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Application of multiple testing methods in panel unit root testing

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K03403
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionOsaka Gakuin University

Principal Investigator

Matsuki Takashi  大阪学院大学, 経済学部, 教授 (60319564)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords非定常パネルデータ / 単位根 / 共和分 / 多重検定 / 経済構造変化 / 非線型性 / 共変量 / 定常共変数 / 時系列 / 定常covariate
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In panel unit root testing, two crucial issues often arise: (1) Impossibility to identify which is the stationary series through commonly used panel unit root tests when the joint unit root null is rejected; (2) multiplicity problem (that is, over-rejection of the null in the repeated application of individual tests). To address these issues, this study employs multiple testing in nonstationary panel settings.
Specifically, this study focuses on three points: (1) the test performance is investigated under various circumstances in actual data analysis. (2) In conducting stepwise multiple testing, the data associated with the null hypothesis rejected in the first step is re-utilized in later steps as a stationary covariate that correlates with other series. The gain in test power is confirmed. (3) Then, some multiple testing methods are employed to analyze actual economic data.
As a result, all these analyses show a good practical performance of multiple testing.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results)

  • [Journal Article] OECD諸国の経済成長とその要因2018

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Journal Title

      国際学研究

      Volume: vol.7, no.2 Pages: 21-33

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Policy assessment of Japanese unconventional monetary measures using daily observations for 2000-20152017

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki, Katsuhiko Satoma
    • Journal Title

      Osaka Gakuin University Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 20 Pages: 1-34

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic properties of unit root tests under a stationarity alternative with multiple structural breaks2017

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Journal Title

      大阪学院大学経済論集

      Volume: 第30巻第1・2号 Pages: 33-63

    • NAID

      120006359534

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] パネル単位根検定における問題と多重検定の適用2017

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Journal Title

      国際学研究

      Volume: 6 Pages: 31-40

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Improvement of stepwise multiple testing using a stationary covariate for unit root testing in nonstationary panels2016

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki
    • Journal Title

      Osaka Gakuin University Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 19 Pages: 1-13

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Forecasting and Macroeconomic Fundamentals: The Case of Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki, Ming-Jen Chang
    • Journal Title

      Australian Economic Papers

      Volume: 55 Issue: 4 Pages: 409-433

    • DOI

      10.1111/1467-8454.12088

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Linear and nonlinear comovement in Southeast Asian local currency bond markets: a stepwise multiple testing approach2015

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki
    • Journal Title

      Empirical Economics

      Volume: December Issue: 2 Pages: 1-29

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00181-015-1020-1

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effects of the Bank of Japan’s current quantitative and qualitative easing2015

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki, Kimiko Sugimoto, Katsuhiko Satoma
    • Journal Title

      Economics Letters

      Volume: 133 Pages: 112-116

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.econlet.2015.05.025

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Output convergence across Asian countries2018

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Organizer
      計量経済学セミナー
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Output convergence across Asian countries2017

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki
    • Organizer
      The 83th International Atlantic Economic Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Berlin (Germany)
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-23
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Output convergence across Asian countries2017

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki
    • Organizer
      The 12th International Conference on Asian Financial Markets and Economic Developments
    • Place of Presentation
      Siga University
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-08
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Linear and nonlinear comovement in Southeast Asian local currency bond markets: a stepwise multiple testing approach2017

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Organizer
      Workshop on spatial and spatio-temporal data analysis
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Policy assessment of Japanese unconventional monetary measures using daily observations for 2000-20152017

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Organizer
      the 1st International Conference on Risk in Economics and Society
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Output convergence across Asian countries2016

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki
    • Organizer
      The 15th International Convention of the East Asian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Bandung (Indonesia)
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 単位根検定と共和分検定の理論と実証2016

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Organizer
      日本生産管理学会研究部会
    • Place of Presentation
      関西学院大学梅田サテライト
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-22
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Forecasting and Macroeconomic Fundamentals: The Case of Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Matsuki
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Asia-Pacific Economic & Financial Development
    • Place of Presentation
      Ho Chi Minh City (Vietnam)
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-24
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Performance of multiple testing in nonstationary panels and empirical applications2016

    • Author(s)
      松木隆
    • Organizer
      計量経済学セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学経済研究所
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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