Efron's parametrization"Australian and New Zealand Journa1 of Statisatics. 44・3. 337-343 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Etsuo Kumagai, Nobuo Inagkai: "Note on the Bayes approach to a grouping of small events"Scientiae Mathematicae Japonicae (SCMJ). (to appear).

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 白旗 慎吾: "設問別回答率分析図について"大学入試研究ジャーナル. 12. 81-86 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Masanobu Taniguchi: "On large deviation asymptotics of some tests in time series"Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 97. 191-200 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Katuomi Hirano, Sigeo Aki: "0n k-mach problems"Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 109. 67-79 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Sigeo Aki, Katuomi Hirano: "On Waiting time for reversed patterns in random sequences"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 54. 713-718 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 稲垣宣生: "数理統計学(改訂版)"裳華房. 328 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2002-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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