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Bank Behaviors under Quantitative Easing Policies and Real Economic Activities

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K03418
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

Shioji Etsuro  一橋大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (50301180)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywordsマクロ経済学 / 金融政策 / ゼロ金利 / 量的緩和 / 銀行行動 / パネルデータ / 時系列分析 / 信用創造 / 質的量的緩和 / マイナス金利 / 長短金利操作 / 失われた20年 / イールドカーブコントロール
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In recent years, central banks around the world have experimented with various forms of Unconventional Monetary Policies. However, our understanding about their effects is still limited. This project studies how the effects of Quantitative Easing (QE) Policies are transmitted to the private economy through the financial system. To that end, I construct a panel data set based on individual Japanese banks' financial statements. I econometrically estimate how an expansion of the supply of excess reserves by the Bank of Japan affects each bank's asset choices, including lending. I find that, under the QE in the first half of the 2000s, such a policy had a stimulating impact on bank loans, though the effect was small, quantitatively. In contrast, under the Quantitative and Qualitative Easing since 2013, similar effects were not found. At the same time, the study points out a possibility that the policy has worked through influencing private banks' holdings of the Japanese Government Bonds.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (39 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (30 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 11 results,  Invited: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 銀行行動と貨幣乗数の低下--量的緩和政策は貸出を拡大したか--2017

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      福田慎一(編著) 『金融システムの制度設計 -- 停滞を乗り越える,歴史的,現代的,国際的視点からの考察』有斐閣 第7章(図書所収論文)

      Volume: - Pages: 173-195

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 国際競争がサービス業の賃金を抑えたのか2017

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      玄田有史編『人手不足なのになぜ賃金が上がらないのか』(慶応義塾大学出版会)第10章(図書所収論文)

      Volume: - Pages: 151-164

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] ゼロ金利下における日本の信用創造2016

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      照山博司他編『現代経済学の潮流2016』(東洋経済新報社)第2章(図書所収論文)

      Volume: - Pages: 37-73

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 石川賞10周年パネル 日本の経済問題と経済学 パネル討論2016

    • Author(s)
      玄田有史・大竹文雄・岩本康志・澤田康幸・大橋弘・塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      照山博司他編『現代経済学の潮流2016』(東洋経済新報社)第7章(図書所収論文)

      Volume: - Pages: 201-245

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 為替レート・輸入品価格の影響力の復権 -- 外的ショックの時系列VAR分析2016

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      渡辺努編『慢性デフレ 真因の解明』(日本経済新聞社)第5章(図書所収論文)

      Volume: - Pages: 141-171

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 付加価値生産性と部門間労働配分2016

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      内閣府経済社会総合研究所『経済分析』第191号(特別編集号)

      Volume: - Pages: 63-93

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] アベノミクス第一の矢:大胆な金融政策――予想は変えられるか?2016

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      小川英治編著『世界金融危機と金利・為替 通貨・金融への影響と評価手法の再構築』(東京大学出版会)第3章(図書所収論文)

      Volume: - Pages: 53-77

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 石川賞10周年パネル 日本の経済問題と経済学 パネル討論Ⅱ2016

    • Author(s)
      玄田有史・大竹文雄・岩本康志・澤田康幸・大橋弘・塩路悦朗
    • Journal Title

      照山博司他編『現代経済学の潮流2016』(東洋経済新報社)第7章(図書所収論文)

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Time varying pass- through: will the yen depreciation help Japan hit the inflation target ?2015

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 37 Pages: 43-58

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2015.06.001

    • NAID

      210000172938

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Extracting fiscal policy expectations from a cross section of daily stock returns2018

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      研究セミナー
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fiscal Confidence Shocks and the Market for the Japanese Government Bonds2018

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      26th Symposium of the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Quantitative 'Flooding' and Bank Lending: Evidence from 18 Years of Near-Zero Interest Rate2018

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      金融班月例会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fiscal Confidence Shocks and the Market for the Japanese Government Bonds2018

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会2018年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fiscal Confidence Shocks and the Market for the Japanese Government Bonds2018

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2018年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 量的・質的金融緩和期における日本の信用創造2017

