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Evaluation of the Effectiveness of the International Grain Reserve Scheme

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15580198
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Agro-economics
Research InstitutionKYUSHU UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

SUZUKI Nobuhiro  Kyushu University, Faculty of Agriculture, Professor, 大学院・農学研究院, 教授 (80304765)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KAGATSUME Masaru  Kyushu University, Graduate School of Agriculture, Professor, 大学院・農学研究科, 教授 (20101248)
MAEDA Koshi  Kyushu University, Faculty of Agriculture, Associate Professor, 大学院・農学研究院, 助教授 (20274524)
川口 雅正  九州大学, 大学院・農学研究院, 教授 (00003129)
Project Period (FY) 2003 – 2004
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2004)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥1,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥2,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000)
KeywordsInternational Reserve Scheme / Policy Evaluation / Simulation / Grain / 国際備蓄政策 / 食料安全保障 / 市場安定化効果 / 政策シミュレーション分析 / 不完全競争 / WTO農業交渉
Research Abstract

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of the international grain reserve scheme from the viewpoints of food security and stabilization of grain prices by building a theoretical and empirical framework and employing simulation analyses using it. First, we developed a theoretical framework to evaluate the effects of the scheme on food security and price stabilization. Secondly, a government's decision-making model was developed by assuming that the government can control the reserve amounts from the viewpoint of food security. Thirdly, we built a multi-regional simulation model to evaluate the effectiveness of the international grain reserve scheme by combining the decision-making model with a spatial equilibrium model for imperfectly competitive international grain trade using the Complementarity Method. Fourthly, considering production volatility caused by climate changes, we simulated the effects of the reserve scheme on each country's supply, demand, imports, exports, and prices. Through these analyses, we evaluated the effectiveness of the international grain reserve scheme proposed by the Japanese government and pointed out the challenges to be solved in the future.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2004 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2003 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (25 results)

All 2005 2004 2003 Other

All Journal Article (16 results) Book (2 results) Publications (7 results)

  • [Journal Article] 輸入国における最低関税率設定の意義2005

    • Author(s)
      前田幸嗣
    • Journal Title

      農林経済 9669

      Pages: 8-14

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Minimum Tariff Rate in the Importing Country2005

    • Author(s)
      K.Maeda
    • Journal Title

      Norin Keizai 9669

      Pages: 8-14

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 食料自給率向上戦略の検証2004

    • Author(s)
      鈴木宣弘
    • Journal Title

      農業と経済 70

      Pages: 43-51

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 日韓FTAの意義と課題2004

    • Author(s)
      鈴木宣弘
    • Journal Title

      農業と経済 70

      Pages: 34-47

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] コメ改革をめぐる論点2004

    • Author(s)
      鈴木宣弘
    • Journal Title

      農業と経済 70

      Pages: 23-30

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] How to raise the food self-sufficiency rate in Japan2004

    • Author(s)
      N.Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Nougyo to Keizai 70

      Pages: 43-51

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Issues Related to the Japan-Korea FTA2004

    • Author(s)
      N.Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Nougyo to Keizai 70

      Pages: 34-47

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Issues Related to the Rice Policy Reform2004

    • Author(s)
      N.Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Nougyo to Keizai 70

      Pages: 23-30

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 食料自給率向上戦略の検証2004

    • Author(s)
      鈴木宣弘
    • Journal Title

      農業と経済 70・8

      Pages: 43-51

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日韓FTAの意義と課題2004

    • Author(s)
      鈴木宣弘
    • Journal Title

      農業と経済 70・10

      Pages: 34-47

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] コメ改革をめぐる論点2004

    • Author(s)
      鈴木宣弘
    • Journal Title

      農業と経済 70・16

      Pages: 23-30

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 自由貿易協定を巡るオーストラリアの対応と国際市場への波及効果2003

    • Author(s)
      加賀爪優
    • Journal Title

      大洋州経済 11

      Pages: 1-36

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] ブルガリアにおける農産物の用途別仕向け・取引状況とその規定要因2003

    • Author(s)
      Hrabrin Bachev, 加賀爪優
    • Journal Title

      生物資源経済研究 9

      Pages: 55-69

    • NAID

      110001868930

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Australian FTA Strategies and its Effects on the World Markets2003

    • Author(s)
      M.Kagatsume
    • Journal Title

      Taiyoshu Keizai 11

      Pages: 1-36

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Agricultural Marketing in Bulgaria2003

    • Author(s)
      H.Bachev, M.Kagatsume
    • Journal Title

      Seibutsushigen Keizai Kenkyu 9

      Pages: 55-69

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] ブルガリアにおける農作物の用途別仕向け・取引状況とその規定要因2003

    • Author(s)
      Hrabrin Bachev, 加賀爪優
    • Journal Title

      生物資源経済研究 9

      Pages: 55-69

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] FTAと日本の食料・農業2004

    • Author(s)
      鈴木宣弘
    • Total Pages
      95
    • Publisher
      筑波書房
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report 2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Book] FTA and the Japanese Agriculture2004

    • Author(s)
      N.Suzuki
    • Publisher
      Tsukuba Shobo
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2004 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 鈴木宣弘: "フードシステムと競争促進政策"フードシステムの展開と政策の役割(白石正彦・生源寺眞一編)(農林統計協会). 58-83 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Junko Kinoshita, Nobuhiro Suzuki, Harry M.Kaiser: "An Economic Evaluation of rbST in Japan"Journal of Dairy Science. (近刊)(未定). (2004)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 鈴木宣弘: "自由貿易協定(FTA)とWTO体制との関係"農業と経済. 69・2. 48-56 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 鈴木宣弘: "米国・カナダの手厚い農業保護について-我が国は農業保護削減の"優等生""農政調査時報. 549. 2-18 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 鈴木宣弘: "活発化するFTA交渉と日本農業の選択"食料政策研究. 116. 74-136 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 加賀爪優: "東西南北 食料自給率と安全保障の視点"農業と経済. 69・7. 3-3 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 鈴木宣弘: "WTOとアメリカ農業"筑波書房. 55 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2003-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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