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A CELLULAR AUTOMATA BASED MODEL OF LONG-TERM LAND USE DYNAMICS N URBAN AREAS

Research Project

Project/Area Number 14580487
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 社会システム工学
Research InstitutionTOKYO UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE

Principal Investigator

ARAI Takeshi  TOKYO UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE, FACULTY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, PROFESSOR, 理工学部, 教授 (60126266)

Project Period (FY) 2002 – 2003
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2003)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
KeywordsCellular Automata / Land Use Dynamics Model / Detailed Digital Information / Land Use Transition Potential / Metropolitan Region / Urban Planning / Land Price / 商業地 / セル・オートマトン / 土地利用モデル / 細密土地利用 / 柏市 / 遷移ポテンシャル / 大都市圏
Research Abstract

In constructing any CA based models of land use dynamics, definition and estimation of land use transition potentials are essential but difficult parts of the work. Although 'transition potentials' can not be observed directly, in some precedent studies, for example White, Engelen & Uljee (1997) and Arai & Akiyama(2003), transition potential functions were estimated empirically so as to replicate land use dynamics in their study areas. However, we have not yet accumulated the findings about the transition potential functions. In this study, we estimated the function which explains the transition potential of land use at each cell through the statistical analysis of the detailed land use data observed in 1974, 1979, 1984, 1989 and 1994, in the Tokyo Metropolitan Region.
We assumed the transition potential to residential use at a cell as a function of the distance from the nearest railway station to the cell, the number of cells used for commercial activities in the neighborhood of the cell, the number of residential cells in the neighborhood of the cell, the number of cells used for roads in the neighborhood of the cell and the number of cells used for parks in the neighborhood of the cell. Additionally the function can be approximated by the weighted sum of five non-linear functions of individual factors.
We picked out several study areas in the suburbs of Tokyo.According to the results, the cells which were converted to residential use for five years' duration had significantly higher transition potentials.In conclusion, the model presented in this study will contribute to our understandings about the transition potential functions.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2003 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All Other

All Publications (12 results)

  • [Publications] 安西教明, 増田浩通, 新井 健: "CAベースの土地利用モデルにおける住宅地への推移ポテンシャルの推定"地理情報システム学会講演論文集. 12. 343-346 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 加藤 公洋, 増田浩通, 新井 健: "都市郊外幹線道路沿道用地の商業用地への推移ポテンシャルの推定"地理情報システム学会講演論文集. 12. 347-350 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Takeshi Arai, Hiroyuki Masuda: "Estirating the Potential for Transition to Commercial Land Use at a 10-m Square Cell to Be Applied to a CA-Based Land Use Model"Proceedings of the 8^<th> International Computers in Urban Planning and Urban Management Conference. 8. 1-11 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Takeshi Arai, Tetsuya Akiyama: "A CA based two-stage model of land use dynamics in urban fringe areas : An application to the Tokyo metropolitan region"InterJournal of Complex Systems (www.interjournal.org). #593. 1-8 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Takeshi Arai, Tetsuya Akiyama: "A CA Based Two-stage Model of Land Use Dynamics in Urban Fringe Areas : An Application to the Tokyo Metropolitan Region"InterJournal of Complex Systems(www.interiournal.org). paper#593. 1-8 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Takeshi Arai, Hiroyuki Masuda: "Estimating the Potential for Transition to Commercial Land Use at a 10-m Square Cell to Be Applied to a CA-Based Land Use Model"Proceedings of the 8^<th> International Computers in Urban Planning and Urban Management Conference. (in CDRom). 1-11 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] N.Anzai, H.Masuda, T.Arai: "Estimation of the Land Use Transition Potential Function to Residential Use to be Applied to a CA Based Land Use Model"Papers and Proceedings of the Geographic Information Systems Association. Vol.12. 343-346 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Kato, H.Masuda, T.Arai: "Land Use Transition Potential to Commercial Use of the Cells in the Area along a Main Road in a Suburb of Tokyo"Papers and Proceedings of the Geographic Information Systems Association. Vol.12. 347-350 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 安西教明, 増田浩通, 新井 健: "CAベースの土地利用モデルにおける住宅地への推移ポテンシャルの推定"地理情報システム学会講演論文集. 12. 343-346 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 加藤 公洋, 増田浩通, 新井 健: "都市郊外幹線道路沿道用地の商業用地への推移ポテンシャルの推定"地理情報システム学会講演論文集. 12. 347-350 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Takeshi Arai, Hiroyuki Masuda: "Estimating the Potential for Transition to Commercial Land Use at a 10-m Square Cell to Be Applied to a CA-Based Land Use Model"Proceedings of the 8^<th> International Computers in Urban Planning and Urban Management Conference. 8. 1-11 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Takashi ARAI: "A CA based two-stage model of land use dynamics in urban fringe areas : An application to the Tokyo metropolitan region"Inter Journal Complex Systems. 593. 1-8 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2002-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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