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INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE, PRODUCTIVITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN JAPAN

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15330043
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Applied economics
Research InstitutionHITOTSUBASHI UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

FUKAO Kyoji  HITOTSUBASHI UNIVERSITY, INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, PROFESSOR, 経済研究所, 教授 (30173305)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MIYAGAWA Tsutomu  GAKUSHUIN UNIVERSITY, FACULTY OF ECONOMICS, PROFESSOR, 経済学部, 教授 (30272777)
INUI Tomohiko  NIHON UNIVERSITY, COLLEGE OF ECONOMICS, PROFESSOR, 経済学部, 教授 (10328669)
KAWAI Hiroki  KEIO UNIVERSITY, FACULTY OF ECONOMICS, ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR, 経済学部, 助教授 (00276396)
Project Period (FY) 2003 – 2004
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2004)
Budget Amount *help
¥10,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥10,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥5,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,100,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥5,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,500,000)
KeywordsJIP Database / Total Factor Productivity / IT Revolution / IT Capital / Factor Contents / Equilibrium Exchange Rate / Research and Development / Intra-industry Trade / 貿易構造 / IT投資 / 失われた十年 / 対日直接投資 / 購買力平価
Research Abstract

Using the newly compiled data, the Japan Industrial Productivity(JIP) Database, Fukao, Inui, Kawai and Miyagawa(2004) analyzed Japan's sectoral TFP growth in recent years. The main results are as follows. 1)After taking account of the quality of labor and the capacity utilization rate we found the decline in TFP growth at the macro-level from the 1980s to the 1990s not to be so great. The decline in TFP growth from the 1983-91 period to the 1991-98 period is 0.20 percentage-points. The slowdown in TFP growth mainly occurred in the manufacturing sector. The manufacturing sector's contribution to macro-TFP growth declined from 0.74 percentage-points in 1983-91 to -0.03 percentage-points in 1991-98. In contrast, TFP growth in the non-manufacturing sectors accelerated during the 1990s. Non-manufacturing sectors' contribution to macro-TFP growth increased from -0.34 percentage-points in 1983-91 to 0.22 percentage-points in 1991-98.
Miyagawa, Ito and Harada (2004) examine the contribution of … More IT investment to economic growth in Japan, and estimate the spillover effects of IT investment. We decompose labor productivity growth into four terms, following Sonobe and Otsuka (2001), and find out that intra-sectoral capital deepening effects is the dominant factor in productivity growth. However, the recent productivity slowdown is caused by the lack of reallocation effects of labor. Further, we estimate production functions and TFP growth functions, examining network externalities of IT capital. As a result, we find inter-industry spillover effects of input side as well as intra-industry spillover effects.
Fukao and Kwon (forthcoming) analyses the cause of the slowdown in Japan's TFP growth during the 1990s. Using firm level panel data covering the entire sector, we investigate the causes of the TFP slowdown and find that the reallocation of resources from less efficient to more efficient firms was very slow and limited. This "low metabolism" seems to be an important cause for the slowdown in Japan's TFP growth. Less

Report

(3 results)
  • 2004 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (51 results)

All 2005 2004 Other

All Journal Article (37 results) Book (2 results) Publications (12 results)

  • [Journal Article] Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in Japan : An Empirical Analysis Based on the Establishment and Enterprise Census for 19962005

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Keiko, Kyoji, Fukao
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (forthcoming)

      Pages: 1-42

    • NAID

      210000173013

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Physical and Human Capital Deepening and New Trade Patterns in Japan2005

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Keiko, Kyoji Fukao
    • Journal Title

      International Trade, NBER-East Asian on Economics VOl.14(forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] International Comparison Historical Perspective : Reconstructing the 1934-36 Benchmark Purchasing Power Parity for Japan, Korea and Taiwan2005

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Debin Ma, Tangjun Yuan
    • Journal Title

      Explorations in Economic History (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Do Out-In M&As Bring Higher TFP to Japan? An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data on Japanese Manufacturing Firms2005

    • Author(s)
      FUkao, Kyoji, Keiko Ito, Hyeong Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.19,Issue2

      Pages: 272-301

    • NAID

      210000160236

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 垂直的産業内貿易と直接投資-日本の電機産業を中心とした実証分析-2005

    • Author(s)
      石戸光, 伊藤恵子, 深尾京司, 吉池喜政
    • Journal Title

      日本経済研究 No.51

      Pages: 1-32

    • NAID

      40006692138

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] The Internationalization and Performance of Korean and Japanese Firms : An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data2005

    • Author(s)
      Ahn, Sanghoon, Kyoji Fukao, Hyeog Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      Seoul Journal of Economics Vol.17,No.4

      Pages: 439-482

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Asian Currencies2005

    • Author(s)
      Miyagawa, Tsutomu, Hideki Toya, Tatsuji Makino
    • Journal Title

      Japan' Korea Industrial Workshop (held in December 2004)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 展望:日本のTFP上昇率は1990年代においてどれだけ低下したか2005

    • Author(s)
      乾友彦, 権赫旭
    • Journal Title

      経済分析 (近刊)

