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Cohort effect specification for evaluating cancer risk

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K08740
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Epidemiology and preventive medicine
Research InstitutionSapporo Medical University

Principal Investigator

Kamo Kenichi  札幌医科大学, 医療人育成センター, 准教授 (10404740)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 佐藤 健一  広島大学, 原爆放射線医科学研究所, 准教授 (30284219)
冨田 哲治  県立広島大学, 経営情報学部, 准教授 (60346533)
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywordsがん / 生まれ年効果 / APCモデル / 識別問題 / ポアソン回帰 / がんリスク / がんリスク評価
Outline of Final Research Achievements

For the longitudinal cancer risk, three main elements are "age", "period" and "birth cohort." The APC (age-period-cohort) model handle these at the same time. However, there are linear dependent relationship among these elements. Then we can not estimate each element without some constraint. In our reserch project, we note how to specify birth cohort effect automatically by using statistical model.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 6 results,  Open Access: 6 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Growth Analysis Using Nuisance Baseline2017

    • Author(s)
      K. Kamo, T. Tonda, K. Satoh
    • Journal Title

      FORMATH

      Volume: 16 Issue: 0 Pages: 12-21

    • DOI

      10.15684/formath.16.002

    • NAID

      130007040573

    • ISSN
      2188-5729
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A study on the bias-correction effect of the AIC for selecting variables in normal multivariate linear regression models under model misspecification2017

    • Author(s)
      H.Yanagihara, K.Kamo, S.Imori, M.Yamamura
    • Journal Title

      REVSTAT-Statistical Journal

      Volume: 15 Pages: 299-332

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The signal intensity ratio of the optic nerve to ipsilateral frontal white matter is of value in the diagnosis of acute optic neuritis.2016

    • Author(s)
      Onodera M, Yama N, Hashimoto M, Shonai T, Aratani K, Takashima H, Kamo K, Nagahama H, Ohguro H, Hatakenaka M.
    • Journal Title

      Eur Radiol.

      Volume: 26 Issue: 8 Pages: 2640-2645

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00330-015-4114-4

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Quantification of the increase in thyroid cancer prevalence in Fukushima after the nuclear disaster in 2011 - a potential overdiagnosis?2016

    • Author(s)
      K.Katanoda, K.Kamo, S.Tsugane
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Clinical Oncology

      Volume: 46 (3) Issue: 3 Pages: 284-286

    • DOI

      10.1093/jjco/hyv191

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Evaluation of the Japanese Metabolic syndrome risk score (JAMRISK): a newly developed questionnaire used as a screening tool for diagnosing and insulin resistance in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      C.Tan, Y.Sasagawa, K.Kamo, T.Kukitsu, S.Noda, K.Ishikawa, N.Yamauchi, T.Saikawa, T.Noro, H.Nakamura, F.Takahashi, F.Sata, M.Tada, Y.Kokai
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine

      Volume: 21 (6) Issue: 6 Pages: 470-479

    • DOI

      10.1007/s12199-016-0568-5

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Detecting a Local Cohort Effect for Cancer Mortality Data Using a Varying Coefficient Model2015

    • Author(s)
      T.Tonda, K.Satoh, K.Kamo
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Epidemiology

      Volume: 25 Issue: 10 Pages: 639-646

    • DOI

      10.2188/jea.JE20140218

    • NAID

      130005107953

    • ISSN
      0917-5040, 1349-9092
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 局外ベースラインのある時点間相関を考慮した回帰モデルによるがん統計データの分析2018

    • Author(s)
      冨田哲治, 加茂憲一, 佐藤健一
    • Organizer
      日本疫学会学術総会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 時空間変動を局外ベースラインとした回帰モデルによるがん統計データの分析2017

    • Author(s)
      冨田哲治,佐藤健一,加茂憲一
    • Organizer
      日本疫学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      ベルクラシック甲府(山梨県甲府市)
    • Year and Date
      2017-01-25
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 混合効果モデルによる都道府県別がん罹患数の区間推定2017

    • Author(s)
      加茂憲一,田辺竜ノ介,伊森晋平,福井敬祐
    • Organizer
      日本がん登録協議会学術総会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] シミュレーションモデルを用いた大腸がん死亡リスク低減の定量化2017

    • Author(s)
      加茂憲一,伊藤ゆり,福井敬祐,片野田耕太
    • Organizer
      がん予防学術大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Microsimulation model for colorectal cancerto estimate effect of FOBT screening programme and improvement in cancer care in Japan: CAMOS-J CRC2017

    • Author(s)
      K.Kamo, K.Fukui, Y.Ito, K.Katanoda
    • Organizer
      The 21st International Epidemiological Association World Congress of Epidemiology
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Statistical method estimating varying coefficients for longitudinal data without specifying spatial-temporal baseline trend and its application to cancer mortality data2017

    • Author(s)
      T.Tonda, K.Satoh, K.Kamo
    • Organizer
      The 21st International Epidemiological Association (IEA) World Congress of Epidemiology
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] シミュレーションモデルを用いた胃がん検診効果-システマティック・レビューより-2016

    • Author(s)
      松田彩子,雑賀公美子,伊藤ゆり,福井敬祐,加茂憲一
    • Organizer
      日本公衆衛生学会総会
    • Place of Presentation
      グランフロント大阪(大阪市北区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] がん罹患年齢・死亡年齢の遅延はなぜか-その近未来を予測する2016

    • Author(s)
      小林博, 小林正伸, 辻一郎, 西野善一, 祖父江友孝, 加茂憲一
    • Organizer
      がん予防学術大会2016
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学鶴舞キャンパス(愛知県名古屋市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating regression coefficients including nuisance baseline and its applications2016

    • Author(s)
      K.Kamo, T.Tonda, K.Satoh
    • Organizer
      The 4th institute of mathematical statistics asia pacific rim meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      The Chinese University of Hong Kong
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-27
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Growth analysis byusing the idea for nuisance baseline2016

    • Author(s)
      加茂憲一, 冨田哲治, 佐藤健一
    • Organizer
      FORMATH SHIGA 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      滋賀大学(彦根市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 生命表とリスク曲面によるがん罹患・死亡動向の視覚化2016

    • Author(s)
      加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり, 雑賀公美子, 祖父江友孝
    • Organizer
      日本疫学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      米子コンベンションセンター(米子市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-01-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 変化係数モデルを用いた大阪府におけるがん罹患・死亡の年齢・時代・出生コホート効果分析2016

    • Author(s)
      福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 中山富雄, 冨田哲治, 佐藤健一, 加茂憲一
    • Organizer
      日本疫学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      米子コンベンションセンター(米子市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-01-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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