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Urban growth potential in 21st century under the environment and resource constraints

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15H02869
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Environmental policy and social systems
Research InstitutionKagawa University

Principal Investigator

Masanobu Kii  香川大学, 創造工学部, 教授 (20426266)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 土井 健司  大阪大学, 工学研究科, 教授 (10217599)
石塚 正秀  香川大学, 創造工学部, 准教授 (50324992)
野々村 敦子  香川大学, 創造工学部, 准教授 (60363181)
細田 尚美  京都大学, アジア・アフリカ地域研究研究科, 助教 (70452290)
三好 博昭  同志社大学, 政策学部, 教授 (80399055)
中村 一樹  名城大学, 理工学部, 准教授 (80723791)
玉置 哲也  九州大学, 工学研究院, 学術研究員 (10820053)
Research Collaborator Hayashi Ayami  
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,930,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Keywords気候変動 / 都市化 / 水ストレス / 幸福度指標 / 都市成長 / 土地利用 / 水資源 / 持続可能性
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study we developed a new method to provide long term perspectives of urban growth and quality of urban life in global 3600 cities during 21st century under the environment and resource constraints. Based on this developed method, we analyzed the impacts of population and economic growth, technology progress, and climate change on urban activities and its difference between regions. This study represented the interaction between urban activities and global environment through the basic resources like water and land, and assessed its impact on the urban quality of life over the global cities. The findings of this study can be referable in wide range of policy studies like regional development and climate change. This study would contribute to progress of studies in the combined field of urban and transport planning, hydrology, environmental system and public policies.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では,IPCC等で用いられている長期社会経済シナリオと整合的な都市活動量を推計し,それに基づくCO2排出量を推計するとともに,さらに気候モデルの推計結果に基づき各都市の気候条件の変化が水資源,土地資源に及ぼす影響を推計し,それが都市生活の質に及ぼす影響を分析する枠組みを構築しており,都市活動と気候変動の相互作用の分析を可能とした点で学術的な意義がある.また,その分析結果は各都市から排出されるCO2排出と,各都市に対する気候変動の影響を明らかにし,その地域差に基づき,気候変動対策おける地域間調整の必要性を明らかにするなど社会的意義がある.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (33 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (12 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 12 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 5 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (1 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Technical University of Munich(ドイツ)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Chiang Mai University(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ミュンヘン工科大学(ドイツ)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] チェンマイ大学(タイ)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Earthquake risk and inter-temporal fairness: An economic assessment of the national land-use structure2018

    • Author(s)
      Kii Masanobu、Doi Kenji
    • Journal Title

      Transport Policy

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 77-83

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.08.009

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] AN ANALYSIS ON CHANGES IN RISKS OF HIGH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION DAYS DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN GLOBAL MAJOR URBAN AREAS2018

    • Author(s)
      HAYASHI Ayami、KII Masanobu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 74 Issue: 5 Pages: I_379-I_387

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.74.I_379

    • NAID

      130007555869

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] STUDY ON EXTRACTION OF URBAN CENTRAL AREA USING NIGHT TIME LIGHT REMOTE SENSING DATA2018

    • Author(s)
      NAGAE Daisuke、NAKAMURA Taichi、KII Masanobu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 74 Issue: 5 Pages: I_505-I_512

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.74.I_505

    • NAID

      130007555640

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 都市流域内人口密度を用いた世界の都市における水ストレス度の算定―イスラエルにおける事例解析―2017

    • Author(s)
      北村友叡・石塚正秀・紀伊雅敦・林礼美・津田守正・中村一樹
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: Vol.73,No.5

    • NAID

      130006286642

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 都市化と気候変動の影響評価における幸福度指標の適用性:現状と課題2017

    • Author(s)
      中村一樹,紀伊雅敦
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: Vol.73,No.5

    • NAID

      130006286606

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 共有型完全自動運転車両の普及に関する基礎分析2017

    • Author(s)
      紀伊雅敦,横田彩加,高震宇,中村一樹
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: Vol.73,No.5

    • NAID

      130006286585

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Transportation and Spatial Development: An overview and a future direction2016

    • Author(s)
      Masanobu Kii, Hitomi Nakanishi, Kazuki Nakamura, Kenji Doi
    • Journal Title

      Transport Policy

      Volume: 49 Pages: 148-158

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tranpol.2016.04.015

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] MODELING GLOBAL URBAN EXPANSION AND FUTURE PROJECTION2016

    • Author(s)
      紀伊雅敦,中村一樹
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 1 Pages: 25-33

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.25

    • NAID

      130005121191

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report 2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] SRES・SSPシナリオ下での世界都市化の展望2016

