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Basic study on efficiency of the phenomenon reproduction type of Monte Carlo calculation and its application to the problems of disaster prevention

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K04767
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Computational science
Research InstitutionAnan National College of Technology

Principal Investigator

MATSUHO Shigeyuki  阿南工業高等専門学校, 創造技術工学科, 教授 (90157347)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 西村 伸一  岡山大学, 環境生命科学研究科, 教授 (30198501)
Research Collaborator HIRAYAMA Motoi  
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Keywordsモンテカルロ法 / シミュレーション / 擬似乱数 / 効率化計算 / 乱数シード
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study developed precise pseudo-random numbers (p.r.n.) to perform efficient Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. The MC simulation is the powerful last means to solve a difficult problem. However, the necessary solution may not be provided if its calculation is inefficient. In addition, the computational result of the bad precision may lead a wrong engineering judgment. So, efficient computation is important. The efficient MC simulation is feasible by using good p.r.n. of the precision. In the proposed method, an error between the frequency distribution of the generated p.r.n. and its required probabilistic distribution is considered. The errors of many series of p.r.n. are observed and the p.r.n. seed minimizing the error is compiled into a database. In the MC calculation, a p.r.n. series of the seed registered with the database is used. This study formulated the error based on probabilistic moments. The effectiveness of the developed technique was illustrated by numerical examples.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

モンテカルロ・シミュレーションは人命に関わる問題・膨大な予算や財産に関わる問題・問題解決に長期間を必要とする問題などの難解問題を扱う手法として極めて有力な最終手段である。本研究は、高精度計算の実現を可能とすることによって、実用的時間内に実用的な精度で解決策を得ることができるモンテカルロ・シミュレーションの開発に関する研究である。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (5 results)

All 2019 2018 2017

All Presentation (5 results)

  • [Presentation] モンテカルロ法に基づくプレートガーダー橋の信頼性評価法に関する検討2019

    • Author(s)
      松保重之
    • Organizer
      平成31年度土木学会四国支部第25回技術研究発表会講演概要集
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] モンテカルロ法に基づくプレートガーダー橋の信頼性評価2018

    • Author(s)
      松保重之・柴原一帆
    • Organizer
      平成30年度土木学会四国支部第24回技術研究発表会講演概要集
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] モンテカルロ法に基づく桁橋の信頼性評価2018

    • Author(s)
      松保重之
    • Organizer
      第31回信頼性シンポジウム講演論文集
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 擬似乱数の確率特性値の改善がモンテカルロ計算に与える影響について2017

    • Author(s)
      松保重之
    • Organizer
      第30回記念信頼性シンポジウム講演論文集
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] モンテカルロ法によるプレートガーダー橋の信頼性評価について2017

    • Author(s)
      柴原一帆、松保重之
    • Organizer
      第30回記念信頼性シンポジウム講演論文集
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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