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Full-scale avalanche experiments and development of hazard map with PCQ

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15H02992
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionNagoya University

Principal Investigator

NISHIMURA KOUICHI  名古屋大学, 環境学研究科, 教授 (10180639)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 前野 深  東京大学, 地震研究所, 准教授 (20444078)
河島 克久  新潟大学, 災害・復興科学研究所, 教授 (40377205)
西森 拓  広島大学, 理学研究科, 教授 (50237749)
山口 悟  国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所, 雪氷防災研究部門, 主任研究員 (70425510)
小田 憲一  日本大学, 理工学部, 助教 (70632298)
藤田 耕史  名古屋大学, 環境学研究科, 教授 (80303593)
竹内 由香里  国立研究開発法人森林研究・整備機構, 森林総合研究所, 主任研究員 等 (90353755)
常松 佳恵  山形大学, 理学部, 准教授 (90722207)
上石 勲  国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所, 雪氷防災研究部門・雪氷防災研究センター, 総括主任研究員 (60455251)
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥2,860,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥660,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥6,370,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,470,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Keywords雪崩実験 / ハザードマップ / 多項式カオス求積法
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Systematic full-scale avalanche experiments have been carried out in Niseko, Hokkaido. Several video cameras were used to investigate the flow behavior. Further, drones were applied not only to record the avalanche motion but to create the digital elevation models for the pre- and post-avalanche events. In order to record the internal motion of avalanches, inertial measurements units (IMU) were also set. Seismometers and infrasound microphones were also set close to the avalanche path. Furthermore, a Doppler radar and an infrared camera were introduced. Obtained results revealed that the combination of different data is effective measures to characterize their structures.
Further, we draw the snow avalanche hazard map in the study area with taking into account the uncertainty of the model input parameters: volume, bed friction angle and the position of the release. We introduced the Polynomial Chaos Quadrature method (PCQ) and probability of the avalanche arrival was evaluated.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

人工雪崩実験により得られたデータは雪崩運動モデルの検証と改良に用いられたほか、2017年3月27日に栃木県の那須で発生し8人が犠牲となった雪崩事故に際して、栃木県教育委員会の雪崩事故検証委員会(研究代表者である西村が副委員長を務めた)において、本プロジェクトの成果に基づく雪崩の運動状態の再現と作成されたハザードマップが資料として活用された。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (50 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (14 results) Journal Article (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (20 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (3 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] BFW(オーストリア)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Barcelona University(スペイン)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] NGI(ノルウェー)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Norwegian Geotechnical Institute(ノルウェー)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] バルセロナ大学(スペイン)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Austrian Research Centre for Forests(オーストリア)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] NGI(ノルウェー)

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] IRSTEA(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] SLF(Switzerland)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] NGI(Norway)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] IRSTEA(France)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Barcelona Univ.(Spain)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Durham Univ.(英国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research]

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Observations and numerical simulations of the braking effect of forests on large-scale avalanches2019

    • Author(s)
      TAKEUCHI Yukari, NISHIMURA Koichi, PATRA Abani
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Glaciology

      Volume: 77 Issue: 77 Pages: 1-9

    • DOI

      10.1017/aog.2018.22

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 連続体モデルTITAN2Dを用いた雪崩の運動のシミュレーション ‐室内実験との比較検討‐2018

    • Author(s)
      森啓輔、伊藤陽一、西村浩一、Abani Patra
    • Journal Title

      雪氷

      Volume: 80(4) Pages: 277-287

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 連続体モデルTITAN2Dを用いた雪崩の運動のシミュレーション ‐雪崩への適用と多項式カオス求積法を用いたハザードマップの作成‐2018

    • Author(s)
      森啓輔、西村浩一、常松佳恵、阿部修、Abani Patra
    • Journal Title

      雪氷

      Volume: 80(4) Pages: 289-296

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Studies on the snow avalanche dynamics by the full-scale experiments in Niseko, Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Kouichi Nishimura, Cristina Perez-Gullen, Yoichi Ito and others
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings, International Snow Science Workshop, Innsbruck, Austria, 2018

      Volume: - Pages: 50-53

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Avalanches on Mt. Fuji, Japan: Seismic detection and tracking combined with numerical simulations2018

    • Author(s)
      Cristina Perez-Gullen, Kae Tsunematsu, Kouichi Nishimura, Dieter Issler
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings, International Snow Science Workshop, Innsbruck, Austria, 2018

      Volume: - Pages: 11-15

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Hazard mapping of snow avalanche flow with polynomial chaos quadrature2017

    • Author(s)
      Nishimura, K., Tsunematsu, K., Mori, K., Patra, A.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. 3rd International symposium -Physics, chemistry and mechanics of snow-

      Volume: 2 Pages: 42-43

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Measurement of snow particle size and velocity in avalanche powder clouds2017

    • Author(s)
      Ito, Y., Naaim-Bouvet, F., Nishimura, K., Bellot, H., Thibert, E., Ravant, X., Fontaine, F.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Glaciology

      Volume: 63 Pages: 249-257

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 「国際 雪・雪崩シンポジウム in ニセコ」開催報告2016

    • Author(s)
      西村浩一、齋藤佳彦、伊藤陽一、新屋啓文
    • Journal Title

      雪氷

      Volume: 78 Pages: 101-104

    • NAID

      40020786547

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Avalanche of Granular Materials2015

    • Author(s)
      Nishimura, K., Nohguchi, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Forma