    • NAID

      40007069096

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 規模の経済と経済成長-TFP成長率の要因分解-2005

    • Author(s)
      乾友彦
    • Journal Title

      経済集志 第75巻第1号

      Pages: 65-71

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in Japan : An Empirical Analysis Based on the Establishment and Enterprise Census for 19962005

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Keiko, Kyoji Fukao
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (forthcoming)

      Pages: 1-42

    • NAID

      210000173013

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Physical and Human Capital Deepening and New Trade Patterns in Japan2005

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Keiko, Kyoji Fukao
    • Journal Title

      International Trade, NBER East Asia on Economics(edited by Takatoshi Ito and Andrew K.Rose)(the University of Chicago Press) Vol.14(forthcoming)TTL 59

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] International Comparison in Historical Perspective : Reconstructing the 1934-36 Benchmark Purchasing Power Parity for Japan, Korea and Taiwan2005

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Debin Ma, Tangjun Yuan
    • Journal Title

      Exploration in Economic History (forthcoming)TTL 39

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Do Out-In M & As Bring Higher TFP to Japan? An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data on Japanese Manufacturing Firms2005

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Keiko Ito, Hyeog Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.19, Issue 2

      Pages: 272-301

    • NAID

      210000160236

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Vertical Intra-industry Trade and FDI : An Empirical Analysis Focused on Japan's Electrical Machinery Industry2005

    • Author(s)
      Ishido, Hikari, Keiko Ito, Kyoji Fukao, Yoshimasa Yoshiike
    • Journal Title

      JCER Economic Journal Vol.51

      Pages: 1-32

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] The Internationalization and Performance of Korean and Japanese Firms : An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data2005

    • Author(s)
      Ahn, Sanghoon, Kyoji Fukao, Hyeog Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      Seoul Journal of Economics Vol.17, No.4

      Pages: 439-482

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Asian Currencies2005

    • Author(s)
      Miyagawa, Tsutomu, Hideki Toya, Tatsuji Makino
    • Journal Title

      paper presented at the Japan' Korea Industrial Workshop(revised in February 2005) TTL 24

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] How Much Did Japan's TFP Growth Slow Down in 1990s?2005

    • Author(s)
      Inui, Tomohiko, Hyeog Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      The Keizai Bunseki, Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office, Government of Japan, Tokyo (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Scale Economy and Economic Growth : A Decomposition Analysis of Japan's TFP Growth2005

    • Author(s)
      Inui, Tomohiko
    • Journal Title

      Keizai Shushi(Nihon University) Vol.75, No.1

      Pages: 65-71

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Do Out-In M&As Bring Higher TFP to Japan? An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data on Japanese Manufacturing Firms2005

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Keiko Ito, Hyeog Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      the Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (近刊)

    • NAID

      210000160236

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Internationalization and Performance of Korean and Japanese Firms : An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data2005

    • Author(s)
      Ahn, Sanghoon, Kyoji Fukao, Hyeoa Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      Seoul Journal of Economics Vol.17, no.4

      Pages: 439-482

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] International Comparison in Historical Perspective : Reconstructing the 1934-36 Benchmark Purchasing Power Parity for Japan Korea and Taiwan2005

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Debin Ma, Tangjun Yuan
    • Journal Title

      Explorations in Economic History (近刊)

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Physical and Human Capital Deepening and New Trade Patterns in Japan2005

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Keiko, Kyoji Fukao a
    • Journal Title

      International Trade, NBER-East Asia on Economics, Volume 14, the University of Chicago Press (近刊)

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in Japan : An Empirical Analysis Based on the Establishment and Enterprise Census for 19962005

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Keiko, Kyoji Fukao b
    • Journal Title

      the Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (近刊)

    • NAID

      210000173013

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Asian Currencies2005

    • Author(s)
      Tsutomu Miyagawa, Hideki Toya, Tatsuji Makino
    • Journal Title

      Seoul Journal of Economics Vol.17, no.4

      Pages: 483-510

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 展望:日本のTFP上昇率は1990年代においてどれだけ低下したか2005

    • Author(s)
      乾 友彦, 権 赫旭
    • Journal Title

      経済分析 (近刊)

    • NAID

      40007069096

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 規模の経済と経済成長-日本の産業別TFP成長率の要因分解-2005

    • Author(s)
      乾 友彦
    • Journal Title

      経済集志 第75巻第1号(未定)

    • NAID

      40007121326

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Sectoral Productivity and Economic Growth in Japan, 1970-98: An Empirical Analysis Based on the JIP Database2004

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Tomohiko Inui, Hiroki Kawai, Tsutomu Miyagawa
    • Journal Title

      Growth and Productivity in East Asia, NBER-East Asia on Economics Vol.13

      Pages: 177-228

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] The IT revolution and productivity growth in Japan2004

    • Author(s)
      Miyagawa, Tsutomu, Yukiko Ito, Nobuyuki Harada
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.18,Issue3

      Pages: 362-389

    • NAID

      210000161106

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Sectoral Productivity and Economic Growth in Japan, 1970-98 : An Empirical Analysis Based on the JIP Database2004