    • Author(s)
      紀伊雅敦,中村一樹,森田紘圭
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集G(環境)

      Volume: 72 Pages: 187-194

    • NAID

      130005243647

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] An analysis on urban expansion using remote sensing data -case of Harbin, China-2016

    • Author(s)
      Zhenyu GAO, Masanobu KII, Atsuko NONOMURA, Kazuki NAKAMURA
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: 72 Pages: 495-503

    • NAID

      130005435650

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] アフリカ航空ネットワーク効率化の可能性2016

    • Author(s)
      紀伊雅敦,永野雄貴,中村一樹,清水裕康
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3

      Volume: 72 Pages: 821-832

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of Efficient Public Transport Network Using Smart Card Data and Simulation Approach in Takamatsu, Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Masanobu KII, Jun-ichi TERAO, Kazuki NAKAMURA
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies

      Volume: 11 Issue: 0 Pages: 1109-1121

    • DOI

      10.11175/easts.11.1109

    • NAID

      130005117556

    • ISSN
      1881-1124
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 都市化と気候を考慮した幸福度の国際比較2018

    • Author(s)
      大矢周平、中村一樹、石塚正秀
    • Organizer
      都市計画学会中部支部研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市流域内人口密度を用いたイスラエルの都市における水ストレス度の算定2017

    • Author(s)
      北村友叡、石塚正秀、紀伊雅敦、林礼実、津田守正、中村一樹
    • Organizer
      土木学会第68回年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市流域内人口密度を用いた都市における水ストレス度の算定手法の開発 - イスラエルにおける事例解析 -2017

    • Author(s)
      北村友叡、石塚正秀、紀伊雅敦、林礼実、津田守正、中村一樹
    • Organizer
      土木学会水工学委員会環境水理部会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市流域内人口密度を用いた世界の都市における水ストレス度の算定 -イスラエルにおける事例解析-2017

    • Author(s)
      北村友叡、石塚正秀、紀伊雅敦、林礼実、津田守正、中村一樹
    • Organizer
      土木学会四国支部第23回技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ALOS/PALSARデータを用いた東日本大震災における津波被害把握に向けた検討2017

    • Author(s)
      桝本みな; 野々村敦子; 田殿武雄
    • Organizer
      日本リモートセンシング学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Building coverage ratio estimation using ALOS/PALSAR and ALOS-2/PALSAR-2 data2017

    • Author(s)
      Masumoto M., Nonomura A., Tadono T.
    • Organizer
      ISRS Symposium2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Macro Impact of Autonomous vehicles2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Miyoshi and Masanobu Kii
    • Organizer
      ITS WORLD CONGRESS 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市交通における低炭素化の将来展望2016

    • Author(s)
      紀伊雅敦
    • Organizer
      化学工学会第48回秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-06
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Development of a suitability index for global urban land use: testing endogeneity of infrastructure conditions2016

    • Author(s)
      Masanobu Kii, Kazuki Nakamura
    • Organizer
      the 14th World Conference on Transport Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Tongji University
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-10
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 気候変動と都市活動の相互影響―分析の枠組みと展望―2016

    • Author(s)
      紀伊雅敦
    • Organizer
      第53回土木計画学研究発表会(春大会)
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 都市化による気候変動の影響評価に対する幸福度指標の適用:現状と課題2016

    • Author(s)
      中村一樹
    • Organizer
      第53回土木計画学研究発表会(春大会)
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 世界主要都市における気候変動影響の評価2016

    • Author(s)
      林礼美
    • Organizer
      第53回土木計画学研究発表会(春大会)
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 世界の都市人口の変化に影響を与える水ストレス度の変化の特徴2016

    • Author(s)
      北村友叡
    • Organizer
      第53回土木計画学研究発表会(春大会)
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 全球水ストレス度を用いた国別の水利用実態の変動分析2016

    • Author(s)
      北村友叡
    • Organizer
      平成28年度土木学会四国支部第22回技術研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      高知工科大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Global urban land use modeling to test its sensitivity of urban expansion to housing and transportation technology improvement2015

    • Author(s)
      Masanobu Kii, Kazuki Nakamura
    • Organizer
      the 14th International conference on Computers in Urban Planning and Urban Management
    • Place of Presentation
      MIT
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Carbon Footprint and the Industrial Life Cycle: From Urban Planning to Recycling2017

    • Author(s)
      Roberto Alvarez Fernandez, Sergio Zubelzu, Rodrigo Martinez
    • Total Pages
      550
    • Publisher
      pringer International Publishing
    • ISBN
      9783319549835
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] Urban modeling seminar: microsimulation for SDGs assessment2018

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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