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Religious aspect of ideological conflict in current American politics

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K03260
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionHokkaido University of Education

Principal Investigator

Iiyama Masashi  北海道教育大学, 函館校, 教授 (80732023)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywordsアメリカ / 宗教右派 / 福音派 / 宗教と政治 / 共和党 / 民主党 / アメリカ政治 / 主教と政治 / 政党帰属意識 / 若年層 / トランプ政権 / 政党再編成 / 大統領選挙 / 投票行動
Outline of Final Research Achievements

One of the major factors behind the growing ideological cracks in US politics is the spread of religious disputes due to the transformation of religious conservative white evangelicals into Republican bedrock supporters. This study quantitatively analyzes evangelical political trends as a means of estimating whether evangelicals will continue to support Republicans.
Regression analysis shows that, despite controlling for various socio-economic attributes, membership in evangelical churches is a significant factor in supporting Republicans, a trend that was strengthened in the 2012 presidential election. The politics of young evangelicals in 2016 were not significantly different from those of older generations, indicating that evangelicals are likely to remain Republican bedrock supporters.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

1990年代のような米国の宗教右派運動は衰退したが、福音派が今後も共和党の岩盤支持層であり続ける見通しが強い。このため、宗教的争点は今後も米国政治の機能不全をもたらす要因となっていくであろう。トランプ政権において、白人中間層の共和党支持が注目されているが、彼らと宗教保守層は大きく重なっており、宗教的側面での対立構造に変化は見られていない。
このため、共和党は高所得高学歴の富裕層の政党から、低学歴中低所得層の宗教保守的な支持層の政党へと変質を続ける可能性が高い。それは自由貿易や国際主義を掲げてきた同党主流派の衰退を意味し、日本外交にとってもきわめて憂慮すべき展開となるであろう。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2020 2017 2016

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 米国における白人福音派若年層の政治傾向2020

    • Author(s)
      飯山雅史
    • Journal Title

      人文論究

      Volume: 89 Pages: 49-58

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 2016年米大統領選挙と政党再編成2017

    • Author(s)
      飯山雅史
    • Journal Title

      人文論究

      Volume: 86 Pages: 23-32

    • NAID

      40021189568

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] アメリカの政党支持に与える宗教の影響2016

    • Author(s)
      飯山雅史
    • Journal Title

      人文論究

      Volume: 85 Pages: 51-62

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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