• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

Sentiment Indexes to Help Predict Financial and Real Estate Markets: Theory and Applications

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K12465
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionChuo University

Principal Investigator

Ishijima Hiroshi  中央大学, 国際会計研究科, 教授 (20317308)

Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) MAEDA Akira  東京大学, 大学院総合文化研究科, 教授 (30317309)
Research Collaborator KAZUMI Takuro  サイバーエージェント, 技術本部秋葉原ラボ, R&Dエンジニア
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywordsセンチメント分析 / ファイナンス / 不動産 / テキスト・マイニング / ビッグ・データ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research aims to quantify “sentiment” that invisibly reflects the psychology of economic agents and the atmosphere of economic and business activities. More specifically, by employing recent advances in the literature of natural language processing, we quantify the sentiment along a one-dimensional semantic axis, from negative to positive feelings. We repeat such a procedure every day to develop several types of “sentiment indexes” that might reflect the Japanese economy. We finally create thirty-four years’ worth daily sentiment indexes from the Nikkei articles. We then conduct an empirical analysis to show how persistently and robustly sentiment indexes can help predict Japanese stock prices as well as real estate prices including J-REITs, house prices and rents.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (19 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] 日本経済を映すセンチメントの計量化と株価予測性2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      経済政策ジャーナル

      Volume: 13 Pages: 125-128

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 不動産・金融資産価格のセンチメント分析2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗
    • Journal Title

      不動産ファイナンス・不動産経済学研究 (日本不動産金融工学学会誌)

      Volume: 印刷中

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 人々の心理が株価を動かす~センチメント分析のパーソナルファイナンスへの応用2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗
    • Journal Title

      ファイナンシャル・プランニング研究

      Volume: 17 Pages: 6-22

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Clustering News to Create Sentiment Indexes that Help Predict Stock Prices2017

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Takuro Kazumi
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Processing Techniques and Applications (PDPTA ‘17) comprising WORLDCOMP ’17

      Volume: - Pages: 321-326

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 市場センチメント・インデックスの構築と株価説明力の分析:日次データによる検証2015

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      経済政策ジャーナル

      Volume: 11 Pages: 7-10

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Sentiment Analysis for the Japanese Stock Market2015

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H., T. Kazumi, and A. Maeda
    • Journal Title

      Global Business and Economics Review

      Volume: 17 Issue: 3 Pages: 237-255

    • DOI

      10.1504/gber.2015.070303

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] 不動産・金融資産価格のセンチメント分析2018

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗
    • Organizer
      JAREFE (日本不動産金融工学学会) 2018定期大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Clustering News to Create Sentiment Indexes and Predict Stock Prices2017

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Takuro Kazumi
    • Organizer
      Quantitative Methods in Finance 2017 Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Clustering News to Create Sentiment Indexes that Help Predict Stock Prices2017

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, Hiroshi and Takuro Kazumi
    • Organizer
      2017 International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Processing Techniques and Applications (PDPTA ‘17) comprising WORLDCOMP ’17
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 人々の心理が株価を動かす~センチメント分析のパーソナルファイナンスへの応用2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗
    • Organizer
      日本FP学会第18回大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 株式市場に特化したセンチメント・インデックスの構築と株価予測可能性2017

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗, 前田章
    • Organizer
      日本経済政策学会第74回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Sentiment Analysis in the Japanese Financial and Real Estate Markets2015

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H., T. Kazumi and A. Maeda
    • Organizer
      Quantitative Methods in Finance 2015 Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Hilton Sydney
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] センチメント・インデックスの株価と不動産価格の予測可能性2015

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 數見拓朗, 前田章
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会(JAFEE) 2015夏季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Book] ファイナンスの理論と応用3:資産価格モデルの展開2017

    • Author(s)
      石島 博
    • Total Pages
      192
    • Publisher
      日科技連出版社
    • ISBN
      9784817196262
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ファイナンスの理論と応用2 正規分布で解く資産の動的評価2016

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Total Pages
      344
    • Publisher
      日科技連出版社
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 石島博研究室ホームページ

    • URL

      http://ilabfe.jp/

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 中央大学 研究者情報データベース 石島博

    • URL

      https://ir.c.chuo-u.ac.jp/researcher/profile/00010939.html?lang=ja

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Jセンチメント・インデックスの公開ページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/view/sentiment

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] http://ilabfe.jp/

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi