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Analsis of the effect of a large scaled acceptance of immigration in a population declining society and globalization of firms

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K03501
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tsukuba

Principal Investigator

NAITO Hisahiro  筑波大学, 人文社会系, 准教授 (00335390)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Keywords移民受け入れ / 少子高齢化 / 持続性 / 社会保障 / 労働市場 / 賃金 / 移民 / 持続可能性 / 政治的反応 / ブレグジット / 失業 / シミュレーション
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, I have demonstrated that it is possible to improve the welfare of all generation by accepting immigrants while increasing capital accumulation theoretically. In the simulation analysis, I calculated how many years it takes to reach the new steady state by accepting immigrants. In the empirical study, I have examined the effect of the inflow of immigrants to individual with disability, who are assumed to be more likely to be affected by the poor labor market condition. In my study, I have found that the employment of individual with disability increases when the inflow of immigrants increases contrary to the general perception that the inflow of immigrants will hurt those who do not have so much competitive skills. Finally, I have examined the effect of the presence of immigrants in the UK's national referendum on the exit from EU. Contrary to the general perception, I found that the presence of immigrants did not affected the vote outcome.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

今回の研究によって、賦課方式の社会保障がある経済では、移民を受け入れて社会の構成員全員の厚生をたかめつつ、かつ社会の資本蓄積を進めることが可能であることをしめした。またイギリスでのEU離脱の国民投票の結果は、メディアで言われていることとは異なり、じつは移民の存在は重要な要素ではないことが統計的研究から分かった。また今回の研究で得られた分析手法をつかって、全科学分野で最も権威のあるProceedings of National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)という国際学術雑誌に論文を出版した。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (13 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Effect of deforestation on access to clean drinking water2019

    • Author(s)
      Annie Mwayi Mapulanga and Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

      Volume: 116 (17) Issue: 17 Pages: 8249-8254

    • DOI

      10.1073/pnas.1814970116

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Welfare-improving Consumption Tax in the Presence of Wage Tax under Idiosyncratic Returns from Investment and Incomplete Markets2018

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      FinanzArchiv / Public Finance Analysis (FA)

      Volume: 74(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 361-375

    • DOI

      10.1628/fa-2018-0010

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Did the Presence of Immigrants Affect Vote Outcome in the UK Brexit Referendum ?2018

    • Author(s)
      Mizuho Asai and Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      Tsukuba Economics Working Papers

      Volume: 2018-003 Pages: 1-27

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Welfare-improving Consumption Tax in the Presence of Wage Tax under Idiosyncratic Returns from Investment and Incomplete Markets2018

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      FinanzArchiv / Public Finance Analysis

      Volume: 74(2) Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Effect of Deforestation on the Access to Clean Drinking Water: A Study of Malawi's Deforestation2018

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito and Annie Mwai Mapulanga
    • Journal Title

      Tsukuba Economics Working Papers

      Volume: 004 Pages: 1-28

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Does A Higher Population Growth Cause Deforestation? A Study of Malawi's Rapid Deforestation2018

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito and Annie Mwai Mapulanga
    • Journal Title

      Tsukuba Economics Working Papers

      Volume: 005 Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Did the Presence of Immigrants Affect Vote Outcome in the UK Brexit Referendum ?2018

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito and Mizuho Asai
    • Journal Title

      Tsukuba Economics Working Papers

      Volume: 003 Pages: 1-19

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Moment Estimation of the Probit Model with an Endogenous Continuous Regressor2017

    • Author(s)
      Daiji Kawaguchi, Yukitoshi Matsushita and Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 68 Issue: 1 Pages: 48-62

    • DOI

      10.1111/jere.12091

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report 2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Assessing the Effects of Reducing Standard Hours: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Daiji Kawaguchi, Hisahiro Naito, and Izumi Yokoyama
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: vol.43 Pages: 59-76

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2016.12.002

    • NAID

      210000163342

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report 2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Is Racial Salary Discrimination Disappearing in the NBA? Evidence from Data during 1985--20152017

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito and Yu Takagi
    • Journal Title

      International Review of Applied Economics

      Volume: 31(5) Issue: 5 Pages: 651-669

    • DOI

      10.1080/02692171.2017.1303037

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report 2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Moment Estimation of the Probit Model with an Endogenous Continuous Regressor2016

    • Author(s)
      Daiji Kawaguchi, Yukitoshi Matsushita and Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 印刷中

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Provision of Household Public Goods and the Household Income Distribution2015

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      Tsukuba Economics Working Papers

      Volume: 2015-004 Pages: 1-35

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A Note on the Responsiveness Condition of the Household Public Goods2015

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Journal Title

      Tsukuba Economics Working Papers

      Volume: 2015-0005 Pages: 1-35

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Did the Presence of Immigrants Affect the Vote Outcome in the Brexit Referendum?2019

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Organizer
      Western Economic Association International
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Does Mobile Money improve Children's Schooling ?2017

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Organizer
      Canadian Economic Association Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Pareto-improving Immigration in the Presence of PYGO Social Security2016

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Organizer
      International Institute of Public Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Nevada, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-09
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Pareto-improving Immigration2016

    • Author(s)
      Hisahiro Naito
    • Organizer
      Western Economic Association International
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore NanYan University
    • Year and Date
      2016-01-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Immigration as a Policy Tool for the Double Burden Problem of Prefunding Pay-as-you-go Social Security System2015

    • Author(s)
      内藤久裕
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学(四谷キャンパス、東京千代田区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-10
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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