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Impact of therapeutic substitution on sales of medicines in Japan

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K08126
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Medical pharmacy
Research InstitutionNational Hospital Organization Headquarters

Principal Investigator

Imai Shinobu  独立行政法人国立病院機構本部(総合研究センター), 診療情報分析部, 主任研究員 (50608750)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 伏見 清秀  東京医科歯科大学, 大学院医歯学総合研究科, 教授 (50270913)
堀口 裕正  独立行政法人国立病院機構本部(総合研究センター), 診療情報分析部, 副部長 (50401104)
Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) Sundell Karolina Andersson  University of Gothenburg
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Keywords後発医薬品 / スイッチ現象 / 先発医薬品 / 降圧剤 / 新薬へのスイッチ / スウェーデン
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The generic substitution of medicines has been introduced in Europe since the 1990s to increase price competition and the use of cheaper equivalents. Patent expiry is assumed to be associated with changes in sales patterns, particularly when combined with generic substitution. This project examined to what extent patent expiry on efficacy influence the pharmaceutical sales patterns in Japan. Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin Ⅱ antagonists (ARBs) were selected, since they are widely used in both Japan. Interventions were patent expiry on lower efficacy for two ARBs. Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average modelling with intervention was used to analyse changes in sales volumes.
Conclusions: We found sales patterns of antihypertensive medicines were to a large extent affected by information on efficacy rather than patent expiry. However, further assessment is needed for other medicine groups and settings.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2018 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Gothenburg(Sweden)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Gothenburg University(スウェーデン)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Impact of new efficacy information on sales of antihypertensive medicines in Japan and Sweden2018

    • Author(s)
      Shinobu Imai , Kiyohide Fushimi , Karolina Andersson Sundell
    • Journal Title

      Health Policy and Technology

      Volume: 2 Issue: 2 Pages: 999-999

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.hlpt.2018.04.004

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research

URL: 

Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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