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2017年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      青山学院大学(東京都渋谷区)
    • Year and Date
      2017-09-09
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Extracting fiscal policy expectations from a cross section of daily stock returns2017

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      International Association for Applied Econometrics 2017年年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      ホテルエミシア札幌(北海道札幌市)
    • Year and Date
      2017-06-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Extracting fiscal policy expectations from a cross section of daily stock returns2017

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2017年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      立命館大学(滋賀県草津市)
    • Year and Date
      2017-06-25
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Extracting fiscal policy expectations from a cross section of daily stock returns2017

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      APEA (Asia-Pacific Economic Association) 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 量的・質的金融緩和期における日本の信用創造2017

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      SWET (Summer Workshop on Economic Theory) 2017 マクロ金融
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 物価水準の財政理論(FTPL)と非伝統的財政金融政策2017

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      財務総合政策研究所先端セミナー
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 量的・質的金融緩和期における日本の信用創造2017

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会2017年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fiscal Confidence Shocks and the Market for the Japanese Government Bonds2017

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      HIAS, IER and AJRC Joint Workshop "Frontiers in Macroeconomics and Macroeconometrics"
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Fiscal Confidence Shocks and the Market for the Japanese Government Bonds2017

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      CFE (Computational and Financial Econometrics) 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Extracting fiscal policy expectations from daily stock returns2016

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      10th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics (CFE 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      Higher Technical School of Engineering, University of Seville、セビリア市(スペイン)
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-11
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Quantitative 'Flooding' and Bank Lending: Evidence from 14 Years of Near-Zero Interest Rate2016

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      31st Annual Congress of the European Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Geneva School of Economics and Management、the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies of Geneva、ジュネーブ市(スイス)
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-24
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Quantitative 'Flooding' and Bank Lending: Evidence from 14 Years of Near-Zero Interest Rate2016

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      The 2016 Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学(京都府京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Extracting fiscal policy expectations from daily stock returns2016

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      Time Series Workshop on Macro and Financial Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      成均館大学(ソウル市(韓国))
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-21
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Quantitative 'Flooding' and Bank Lending: Evidence from 14 Years of Near-Zero Interest Rate2016

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      Korea University's Money/Macro seminar (joint with the Inclusive Growth & Economic Stability Research Center in Korea economic team for BK21+)
    • Place of Presentation
      高麗大学(ソウル市(韓国))
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-18
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ゼロ金利下における日本の信用創造2016

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会2016年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      武蔵大学(東京都練馬区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-14
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report 2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A New Daily Indicator for Fiscal News in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      AJRC and HIAS joint conference on recent issues in finance and macroeconomics
    • Place of Presentation
      オーストラリア国立大学(メルボルン市(オーストラリア))
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ゼロ金利下における日本の信用創造2015

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      慶応義塾大学 マクロ経済学ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応義塾大学(東京都港区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ゼロ金利下における日本の信用創造2015

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      一橋大学商学研究科 第19回金融研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学(東京都国立市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-19
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 石川賞10周年パネル 日本の経済問題と経済学2015

    • Author(s)
      玄田有史・大竹文雄・岩本康志・澤田康幸・大橋弘・塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2015年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学(東京都千代田区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 質的・量的緩和期の信用創造2015

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      設研アカデミックセミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      設備投資研究所(東京都千代田区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Construction of Stock Market-Based Daily Index of Fiscal News for Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      EEA 30th Annual Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      マンハイム大学(マンハイム市(ドイツ))
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ゼロ金利下における日本の信用創造2015

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      SWET2015(マクロ金融)
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学(北海道札幌市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Construction of Stock Market-Based Daily Index of Fiscal News for Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Etsuro Shioji
    • Organizer
      PET15 Luxemburg
    • Place of Presentation
      ルクセンブルク大学(ルクセンブルク市(ルクセンブルク))
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-04
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Construction of Stock-Market Based Daily Index of Fiscal News for Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      グローバル金融危機後の新しい金利・為替評価手法の構築
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学(東京都国立市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-05
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ゼロ金利下における日本の信用創造2015

    • Author(s)
      塩路悦朗
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2015年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟大学(新潟県新潟市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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