      Volume: 30

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 雪崩の内部構造と流動機構2015

    • Author(s)
      西村浩一
    • Journal Title

      ながれ

      Volume: 34 Pages: 333-338

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 雪崩研究の新しい取り組み2019

    • Author(s)
      西村浩一
    • Organizer
      雪崩災害防止セミナー
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Studies on the snow avalanche dynamics by the full-scale experiments in Niseko, Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Kouichi Nishimura, Cristina Perez-Gullen, Yoichi Ito and others
    • Organizer
      International Snow Science Workshop, Innsbruck, Austria, 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Avalanches on Mt. Fuji, Japan: Seismic detection and tracking combined with numerical simulations2018

    • Author(s)
      Cristina Perez-Gullen, Kae Tsunematsu, Kouichi Nishimura, Dieter Issler
    • Organizer
      International Snow Science Workshop, Innsbruck, Austria, 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 人工雪崩実験による雪崩ダイナミクスの解明 -その6 2018年冬期に実施した人工雪崩実験および自然発生した雪崩の観測-2018

    • Author(s)
      伊藤陽一,西村浩一,齋藤佳彦,今井俊昭,堀川信一郎,Cristina Perez-Guilen,Dieter Issler,Jan-Thomas Fischer他
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会(2018・札幌)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地震データから読み取る富士山の雪崩の特徴 -その2-2018

    • Author(s)
      クリスティーナ・ペレ,常松佳恵,西村浩一,堀川信一郎,本多亮,吉本充弘
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会(2018・札幌)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Full-scale avalanche experiment in Niseko, 20192018

    • Author(s)
      Kouichi Nishimura
    • Organizer
      International symposium on snow and avalanche in Niseko
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Simulation of avalanche occurred in Nasu-machi, Tochigi prefecture, 20172018

    • Author(s)
      Kenichi oda
    • Organizer
      International symposium on snow and avalanche in Niseko
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Application of the pyroclastic flow friction model to the snow avalanches2018

    • Author(s)
      Kae Tsunematsu, Fukashi Maeno
    • Organizer
      International symposium on snow and avalanche in Niseko
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Seismic detection and location of avalanches and slush flows at Mt. Fuji2018

    • Author(s)
      Cristina Perez-Gullen
    • Organizer
      International symposium on snow and avalanche in Niseko
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Snow avalanche experiments in Niseko 2019-2018 -progress in 3 years-2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Ito
    • Organizer
      International symposium on snow and avalanche in Niseko
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 粉粒体としての雪崩 -発生と運動-2017

    • Author(s)
      西村浩一
    • Organizer
      粉体工学会 『計算粉体力学研究会』
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 人工雪崩実験による雪崩ダイナミクスの解明 -その4 2017年冬期に実施した実験の概要-2017

    • Author(s)
      伊藤陽一, 西村浩一, 齋藤佳彦, Perez-Guillen C, 砂子宗次朗, 新屋啓文, 山口悟, 新谷暁生
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 人工雪崩実験による雪崩ダイナミクスの解明 -その5 新たな計測技術の適用-2017

    • Author(s)
      Perez-Guillen C, 西村浩一, 伊藤陽一, 山口悟
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hazard mapping of snow avalanche flow with polynomial chaos quadrature2017

    • Author(s)
      Nishimura, K., Tsunematsu, K., Mori, K., Patra, A.
    • Organizer
      ⅢInternational Symposium "Physics, Chemistry and Mechanics of Snow"
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 人工雪崩実験による雪崩ダイナミクスの解明 -その1 国際シンポジウムの開催と予備実験の実施-.2016

    • Author(s)
      西村浩一, 伊藤陽一, 山口悟, 齋藤佳彦, 新谷暁生
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 人工雪崩実験による雪崩ダイナミクスの解明 -その2 UAV撮影画像による雪崩動態解析-2016

    • Author(s)
      齋藤佳彦, 西村浩一, 伊藤陽一, 新谷暁生, 斉藤翔吾, 木村一郎, 今井俊昭, イセンコ・エフゲーニー
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 人工雪崩実験における雪崩ダイナミクスの解明 -その3 雪崩数値シミュレーションによる再現計算-.2016

    • Author(s)
      斉藤翔吾, 西村浩一, 齋藤佳彦, 木村一郎
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 冬季の異常積雪によって増幅された2015年ランタン大なだれ災害2016

    • Author(s)
      伊藤陽一, 西村浩一, 藤田耕史, 山口悟, 和泉薫, 河島克久, 上石勲
    • Organizer
      雪氷研究大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-29
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Full-scale snow avalanche experiment in Niseko2015

    • Author(s)
      Kouichi Nishimura
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on snow and avalanche in Niseko
    • Place of Presentation
      ニセコ町民会館
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-10
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ニセコを対象とした雪崩発生予測の試み2015

    • Author(s)
      西村浩一
    • Organizer
      国際 雪・雪崩シンポジウム in ニセコ
    • Place of Presentation
      ニセコ町民会館
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-09
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 地形現象のモデリング(海底から地球外天体まで)2017

    • Author(s)
      遠藤徳孝、小西哲郎、桂木洋光、西村浩一、他
    • Total Pages
      279
    • Publisher
      名古屋大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 低温環境の科学事典2016

    • Author(s)
      西村浩一
    • Total Pages
      411
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Wecome to Kouichi Nishimura's home page

    • URL

      http://snowscience.sakura.ne.jp/index_e.html

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] welcome to Kouichi Nishimura's home page

    • URL

      http://snowscience.sakura.ne.jp/index_e.html

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://snowscience.sakura.ne.jp/index_e.html

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] International symposium on snow and avalanche in Niseko2018

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2022-08-26  

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