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Structural System Reliability Analysis for Performance Based Design

Research Project

Project/Area Number 14550485
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 構造工学・地震工学
Research InstitutionMusashi Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

MARUYAMA Osamu  Musashi Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Assistant Professor, 工学部, 助教授 (50209699)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) HOSHIYA Masaru  Musashi Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Professor, 工学部, 教授 (30061518)
Project Period (FY) 2002 – 2004
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2004)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
Keywordsfirst excursion probability / first passage probability / Kalman Filter / Monte Carlo Simulation / performance based design / Kalman filter / performance base design / nonlinear system reliability / stochastic structural dynamics
Research Abstract

In random vibration, probability of an event that system performance function becomes negative during the time duration is a means to discuss the system safety. This probability is well known as first excursion probability. Since nonlinear stochastic structural dynamics is of significant importance for reliability evaluation of earthquake, wind and ocean wave engineering problems, the development of procedures to predict structural responses has received considerable attention by engineers and consequently there are many methods proposed up to date, or being under development so far.
This research also proposes a method to evaluate the first excursion probability for nonlinear systems. The proposed methods are class of variance reduction techniques for Monte Carlo simulation, which is the importance sampling technique utilizing the measure transformation method and pseudo linearization techniques. To attain the purpose, an importance sampling function is obtained by online data processing based on the stochastic terminal state control theory with the help of numerically simulated response data. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated by numerical examples of non-linear restoring force systems under the external white noise excitation.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2004 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (25 results)

All 2004 Other

All Journal Article (15 results) Publications (10 results)

  • [Journal Article] 重要サンプリング手法による動的非線形系の初期通過確率算定2004

    • Author(s)
      丸山收, 星谷勝
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集 766/I-68

      Pages: 165-174

    • NAID

      10012801275

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of First Excursion Probability of Nonlinear Dynamic Systems by Importance Sampling Technique2004

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M.
    • Journal Title

      9^<th> ASCE Specialty Conf.on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability (CD-R)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Probability Study for a High Capacity Micro Pile Horizontal Bearing Mechanism2004

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M., Otani, Y.
    • Journal Title

      International Workshop on Micro Pile 2004 (Pringing)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 動的非線形系への入力地震動の同定2004

    • Author(s)
      丸山收, 星谷勝
    • Journal Title

      計算工学講演会論文集 第9巻

      Pages: 261-264

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic Asset Pricing with Seismic Hazard Risk2004

    • Author(s)
      Hoshiya, M., Nakamura, T., Mochizuki, T.
    • Journal Title

      American Society of Civil Engineers, Jour.of Eng.Mech. 130

      Pages: 780-785

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Transfer of Financial Implications of Seismic Risk to Insurance2004

    • Author(s)
      Hoshiya, M., Nakamura, T., Mochizuki, T.
    • Journal Title

      American Society of Civil Engineers, Jour.of Natural Hazards Review 5

      Pages: 141-146

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of First excursion Probability by Importance Sampling Method2004

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M.
    • Journal Title

      Jour.of JSCE 766/I-68

      Pages: 165-174

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Probability Study for a High Capacity Micro Pile Horizontal Bearing Mechanism2004

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M., Otani, Y.
    • Journal Title

      International Workshop on Micro Pile

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic Asset Pricing with Seismic Hazard Risk2004

    • Author(s)
      Hoshiya, M., Nakamura, T., Mochizuki, T.
    • Journal Title

      Jour.of Eng.Mech.(American Society of Civil Engineers) Vol.130

      Pages: 780-785

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Transfer of Financial Implications of Seismic Risk to Insurance2004

    • Author(s)
      Hoshiya, M., Nakamura, T., Mochizuki, T.
    • Journal Title

      Jour.of Natural Hazards Review(American Society of Civil Engineers) Vol.5

      Pages: 141-146

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 重要サンプリング手法による動的非線形系の初期通過確率算定2004

    • Author(s)
      丸山牧, 星谷勝
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集 766/I-68

      Pages: 165-174

    • NAID

      10012801275

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of First Excursion Probability of Nonlinear Dynamic Systems by Importance Sampling Technique2004

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M.
    • Journal Title

      9^<th> ASCE Specialty Conf. on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability (CD-R)

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Probability Study for a High Capacity Micro Pile Horizontal Bearing Mechanism2004

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama, O., Hoshiya, M., Otani Y
    • Journal Title

      International Workshop on Micro Pile 2004 (Printing)

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 動的非線形系への入力地震動の同定2004

    • Author(s)
      丸山牧, 星谷勝
    • Journal Title

      計算工学講演会論文集 第9巻

      Pages: 261-264

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Transfer of Financial Implications of Seismic Risk to Insurance2004

    • Author(s)
      Hoshiya, M., Nakamura, T., Mochizuki, T.
    • Journal Title

      American Society of Civil Engineers, Jour. of Natural Hazards Review 5

      Pages: 141-146

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 丸山收, 星谷勝: "BF/MCFによる対数正規確率場の補間"土木学会論文集. 731/I-63. 391-396 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 丸山收, 星谷勝: "BF/MCFによる動的非線形システムのパラメータ同定"JCOSSAR論文集. 939-946 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Maruyama, O., Hoshiya: "Non-linear Filters Using Monte Carlo Integration for Conditional Random Fields"9^<th> International Conf.on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering. (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 丸山收, 星谷勝: "確率測度変換による動的システムの信頼性解析"第8回設計工学に関するシンポジウム講演論文集. 147-152 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中村孝明, 星谷勝, 望月智也: "地震リスクを考慮した確率論的DCF法による資産価格とマネジメント"土木学会論文集. 752/I-66. 169-178 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hoshiya, M., Maruyama, O: "Basic considerations on Monte Carlo filter for conditional non-Gaussian fields, Ninth Conf. : on Nonlinear Vibrations"Ninth Conf. on Nonlinear Vibrations, Stability, and Dynamics of Structure. (CD-ROM). (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷勝, 丸山收: "準解析手法による動的非線形系の初期通過確率算定"土木学会論文集. No.71/I-61. 65-75 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 丸山收, 星谷勝: "BF/MCFによる対数正規確率場の補間"土木学会論文集. (2003年4月号登載決定).

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hoshiya, M., Yamamoto, K.: "Redundancy index of lifeline systems"Journal of Engineering Mechanics, ASCE. Vol.128, No.9. 961-968 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 星谷勝, 中村孝明: "地震リスクマネジメント"山海堂. 180 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2002-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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