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Development of short-term rainfall prediction including an estimation scheme of land surface state with high spatial resolution

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K06230
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Hydraulic engineering
Research InstitutionUniversity of Yamanashi

Principal Investigator

SOUMA Kazuyoshi  山梨大学, 大学院総合研究部, 准教授 (40452320)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Keywords雲解像気象モデル / 降雨予測 / 都市活動 / 大気陸面結合モデル / 局地的大雨 / 大気陸面相互作用 / 高解像度地表面状態量推定 / 雲解像モデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Recently, serious damages have been caused by short term heavy rainfalls over urban area frequently. It is indicated that the temperature difference between urban and suburban area (heat island phenomenon) can intensify the short term heavy rainfalls. Therefore, the high-resolution and accurate estimation of land surface state using satellite remote sensing data is expected to improve the weather prediction. In this research, we have developed a high-resolution (2 km) estimation method of land ground surface state quantity using satellite-derived solar radiation data and re-analysis data, to initialize weather prediction using a cloud resolving meteorological model. We conducted a weather prediction experiment on August 5, 2016 using the developed method and found that the predicted maximum temperature become closer to the observed value in Kobe and Himeji in the experiment introducing the high resolution land surface state estimation.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 2 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Sultan Agung Islamic University(インドネシア)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Wijaya Kusuma University of Purwokerto(インドネシア)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Gadjah Mada University(インドネシア)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Development and Validation of Heavy Rainfall Prediction Method Considering the Urban Activity Information in Jakarta, Indonesia2016

    • Author(s)
      Muhammad Syahir Bin Md Din, Kazuyoshi Souma, Hasti Widyasamratri, Tadashi Suetsugi, Jun Magome, Hiroshi Ishidaira, and Kenji Tanaka
    • Journal Title

      Annuals of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

      Volume: 59B Pages: 570-575

    • NAID

      120005867051

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 積乱雲の生成・発達を捉えるためのマルチセンサーによるRHI同期観測実験2015

    • Author(s)
      中北英一, 山口弘誠, 大石哲, 大東忠保, 橋口浩之, 岩井宏徳, 中川勝広, 相馬一義, 増田有俊, 小川まり子, 坪木和久, 鈴木賢士, 川村誠治, 鈴木善晴
    • Journal Title

      京都大学防災研究所年報

      Volume: 58B Pages: 232-236

    • NAID

      120005741152

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] 日本全域における都市活動情報の推定とその雲解像気象モデルへの導入2017

    • Author(s)
      相馬一義, 野依亮介,馬籠純,石平博
    • Organizer
      土木学会関東支部技術研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 災害をもたらす気象現象とその観測・予測について2017

    • Author(s)
      相馬一義
    • Organizer
      疾グループ合同社員研修会
    • Place of Presentation
      疾測量株式会社(山梨県・甲府市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 雲解像気象モデルを用いた都市発展が京阪神地方の気温に与える影響評価2016

    • Author(s)
      髙山拓哉, 相馬一義, 末次忠司
    • Organizer
      水文・水資源学会2016年研究発表会要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      コラッセふくしま(福島県・福島市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ヒートアイランド・局地的大雨へ小規模緑地が与える影響評価―2008年雑司ヶ谷豪雨を例として―2016

    • Author(s)
      岡田拓也, 相馬一義, 末次忠司
    • Organizer
      水文・水資源学会2016年研究発表会要旨集
    • Place of Presentation
      コラッセふくしま(福島県・福島市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Land Surface Model Development about Anthroposphere - Introduction of urban activities and its effects in land-atompsphere coupled model-2016

    • Author(s)
      Kazuyoshi Souma, Ryosuke Noyori, Takuya Takayama, Takuya Okada, Muhammad Syahir Bin Md Din, Hasti Widyasamratri, Kenji Tanaka, Koichi Hasegawa, Jun Magome, Hiroshi Ishidaira, Yutaka Ichikawa, Tadashi Suetsugi
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Land Surface Model Development for the Coming Decade
    • Place of Presentation
      the University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-27
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Heavy Rainfall Prediction Considering Urban Activity Information in Jakarta, Indonesia2016

    • Author(s)
      Muhammad Syahir Bin Md Din, Kazuyoshi Souma, Hasti Widyasamratri, Tadashi Suetsugi, Jun Magome, Hiroshi Ishidaira, and Kenji Tanaka
    • Organizer
      7th International Conference on Water Resources and Environment Research (ICWRER2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto TERRSA, Kyoto, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Estimation of urban activity information and its application to a cloud resolving meteorological model2016

    • Author(s)
      Kazuyoshi Souma, Ryosuke Noyori, Muhammad Syahir Bin Md Din, Hasti Widyasamratri, Kenji Tanaka, Koichi Hasegawa, Jun Magome, Hiroshi Ishidaira, Yutaka Ichikawa
    • Organizer
      平成28年度第1回水資源セミナー, 京都大学防災研究所水資源環境研究センター
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学防災研究所水資源環境研究センター(京都府・宇治市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Development of Cloud Resolving Meteorological Model Including Urban Activities and Its Application to Asian Megacities2016

    • Author(s)
      Kazuyoshi Souma, Ryosuke Noyori, Muhammad Syahir Bin Md Din, Takuya Takayama, Hasti Widyasamratri, Jun Magome, Hiroshi Ishidaira
    • Organizer
      University of Yamanashi International Symposium UYIS 2016 (UYIS2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Yamanashi, Kofu, Japan
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 京阪神における局地的大雨予測への詳細な都市環境情報導入とその影響2015

    • Author(s)
      相馬一義, 野依亮介
    • Organizer
      河川財団研究発表会―河川整備基金助成事業成果及び財団研究成果―, 公益財団法人河川財団近畿事務所
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪マーチャンダイズ・マートビル(OMMビル), 大阪
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Localized heavy rainfall simulations by using a cloud resolving model that considers urban activity information in Osaka, Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Kazuyoshi Souma, Ryosuke Noyori
    • Organizer
      the 9th Workshop of the Virtual Laboratory for the Earth's Climate Diagnostics Program, and the University Allied Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] URBAN HEAT ISLAND SIMULATION OVER JAKARTA, INDONESIA, USING A CLOUD RESOLVING MODEL2015

    • Author(s)
      Muhammad Syahir Bin Md Din, Kazuyoshi Souma, Hasti Widyasamratri, Tadashi Suetsugi
    • Organizer
      土木学会第70回年次学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学津島キャンパス, 岡山
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 単一のXバンドMPレーダー観測域における土砂災害危険度推定手法の構築2015

    • Author(s)
      渡邊彩花, 相馬一義,末次忠司, 大石哲, 佐野哲也, 柿澤一弘,石平博,市川温,馬籠純
    • Organizer
      水文・水資源学会2015年研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      首都大学東京, 東京
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-09
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] CReSiBUCホームページ

    • URL

      http://www.tok2.com/home/ksouma/soumacresibuc2.html

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Research-status Report 2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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