| Budget Amount *help |
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
In this research, I considered the evaluation problem of causal effects to clarify causal mechanism, and I showed that intermediate variables improve the estimation accuracy of causal effects compared the covariate adjustment in some situations. In addition, based on structural causal models, I provided the mathematical formulations of some concepts used in practical science such as the traffic conflict. Based on the formulations, I clarified the relationships between these concepts and "the probabilities of causations", and provided some identification conditions.
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