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Conflict analysis by possibility theory and dynamic models

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15510133
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionKagawa University

Principal Investigator

SHISHIDO Harunori  Kagawa University, Graduate School of Management, Professor, 大学院・地域マネジメント研究科, 教授 (30109144)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ZENG Dao-zhi  Kagawa University, Graduate School of Management, Associate Professor, 大学院・地域マネジメント研究科, 助教授 (60284345)
GUO Peijun  Kagawa University, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (60325313)
Project Period (FY) 2003 – 2004
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2004)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000)
KeywordsConflict / Graph model / Shapley value / Possibility theory / Bidding / Second price system / Fairness / Cost sharing / ネットワーク / 可能性情報 / 最適発注量 / ライフサイクル
Research Abstract

Our research focuses on the resolution of conflicts theoretically and practically. The multilateral conflict aspects are considered. Our approaches are based on possibility theory, bidding theory, cooperative game theory and graph models.
Fair cost sharing of network maintenance is analyzed. It is shown that the Shapley values of cooperative game theory give a rational resolution of the problem. We give a definition of characteristic function of network structure then define the Shapled values on it. They can be calculated very easily. The idea is applied to the actual situation, maintenance of railway network by the local governments, and we show that theoretical result is similar to the actual situation.
Applying the graph model to the conflict resolution, we propose a new way of policy analysis. It is shown that the important thing about the refinement is limited to the stakeholders' direct interests.
We also consider the bidding problem of the public construction. It is pointed out that under an uncertainty such as ground condition the expected values are not appropriate for both governments and builders. We propose a new bidding system that does not use the expected values as payoffs. Our bidding system is designed by using the second price bidding system.
We formalize the uncertainty of demand by possibility distribution, then propose a new decision models. By our new decision model we can determine the optimal order quantity of the short life cycle goods.
We have proposed several ways of conflict resolutions that can be applied to the actual situations. It is expected that these will be applied to many real conflicts.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2004 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2004 2003 Other

All Journal Article (12 results) Publications (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] The Second-Price Bidding System under Uncertainty2004

    • Author(s)
      Harunori Shishido, Dao-Zhi Zeng, Xiaoguang Yang
    • Journal Title

      SMC 2004 Conference Proceedings, 2004 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN & CYBERNETICS

      Pages: 1056-1061

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Decision analysis based on active focus point and passive focus point2004

    • Author(s)
      Guo, Peijun
    • Journal Title

      Processing of 2004 International Workshop of Fuzzy Systems and Innovational Computing, 2004

      Pages: 39-44

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Decision analysis based on active focus point and passive focus point2004

    • Author(s)
      Guo Peijun
    • Journal Title

      Processing of 2004 International Workshop of Fuzzy Systems and Innovational Computing

      Pages: 39-44

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Decision analysis based on active focus point and passive focus point point2004

    • Author(s)
      Guo, Peijun
    • Journal Title

      Processing of 2004 International Workshop of Fuzzy Systems and Innovational Computing, 2004

      Pages: 39-44

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Fair Cost Sharing of Network Maintenance2003

    • Author(s)
      Harunori Shishido
    • Journal Title

      SMC 2003 Conference Proceedings, 2003 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN & CYBERNETICS

      Pages: 3720-3725

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 高松琴平電鉄の経営破綻と行政支援2003

    • Author(s)
      宍戸栄徳
    • Journal Title

      香川大学経済論叢 第76巻・第3号

      Pages: 49-59

    • NAID

      110000973854

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Newsvendor problems based on possibility theory2003

    • Author(s)
      Guo Peijun
    • Journal Title

      Proceeding of 7th International Conference on Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems, 2003

      Pages: 213-219

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Bankruptcy of the Takamatsu-Kotohira Electric Railroad and Financial Support by the Local Governments2003

    • Author(s)
      Harunori Shishido
    • Journal Title

      Kagawa University Economi Review Vol.75, No.3

      Pages: 49-59

    • NAID

      110000973854

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Newsvendor problems based on possibility theory2003

    • Author(s)
      Guo Peijun
    • Journal Title

      Proceeding of 7th International Conference on Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems

      Pages: 213-219

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Policy stable states in the graph model for conflict resolution

    • Author(s)
      Zeng, D.-Z., Fang, L., Hipel, K.W., Kilgour D.M
    • Journal Title

      Theory and Decision (to be published)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Policy stable states in the graph model for conflict resolution

    • Author(s)
      Zeng, D.-Z., Fang, L., Hipel, K.W., Kilgour D.M.
    • Journal Title

      Theory and Decision (to be published)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Policy stable states in the graph model for conflict resolution

    • Author(s)
      Zeng, D.-Z., Fang, L., Hipel, K.W., Kilgour D.M
    • Journal Title

      Theory and Decision (to be published)

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Harunori Shishido: "Fair Cost Sharing of Network Maintenance"SMC 2003 Conference Proceedings,2003 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN & CYBERNETICS. 3720-3725 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 宍戸栄徳: "高松琴平電鉄の経営破綻と行政支援"香川大学経済論叢. 第76巻・第3号. 49-59 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Guo Peijun: "Newsvendor problems based on possibility theory"Proceeding of 7th International Conference on Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems,2003. 213-219 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2003-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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