| Budget Amount *help |
¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
This study aims to develop a system to simulate a regional population with changing socio-economic factors and policy measures, to break down its results to small Areas to display by the GIS (Geographic Information System). It will be to visualize the outcomes of Population Vision of Chiho Sousei (Regional Revitalization Policy) geographically. Through the analysis of recent population dynamics in Japanese manicipalties, Hokkaido and Sapporo City, the three main factors, 1) enterting higher education and outcomming to job in young adalts, 2) moving to hospital and care instutions in elderlys, 3) inmigrating foreigners as a temporal worker, were identified to promote low fertility trend, rapid aging and population changes. Based on the new method, we broke down the results of the regional population projections of Japan, 2010-2040 (NIPSSR 2013), for ten districts of Sapporo City to small areas from 2015 to 2040 and showed sucessfully the population movements in small areas.
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