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Development of prediction methodologies of stochastic energy demand based on the occupants' behaviors

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K06324
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Architectural environment/Equipment
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

Hagishima Aya  九州大学, 総合理工学研究院, 教授 (60294980)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 谷本 潤  九州大学, 総合理工学研究院, 教授 (60227238)
池谷 直樹  九州大学, 総合理工学研究院, 助教 (70628213)
Research Collaborator Shiekh Ahmad Zaki Shaikh Salim  マレーシア工科大学, マレーシア日本国際工科院, Senior Lecturer
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Keywords空調熱負荷 / 居住者行動 / 住宅 / 統計解析 / 電力需要 / 室内熱環境
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The authors performed a field survey on occupants' behavior toward the use of air-conditioners (A/C) in residential buildings in Malaysia in order to establish methodologies for estimating the stochastic time patterns of energy demand in tropical climate. Temperatures of room air and outlet of A/C were measured in 60 dwellings every 15 minutes, and converted into the information of when occupants turned on/off the A/C.
Based on the analysis of the measured data, it was revealed that the occupants behavior toward A/C use in Malaysia can not be modeled by the current Markov-model developed in mid-latitude countries, which adopts a sigmoid function for expressing the probability of A/C off-on behavior with an input variable of indoor thermal condition, such as room air temperature owing to the difference of the climate. With this finding, the authors established a new algorithm for generating stochastic A/C operation schedule based on the statistics of the measurement.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] マレーシア日本国際工科院 MJIIT, UTM(マレーシア)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] マレーシア日本国際工科院(マレーシア)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] レーシア・日本国際工科院(MJIIT)(Malaysia)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 一般住戸における時系列電力消費量データを利用したエアコンのON/OFF判定アルゴリズムの開発及び検証2018

    • Author(s)
      小野哲嗣, 萩島 理, 谷本潤, 池谷 直樹,
    • Journal Title

      空気調和衛生工学会論文集

      Volume: 印刷中

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Development of a model for generating air-conditioner operation schedules in Malaysia2017

    • Author(s)
      Sheikh Ahmad Zaki, Aya Hagishima, Ryosuke Fukami, Nur Fadhilah
    • Journal Title

      Building and Environment

      Volume: 122 Pages: 354-362

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.buildenv.2017.06.023

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Statistical Analysis of Time-Series Data of Electricity Consumption of Air Conditioners Observed in Multiple Dwellings2017

    • Author(s)
      小野哲嗣, 萩島 理, 谷本潤, 池谷 直樹
    • Journal Title

      Transactions of the Society of Heating,Air-conditioning and Sanitary Engineers of Japan

      Volume: 42 Issue: 239 Pages: 1-9

    • DOI

      10.18948/shase.42.239_1

    • NAID

      130006337659

    • ISSN
      0385-275X, 2424-0486
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 大規模集合住宅のエアコンの電力量の時系列データに基づく統計分析2017

    • Author(s)
      小野哲嗣, 萩島 理, 谷本潤, 池谷 直樹,
    • Journal Title

      空気調和衛生後学会論文集

      Volume: 239 Pages: 1-10

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Cross-cultural comparison of occupants’ behaviour towards cooling of residences between Japan and Malaysia2016

    • Author(s)
      Aya Hagishima, Ryosuke Fukami, Sheikh Ahmad Zaki Shaikh Salim
    • Journal Title

      proceedings of the 12th REHVA World Congress, At Aalborg, Denmark

      Volume: 6

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 住宅における居住者の冷房使用行動の季節変動に関する考察2018

    • Author(s)
      萩島 理, 谷本潤, 池谷 直樹, 佐藤新見, 小野哲嗣
    • Organizer
      2018年度日本建築学会大会(東北)学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 外気温度の履歴が住宅のエアコン使用に与える影響に関する統計分析2017

    • Author(s)
      小野哲嗣, 萩島 理, 谷本潤, 池谷 直樹
    • Organizer
      2017年度日本建築学会大会(中国)学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Cross-cultural comparison of occupants’ behaviour towards cooling of residences between Japan and Malaysia2016

    • Author(s)
      Aya Hagishima, Ryosuke Fukami, Sheikh Ahmad Zaki, Naoki Ikegaya, Nur Fadhilah M Hanip, Jun Tanimoto
    • Organizer
      12th Rehva World Congress, CLIMA2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Aalborg, Denmark
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-23
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 住宅における冷房使用行動の確率性状に関する考察2015

    • Author(s)
      深見亮介、萩島理、谷本潤、池谷直樹
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      東海大学湘南キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-04
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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