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Tomohiko Inui, Hiroki Kawai, Tsutomu Miyagawa
    • Journal Title

      Growth and Productivity in East Asia, NBER-East Asia on Economics(edited by Takatoshi Ito and Andrew K.Rose)(The University of Chicago Press) Vol.13

      Pages: 177-228

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] The IT revolution and productivity growth in Japan2004

    • Author(s)
      Miyagawa, Tsutomu, Yukiko Ito, Nobuyuki Harada
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.18, Issue 3

      Pages: 362-389

    • NAID

      210000161106

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Sectoral Productivity and Economic Growth in Japan, 1970-98 : An Empirical Analysis Based on the JIP Database2004

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Tomohiko Inui, Hiroki Kawai, Tsutomu Miyagawa
    • Journal Title

      Growth and Productivity in East Asia, NBER-East Asia on Economics, Volume 13, The University of Chicago Press

      Pages: 177-228

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日本の生産性と経済成長:産業レベル・企業レベルデータによる実証分析2004

    • Author(s)
      深尾京司, 権赫旭
    • Journal Title

      経済研究 第55巻、第3号

      Pages: 261-281

    • NAID

      120003895330

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 過剰設備と長期停滞2004

    • Author(s)
      宮川努, 落合勝昭
    • Journal Title

      フィナンシャルレビュー 第73巻第4号

      Pages: 5-26

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The IT Revolution and Productivity Growth in Japan2004

    • Author(s)
      Miyagawa, Tsutomu, Yukiko Ito, Nobuyuki Harada
    • Journal Title

      the Journal of the Japanese and International Economies vol.18, no.3

      Pages: 362-389

    • NAID

      210000161106

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] わが国IT投資の活性化要因2004

    • Author(s)
      宮川努, 浜潟純大
    • Journal Title

      経済研究 第55巻第3号

      Pages: 245-260

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Why Did Japan's Growth Slow Down in the Lost Decade? An Empirical Analysis Based on Firm-Level Data of Manufacturing Firms

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Hyeog Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      The Japanese Economic Review (forthcomig)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Why Did Japan's Growth Slow Down in the Lost Decade? An Empirical Analysis Based on Firm-Level Data of Manufacturing Firms

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Hyeog Ug Kwon
    • Journal Title

      The Japanese Economic Review (forthcoming)TTL 41

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] 対日直接投資と日本経済2004

    • Author(s)
      深尾京司, 天野倫文
    • Total Pages
      321
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞社
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] Inward Direct In vestment and the Japanese Economy2004

    • Author(s)
      Fukao, Kyoji, Hirofumi Amano
    • Total Pages
      321
    • Publisher
      Nihon Keizai Shinbum, Inc., TTL
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ito, K., Fukao, K.: "Physical and Human Capital Deepening and New Trade Patterns in Japan"International Trade, East Asia Seminar on Economics. Vol.14(Forthcoming). TTL.61 ps. (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Fukao, K., Inui, T., Kawai, H., Miyagawa T.: "Sectoral Productivity and Economic Growth in Japan : 1970-98 : An Empirical Analysis Based on the JIP Database"Productivity and Growth, East Asia Seminar on Economics. Vol.13(Forthcoming). TTL.53 ps. (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Fukao, K., Ishido, H., Ito, K.: "Vertical Intra-Industry Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in East Asia"Journal of the Japanese and International Economies. Vol.17(4). 468-506 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 袁堂軍, 深尾京司: "長期統計における国際比較:1934-36年における日本・台湾・朝鮮の購買力平価と実質消費水準"アジア近現代比較数量経済分析. (近刊). TTL.41 ps. (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ito, K., Fukao, K.: "Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in Japan : An Empirical Analysis Based on the Establishment and Enterprise Census for 1996"Journal of the Japanese and International Economies. Vol.18(Forthcoming). TTL.56 ps. (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 深尾京司, 権赫旭: "日本の生産性と経済成長:産業レベル・企業レベルデータによる実証分析"『経済研究』一橋大学経済研究所. 54巻2号(Forthcoming). TTL.82 ps. (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 深尾京司, 宮川努, 河井啓希, 乾友彦他: "産業別生産性と経済成長:1970-80年"『経済分析』内閣府経済社会総合研究所. 第170号. TTL.446ps. (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Ando, A., Christelis, D., Miyagawa, T.: "Inefficiency of Corporate Investment and Distortion of Savings Behavior in Japan"Structural Impediments to Growth in Japan. 155-190 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 宮川努, 伊藤由樹子, 牧野達治: "産業構造の変遷と生産性〜産業構造からみた日本経済長期停滞"日経研月報. 10月号. 42-49 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 宮川努, 浜潟純大, 中田一良, 奥村直紀: "IT投資は日本経済を活性化させるか-JIPデータベースを利用した国際比較と実証分析"ESRI Discussion Paper Series 41、内閣府経済社会総合研究所. 41. TTL.51ps. (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 乾友彦: "1990年代の生産性停滞の要因に関する考察"日本大学経済学部経済研究所紀要. 34号. 41-52 (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 岩田規久男, 宮川努: "失われた10年の真因は何か"東洋経済新報社. 271 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report

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