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Analysts' Forecast Revisions and Errors around Executive Turnover : Do Japanese Firms Manage Earnings around Turnovers?

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15530296
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Accounting
Research InstitutionGakushuin University (2005)
University of Tsukuba (2003-2004)

Principal Investigator

KANEDA Naoyuki  Gakushuin University, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (80344860)

Project Period (FY) 2003 – 2005
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2005)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥1,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
Keywordsearnings management / executive turnovers / analysts forecasts / Japanese corporations / financial accounting / corporate governance / コーポレート・ガバナンス / 国際情報交換 / 米国
Research Abstract

Existing literature about earnings management examine the accounting variables to find the earnings management. We take an indirect approach by examining the earnings expectation change around CEO turnover for Japanese firms. We found the significant results of forecast revisions for firms where CEOs are replaced by outsiders. Our results might imply that managements manipulate earnings downward when CEOs are replaced by outsiders.
We examine the relation between financial distress and the credibility of earnings forecast made by Japanese corporations. We confirm that the distressed firms tend to make more optimistic forecasts than non-distressed firms. On the other hand, we find evidence that analysts do not take this bias into account in their own earnings forecasts.
We examine factors influencing the voluntary disclosure contained in the annual reports and the other investor relations' information of Japanese corporations listed on Mothers and Jasdaq stock market. Firm's size, stock market listing, profitability and, analyst following are the most important factors explaining voluntary disclosures overall.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2005 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2004 Annual Research Report
  • 2003 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2003-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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