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A study on total fertility rate and economic growth in a population decline

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K03464
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionJapan Women's University

Principal Investigator

Ikazaki Daisuke  日本女子大学, 家政学部, 教授 (10336068)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 松尾 美紀  京都産業大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (50437282)
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords出生率 / 地域間の格差 / 再分配政策 / 政治的対立 / 複数地域モデル / 都市と地方 / 人口減少 / 集積 / 政治経済学 / 経済成長 / 多地域モデル / 少子化 / 地域間の人口移 / 子育て支援政策 / 持続可能な成長 / 社会保障 / 動学モデル / 地域間の人口移動 / 社会保障制度
Outline of Final Research Achievements

(1) One of the measures to mitigate the impact of the decline in the labor force caused by the population decline is the utilization of the labor force of the elderly. Therefore, we clarified the influence of public investment for the health of elderly people on agglomeration and economic growth.
(2) When considering the birth rate and childcare support, it is necessary to take into account income disparities and the differences in birth rates between regions. Furthermore, political conflicts between beneficiaries and burdeners of childcare policies also should be analyzed. I incorporated an income redistribution policy and political problems into a model of agglomeration and migration. This model will be extended to analyze the relationship between birth rates and economic growth.
(3) We analyze what kind of effect an increase in the childlessness rate has on the economic growth and regional disparities by using a growth model with two regions.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

①高齢化と労働力人口の減少を緩和するための高齢者の健康への投資が長期的な経済成長に及ぼす影響、②地方政府の政策に影響を及ぼそうとする圧力団体の存在が政府の政策と地域間の人口移動に及ぼす影響、③都市・地域の人口格差と出生率の関係、④子どもをもたない家計の割合が上昇することによってもたらされる社会の制度的変化、規範の変化等を考察した。これらは重要な問題にもかかわらず、これまでに十分に検討されてこなかったか、分析はされていてもその背景にある経済的なメカニズムの指摘が不十分であった。これらの点に焦点を当てることにより、既存の研究で言及が不十分であった件を明らかにしてきた。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report

Research Products

(14 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Migration and the role of ‘farmers’ in a two‐region model2018

    • Author(s)
      Ikazaki Daisuke
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science Policy and Practice

      Volume: forthcoming Pages: 125-139

    • DOI

      10.1111/rsp3.12119

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地域間人口移動の政治経済学2017

    • Author(s)
      伊ヶ崎大理
    • Journal Title

      九州経済学会

      Volume: 第55集 Pages: 11-17

    • NAID

      40021434316

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Precautionary public health, ageing and urban agglomeratio2017

    • Author(s)
      Naito Tohru, Ikazaki Daisuke, and Omori Tatsuya
    • Journal Title

      Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science

      Volume: Vol.1 Pages: 655-669

    • DOI

      10.1007/s41685-017-0056-y

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] 無子率の上昇とマクロ経済動学2017

    • Author(s)
      伊ヶ崎 大理
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Precautionary public health, ageing and urban agglomeration2017

    • Author(s)
      Ikazaki Daisuke, Naito Tohru, and Omori Tatsuya
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Precautionary public health, ageing and urban agglomeration2017

    • Author(s)
      Ikazaki Daisuke, Naito Tohru, and Omori Tatsuya
    • Organizer
      Regional Science Association International
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 子育て支援政策が出生率と総人口に及ぼす影響 についての研究2016

    • Author(s)
      伊ヶ崎大理
    • Organizer
      case 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      ホテルJALシティ仙台/仙台駅前貸会議室
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-02
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Ageing and urban agglomeration under the multi-regional overlapping generation model2016

    • Author(s)
      Ikazaki Daisuke, Naito Tohru, Tatsuya Omori
    • Organizer
      56th European Regional Science Association Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      (Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria)
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-23
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Migration and Lobbyin in a Two Region Economy2016

    • Author(s)
      Ikazaki Daisuke
    • Organizer
      Western Regional Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Hilton Waikoloa Village, The Big Island of Hawai’i (アメリカ合衆国)
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地域間人口移動の政治経済学2016

    • Author(s)
      伊ヶ崎大理
    • Organizer
      九州経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州大学
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 子育て支援政策が出生率と総人口に及ぼす影響についての研究2015

    • Author(s)
      伊ヶ崎大理
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      獨協大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 子育て支援政策が出生率と経済成長に及ぼす影響についての研究2015

    • Author(s)
      伊ヶ崎大理
    • Organizer
      日本地域学会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-10
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Natural Disaster, Migration, and Regional Development2015

    • Author(s)
      Ikazaki Daisuke
    • Organizer
      European Regional Science Association
    • Place of Presentation
      ISEG-Lisboa School of Economics and Management (Lisbon)
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Sustainable Growth and Development in a Regional Economy2015

    • Author(s)
      Tohru Naito (eds.) Tatsuya Omori, Daisuke Ikazaki, Yasunori, Ouchida, Hirofumi Fukuyama, Akio Kawasaki,
    • Total Pages
      271
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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